Tondela vs Gil Vicente Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio João Cardoso Mon, 13 Apr - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Tondela TND
2 – 2
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 7:15 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Rony Lopes - 15'
Joe Hodge - 90+8'
Goal
|
Goal
Murilo de Souza Costa - 29' (P)
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente - 90'

CONTEXT

The match between Tondela and Gil Vicente is finished with a full-time score of 2-2. The teams were level at 1-1 at half-time, and both sides traded goals in an open contest without any red cards to alter the balance. Pre-match expectations positioned Gil Vicente as the stronger team and clear favorites for victory. The draw therefore counts as a significant deviation, particularly for Gil Vicente, who were unable to convert their expected superiority into a win. Possession stayed remarkably balanced, with Tondela holding 52 percent and Gil Vicente 48 percent, yet this even share did not translate into a decisive edge for either side. The efficiency shift stayed in line with broader patterns, but the final result did not align with the pre-match projection that anticipated an away win. Tondela defended resolutely to earn a point against their stronger opponents, while Gil Vicente will reflect on a missed opportunity to dominate proceedings.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Gil Vicente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Ferreira Martins
J. Ferreira Martins
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
H. Tavares dos Santos
H. Tavares dos Santos
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
M. Monteiro Fonseca
M. Monteiro Fonseca
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
J. Costa Teixeira Afonso
J. Costa Teixeira Afonso
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
Tondela G. Feio
G. Feio
VS
Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
0.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: L
AVS Rank: D
Sporting CP Rank: D
Rio Ave Rank: L
Santa Clara Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AVS Rank: W
Santa Clara Rank: L
Alverca Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: D
Benfica Rank: L
Estoril Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tondela
22.2%
Draw
27.92%
Away Gil Vicente
49.88%

Movement

Changes since opening
Tondela
+22.01%
Draw
+24.22%
Gil Vicente
-46.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.86
18.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tondela
Gil Vicente
Power Score
17.86
18.18
League Position
17
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tondela — Opponent-weighted form score
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tondela Gil Vicente

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Tondela

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Gil Vicente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tondela ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gil Vicente
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.31
35.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.83
22.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tondela -1.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Gil Vicente +1.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tondela
Gil Vicente
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tondela ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Gil Vicente
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tondela Gil Vicente
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tondela Gil Vicente
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Tondela
Gil Vicente
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Tondela
vs
Gil Vicente
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tondela Gil Vicente
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Tondela 0.31
Gil Vicente 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tondela Gil Vicente
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Tondela 0.03
Gil Vicente 0.06
Tondela
Gil Vicente
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Gil Vicente had peak pressure around 30'.
  • TND started the game with stronger pressure.
TND Pressure Gil Vicente Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Gil Vicente reached the top pressure at 30' (78.20).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tondela TND Home
7 matches
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
6
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:01:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
B. Parise Fontes
Brazil
31 B. Parise Fontes
R. Machado
Substitution
Brazil
2 R. Machado
J. Antunes da Silva
Portugal
44 J. Antunes da Silva
C. Marques
Portugal
4 C. Marques
R. Fernandes Conceição
Portugal
27 R. Fernandes Conceição
J. Hodge
Republic of Ireland
10 J. Hodge
J. Rodríguez López
Ecuador
32 J. Rodríguez López
H. Sequeira
Substitution
Portugal
79 H. Sequeira
P. Pereira dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
7 P. Pereira dos Santos
M. Mesquita Lopes
Substitution
Portugal
16 M. Mesquita Lopes
M. Sie Ouattara
Substitution
France
70 M. Sie Ouattara
D. Leite Figueira
Portugal
99 D. Leite Figueira
G. Konan
Ivory Coast
3 G. Konan
J. Buatu Mananga
Angola
39 J. Buatu Mananga
A. Espigares Morillas
Spain
48 A. Espigares Morillas
J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
Portugal
2 J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
A. Moreira Morales
Substitution
Uruguay
27 A. Moreira Morales
L. Leite Esteves
Portugal
10 L. Leite Esteves
F. Cáseres
Argentina
5 F. Cáseres
M. De Souza Costa
Substitution
Brazil
77 M. De Souza Costa
G. Pereira De Sousa
Substitution
Portugal
89 G. Pereira De Sousa
S. Garcia Gonzalez
Spain
95 S. Garcia Gonzalez

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 13, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso
Capacity
30127
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
João Pedro Ferreira Martins
Hugo Daniel Tavares dos Santos
Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca
João Pedro Costa Teixeira Afonso

