Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 10:15 AM
Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard FOR
1 – 1
NAC Breda NAC
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 10:15 AM
Round 30 Regular Season
Kristoffer Peterson - 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Mohamed Nassoh - 90+2'

CONTEXT

The match between Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda is now finished, ending in a 1-1 draw. Both sides were level at half-time with the score 0-0, and each scored once after the interval to split the points in an evenly contested affair. The result marked a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, particularly for Fortuna Sittard. Although NAC Breda entered the game with a slight edge in projected chances of success, Fortuna Sittard emerged as the stronger side overall and claimed a valuable point. Possession was shared unevenly, with the home team at 44 percent and NAC Breda controlling 56 percent, yet the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and produced a balanced outcome. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow. Without expected goals data available, it is not possible to assess alignment on that metric, but the final score did not match the pre-match projection. The draw ultimately delivered a result that rewarded Fortuna Sittard’s application despite their lower share of territory. (168 words)

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fortuna Sittard showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Manschot
J. Manschot
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.69
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
R. Brondijk
R. Brondijk
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.69
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
F. Overtoom
F. Overtoom
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.69
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
M. Perez
M. Perez
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.69
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Fortuna Sittard D. Buijs
D. Buijs
VS
NAC Breda C. Hoefkens
C. Hoefkens
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: L
FC Twente Rank: L
FC Volendam Rank: W
Telstar Rank: L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: W
Excelsior Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: D
PEC Zwolle Rank: L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: L
Feyenoord Rank: D
Telstar Rank: L
FC Volendam Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fortuna Sittard
33.97%
Draw
27.68%
Away NAC Breda
38.35%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fortuna Sittard
+29.06%
Draw
-62.96%
NAC Breda
+33.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.43
16.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
Power Score
22.43
16.28
League Position
12
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fortuna Sittard — Opponent-weighted form score
NAC Breda — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fortuna Sittard NAC Breda

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fortuna Sittard

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

NAC Breda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fortuna Sittard ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NAC Breda
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.16
29.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.29
27.16
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fortuna Sittard -0.23 Efficiency Index
vs
NAC Breda +0.23 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fortuna Sittard ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NAC Breda
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fortuna Sittard NAC Breda
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fortuna Sittard NAC Breda
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Fortuna Sittard
vs
NAC Breda
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Fortuna Sittard NAC Breda
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Fortuna Sittard 0.26
NAC Breda 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Fortuna Sittard NAC Breda
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Fortuna Sittard 0.02
NAC Breda 0.03
Fortuna Sittard
NAC Breda
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NAC had peak pressure around 15'.
  • NAC started the game with stronger pressure.
FOR Pressure NAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NAC reached the top pressure at 15' (82.95).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fortuna Sittard FOR Home
5 matches
NAC Breda NAC Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
7
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:01:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Koopmans
Netherlands
1 L. Koopmans
N. Kasanwirjo
Netherlands
21 N. Kasanwirjo
S. Adewoye
Belgium
4 S. Adewoye
J. Hubner
Netherlands
28 J. Hubner
J. Dahlhaus
Netherlands
8 J. Dahlhaus
S. van Ottele
Substitution
Netherlands
6 S. van Ottele
P. Brittijn
Netherlands
23 P. Brittijn
D. Limnios
Substitution
Greece
18 D. Limnios
L. Duijvestijn
Substitution
Netherlands
70 L. Duijvestijn
K. Peterson
Substitution
Sweden
7 K. Peterson
K. Sierhuis
Substitution
Netherlands
9 K. Sierhuis
D. Bielica
Poland
99 D. Bielica
B. Kemper
Netherlands
4 B. Kemper
C. Leemans
Netherlands
8 C. Leemans
L. Greiml
Austria
12 L. Greiml
D. Odoi
Ghana
3 D. Odoi
K. Sowah
Substitution
Ghana
14 K. Sowah
F. Oldrup Jensen
Substitution
Norway
20 F. Oldrup Jensen
R. Paula
Germany
11 R. Paula
L. Holtby
Substitution
Germany
90 L. Holtby
J. Talvitie
Substitution
Finland
32 J. Talvitie
André Ayew Pelé
Substitution
Ghana
24 André Ayew Pelé