Statistics

Possession
TND
50%
Gil Vicente
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 3
10 Shots 14
32 Dangerous attacks 64
52 Possession 48
5 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 14
6 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Successful Dribbles 4
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
11 Dribble Attempts 12
22 Throwins 22
18 Successful Headers 20
11 Goal Kicks 5
1 Penalties 2
5 Substitutions 3
81 Ball Safe 79
8 Goal Attempts 12
0 Assists 1

Attacking

82 Attacks 83
2 Counter Attacks 1
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

6 Key Passes 9
79 Successful Passes Percentage 82
14 Successful Long Passes 29
326 Successful Passes 303
45 Long Passes 53
414 Passes 371
31 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

7 Interceptions 10
4 Saves 3
55 Duels Won 45
20 Tackles 8

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 17
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Starting XI ▼

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.9
2
Bebeto
Bebeto Defender
6.74
48
Tiago Manso
Tiago Manso
Defender75'
6.63
4
Christian Marques
Christian Marques Defender
6.69
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição Defender
6.68
44
João Silva
João Silva Defender
6.75
10
Joe Hodge
Joe Hodge Midfielder
6.68
32
Juanse
Juanse Midfielder
6.7
79
Hugo Félix
Hugo Félix Midfielder
6.75
90
Makan Aïko
Makan Aïko
Attacker60'
6.88
7
Maranhão
Maranhão Attacker
6.97
26
Arjen van der Heide
Arjen van der Heide
Attacker68'
6.52
16
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes Attacker
6.86
29
Jordan
Jordan
Attacker74'
6.62
70
Moudjatovic
Moudjatovic Attacker
6.57
15
Yaya Sithole
Yaya Sithole
Midfielder60'
6.56
Referee : Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
6.87
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves Defender
6.81
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
6.75
39
Buatu
Buatu Defender
6.82
48
Antonio Espigares Morillas
Antonio Espigares Morillas Defender
6.73
5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Facundo Agustín Cáseres Midfielder
6.81
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Midfielder
7.23
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales Midfielder
6.81
32
Martín Fernández Benítez
Martín Fernández Benítez
Midfielder74'
6.48
77
Murilo de Souza Costa
Murilo de Souza Costa Midfielder
6.97
11
Joelson Fernandes
Joelson Fernandes
Attacker85'
6.76
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela Attacker
6.78
29
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Attacker85'
6.59
95
Santiago García González
Santiago García González Attacker
7.15