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jeroen Manschot
Richard Brondijk
Franca Overtoom
Martin Perez

Statistics

Possession
FOR
46%
NAC
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 14
39 Dangerous attacks 48
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 8
12 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

17 Successful Headers 7
7 Goal Kicks 11
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
15 Dribble Attempts 16
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 35
8 Successful Dribbles 7
89 Ball Safe 90
7 Goal Attempts 10
1 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
104 Attacks 113

Possession

9 Key Passes 12
70 Long Passes 61
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 62
256 Successful Passes 347
33 Successful Long Passes 38
341 Passes 431
75 Successful Passes Percentage 81

Defensive

18 Tackles 12
6 Saves 1
15 Interceptions 5

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 28
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Jeroen Manschot

Starting XI ▼

1
Luuk Koopmans
Luuk Koopmans Goalkeeper
4
Shawn Adewoye
Shawn Adewoye Defender
8
Jasper Dahlhaus
Jasper Dahlhaus Defender
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Neraysho Kasanwirjo Defender
28
Justin Hubner
Justin Hubner Defender
6
Syb van Ottele
Syb van Ottele Midfielder
45
Owen Johnson
Owen Johnson
Attacker86'
7
Kristoffer Peterson
Kristoffer Peterson Midfielder
5
Yassin Oukili
Yassin Oukili
Midfielder68'
18
Dimitrios Limnios
Dimitrios Limnios Midfielder
52
Mohamed Ihattaren
Mohamed Ihattaren
Midfielder68'
23
Philip Brittijn
Philip Brittijn Midfielder
70
Lance Duijvestijn
Lance Duijvestijn Midfielder
44
Iván Márquez
Iván Márquez
Defender86'
9
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis Attacker
19
Paul Gladon
Paul Gladon
Attacker69'
Referee : Jeroen Manschot