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Joe Hodge
GoalkeeperSave
90+8'
Event
Joe Hodge
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+8'
Event
Bebeto
8th Yellowcard
90+4'
90'
Event
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Header / 2nd Goal
85'
Event
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente → Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Joelson Fernandes → Murilo de Souza Costa
8th Substitution
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Tiago Manso → Bebeto
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Jordan → Rony Lopes
5th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Martín Fernández Benítez → Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
4th Substitution
Event
Arjen van der Heide → Maranhão
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Lucas Cañizares
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
66'
Event
misses next match / 9th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Yaya Sithole → Moudjatovic
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Makan Aïko → Hugo Félix
1st Substitution
60'
57'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
29'
Event
Murilo de Souza Costa
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
26'
Event
Murilo de Souza Costa
Goal disallowed
Event
Rony Lopes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
15'
Event
Christian Marques
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
7'
Event
Moudjatovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
7'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Ghislain Konan of Gil Vicente concedes a penalty for a handball in the penalty area.
90
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Joe Hodge's right-footed shot for Tondela is saved.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The match is now 2-2 as Joe Hodge scores for Tondela with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gil Vicente takes the lead 2-1 against Tondela. Carlos Eduardo scores with a header from the center of the box into the right corner, assisted by Joelson Fernandes' cross.
90
Update Update
Martín Fernández from Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela committed a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Manso's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bebeto from Tondela receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Martín Fernández from Gil Vicente won a free kick on the right wing.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jonathan Buatu of Gil Vicente receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 2-2 between Tondela and Gil Vicente.
89
Update Update
Offside called against Gil Vicente. Joelson Fernandes is offside.
89
Update Update
Ghislain Konan from Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Tiago Manso of Tondela.
86
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Joelson Fernandes replaces Murilo de Souza.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Carlos Eduardo comes on for Gustavo Varela.
84
Update Update
Martín Fernández fouled Gil Vicente.
84
Update Update
Tiago Manso from Tondela won a free kick on the right wing.
82
Attempt Attempt
Santi García from Gil Vicente had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but the attempt went just to the left.
80
Corner Corner
Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente makes an attacking attempt, shooting with his right foot from a difficult position and long distance on the left. Bernardo Fontes from Tondela saves it in the left corner.
80
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Varela of Gil Vicente attempts an attack, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but his shot is saved by Tondela's goalkeeper, Bernardo Fontes, in the center of the goal.
79
Update Update
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente won a free kick on the left wing.
79
Attempt Attempt
Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by Tondela's goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Santi García.
79
Update Update
Foul by João Silva of Tondela.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
João Silva from Tondela receives a yellow card for a foul.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after João Silva concedes.
76
Update Update
Makan Aiko from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
75
Update Update
Santi García from Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
75
Update Update
Foul by Juanse for Tondela.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Tiago Manso replaces Bebeto.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Jordan Siebatcheu replaces Rony Lopes.
74
Update Update
Agustín Moreira of Gil Vicente committed a foul.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Martín Fernández replaces Agustín Moreira.
74
Update Update
Bebeto from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after a concession by Rodrigo Conceição.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after Rony Lopes concedes.
70
Update Update
Handball by Sphephelo Sithole of Tondela.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Arjen van der Heide replaces Pedro Maranhão.
67
Update Update
Bernardo Fontes from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
67
Update Update
Bernardo Fontes from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
66
Update Update
Foul by Gustavo Varela of Gil Vicente.
65
Update Update
Santi García of Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
65
Update Update
Foul committed by Christian Marques of Tondela.
65
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went close and missed to the left. Luís Esteves provided the assist.
60
Update Update
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente won a free kick on the right wing.
60
Update Update
Christian Marques from Tondela committed a foul.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Makan Aiko replaces Hugo Félix.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tondela: Sphephelo Sithole replaces Moudjatovic Ouattara.
59
Update Update
Agustín Moreira from Gil Vicente commits a foul.
59
Update Update
Bebeto from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
57
Update Update
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente receives a yellow card for a foul.
57
Update Update
Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente committed a foul.
56
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went close and missed. The assist came from Antonio Espigares with a header.
53
Update Update
Offside called against Gil Vicente. Luís Esteves is offside.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after a concession by Juanse.
52
Attempt Attempt
Luís Esteves of Gil Vicente has a shot from outside the box with his right foot, but it is blocked. Santi García provided the assist.
52
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Maranhão from Tondela had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but it went close and missed. The assist came from Moudjatovic Ouattara.
51
Corner Corner
Gustavo Varela of Gil Vicente missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box over the goal. The assist came from Ghislain Konan, who delivered a cross after a corner.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after Bernardo Fontes concedes.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after a concession by Bernardo Fontes.
48
Update Update
Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente commits a foul.
48
Update Update
Joe Hodge from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Zé Carlos from Gil Vicente won a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela commits a foul.
45
Update Update
Bebeto from Tondela won a free kick on the right wing.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela, conceded by Zé Carlos I.
45
Update Update
Luís Esteves of Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
First half ends with the score at Tondela 1, Gil Vicente 1.
45
Update Update
Bebeto from Tondela won a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
Agustín Moreira fouled a player from Gil Vicente.
45
Update Update
The second half starts with the match tied at 1-1 between Tondela and Gil Vicente.
43
Update Update
Rodrigo Conceição from Tondela misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball goes high and wide to the right. Christian Marques provided the assist.
42
Update Update
Pedro Maranhão from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
Facundo Cáseres fouled Gil Vicente.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
40
Update Update
Agustín Moreira of Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
37
Attempt Attempt
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but it went just wide to the left. Hugo Félix provided the assist.
34
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Antonio Espigares concedes.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by João Silva of Tondela.
32
Update Update
Gustavo Varela of Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR is checking the goal by Murilo de Souza for Gil Vicente.
26
Update Update
VAR decision confirms no goal. The match remains Tondela 1, Gil Vicente 0.
22
Update Update
Hugo Félix of Tondela concedes a penalty for a handball in the penalty area.
22
Attempt Attempt
Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente has a shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked.
21
Update Update
Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela won a free kick in defense.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rony Lopes scores for Tondela with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the right corner. The score is now Tondela 1, Gil Vicente 0.
13
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Daniel Figueira concedes.
13
Corner Corner
Hugo Félix from Tondela attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Daniel Figueira from Gil Vicente. The assist came from Moudjatovic Ouattara.
9
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Santi García from Gil Vicente shot with his left foot from outside the box.
7
Update Update
Agustín Moreira from Gil Vicente was awarded a free kick on the left wing.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Christian Marques of Tondela receives a yellow card for a foul.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Christian Marques of Tondela.
7
Corner Corner
Tondela wins a corner after Murilo de Souza concedes.
6
Update Update
Hugo Félix from Tondela commits a foul.
6
Update Update
Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente won a free kick in defense.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela after Jonathan Buatu concedes.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tondela after a concession by Jonathan Buatu.
1
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Moudjatovic Ouattara from Tondela shot with his left foot from the left side of the box.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Gil Vicente exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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