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Bielica
Daniel Bielica Goalkeeper
3
Denis Odoi
Denis Odoi Defender
4
Boy Kemper
Boy Kemper Defender
8
Clint Leemans
Clint Leemans Defender
12
Leo Greiml
Leo Greiml Defender
11
Raul Paula
Raul Paula Midfielder
14
Kamal Sowah
Kamal Sowah Midfielder
26
Pepijn Reulen
Pepijn Reulen
Attacker78'
20
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen Midfielder
19
Amine Salama
Amine Salama
Attacker65'
32
Juho Talvitie
Juho Talvitie Midfielder
55
Brahim Ghalidi
Brahim Ghalidi
Attacker65'
90
Lewis Holtby
Lewis Holtby Midfielder
10
Mohamed Nassoh
Mohamed Nassoh
Midfielder38'
24
André Ayew
André Ayew Attacker
9
Moussa Soumano
Moussa Soumano
Attacker78'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Mohamed Nassoh
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Owen Johnson → Syb van Ottele
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Iván Márquez → Lance Duijvestijn
10th Substitution
86'
78'
Event
Pepijn Reulen → Kamal Sowah
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Moussa Soumano → André Ayew
8th Substitution
73'
Event
André Ayew
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Paul Gladon → Kaj Sierhuis
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Mohamed Ihattaren → Dimitrios Limnios
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Yassin Oukili → Kristoffer Peterson
5th Substitution
68'
65'
Event
Brahim Ghalidi → Juho Talvitie
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Amine Salama → Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
3rd Substitution
Event
Kristoffer Peterson
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
56'
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Mohamed Nassoh → Lewis Holtby
1st Substitution
Event
Shawn Adewoye
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
23'
Event
Kristoffer Peterson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
3'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Paul Gladon of Fortuna Sittard won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Denis Odoi fouled a player from NAC Breda.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Fortuna Sittard wins a corner after Daniel Bielica concedes.
90
Corner Corner
Fortuna Sittard wins a corner after Daniel Bielica concedes.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda drawing 1-1.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Nassoh scores for NAC Breda with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the top left corner. The match is now 1-1, assisted by Amine Salama.
90
Update Update
Moussa Soumano of NAC Breda commits dangerous play.
90
Update Update
Justin Hubner from Fortuna Sittard won a free kick in defense.
89
Corner Corner
NAC Breda wins a corner after Luuk Koopmans concedes.
88
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Moussa Soumano of NAC Breda takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Luuk Koopmans of Fortuna Sittard saves it in the left corner. The assist came from Clint Leemans with a header.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fortuna Sittard: Owen Johnson replaces Syb van Ottele.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fortuna Sittard: Iván Márquez replaces Lance Duijvestijn.
85
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Paul Gladon from Fortuna Sittard had a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
83
Attempt Attempt
Moussa Soumano from NAC Breda misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
82
Corner Corner
NAC Breda wins a corner after Luuk Koopmans concedes.
82
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Boy Kemper of NAC Breda heads the ball from the center of the box, but it is saved in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Clint Leemans with a cross.
81
Update Update
Raul Paula from NAC Breda won a free kick in an attacking position.
81
Corner Corner
NAC Breda wins a corner after Justin Hubner concedes.
81
Attempt Attempt
Amine Salama's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Mohamed Nassoh.
81
Update Update
Fouled by Syb van Ottele of Fortuna Sittard.
79
Attempt Attempt
Paul Gladon's shot for Fortuna Sittard from a difficult position on the right is blocked. Lance Duijvestijn provided the assist.
79
Corner Corner
Fortuna Sittard wins a corner after Leo Greiml concedes.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Pepijn Reulen replaces Kamal Sowah.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Moussa Soumano replaces André Ayew.
77
Update Update
Paul Gladon of Fortuna Sittard won a free kick on the left wing.
77
Update Update
Foul committed by Leo Greiml of NAC Breda.
76
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Leo Greiml from NAC Breda takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
73
Update Update
Raul Paula from NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
73
Update Update
André Ayew commits a foul against NAC Breda.
73
Update Update
Syb van Ottele from Fortuna Sittard won a free kick in defense.
73
Update Update
Raul Paula of NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
André Ayew of NAC Breda receives a yellow card for a foul.
70
Update Update
Offside called against Fortuna Sittard. Paul Gladon is offside.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fortuna Sittard: Paul Gladon replaces Kaj Sierhuis.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fortuna Sittard: Mohamed Ihattaren replaces Dimitrios Limnios.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fortuna Sittard: Yassin Oukili replaces Kristoffer Peterson.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Amine Salama replaces Fredrik Oldrup Jensen.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Brahim Ghalidi replaces Juho Talvitie.
63
Update Update
Offside called against Fortuna Sittard. Kaj Sierhuis is offside.
61
Update Update
Offside called against Fortuna Sittard. Kristoffer Peterson is offside.
61
Update Update
André Ayew of NAC Breda is flagged for offside.
59
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Kristoffer Peterson of Fortuna Sittard.
58
Update Update
Shawn Adewoye from Fortuna Sittard was awarded a free kick in defense.
58
Update Update
Juho Talvitie from NAC Breda commits a foul.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fortuna Sittard leads NAC Breda 1-0. Kristoffer Peterson scores for Fortuna Sittard with a left-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, placing it to the left side of the center of the goal. The assist comes from Neraysho Kasanwirjo's cross.
54
Update Update
Shawn Adewoye from Fortuna Sittard won a free kick in defense.
52
Update Update
Fouled by Syb van Ottele of Fortuna Sittard.
52
Update Update
Mohamed Nassoh from NAC Breda won a free kick in an attacking position.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Justin Hubner of Fortuna Sittard.
48
Update Update
André Ayew from NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
46
Update Update
Kaj Sierhuis from Fortuna Sittard won a free kick on the left wing.
46
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Raul Paula of NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
46
Update Update
Neraysho Kasanwirjo from Fortuna Sittard committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Luuk Koopmans from Fortuna Sittard.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda heads the ball from the center of the box, just missing the goal. The assist came from Boy Kemper's cross.
45
Update Update
André Ayew from NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
45
Corner Corner
NAC Breda wins a corner after Jasper Dahlhaus concedes.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Shawn Adewoye of Fortuna Sittard.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda.
44
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Denis Odoi - NAC Breda - shot with right foot from outside the box.
44
Update Update
Kaj Sierhuis from Fortuna Sittard committed a foul.
44
Update Update
Kamal Sowah from NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Kaj Sierhuis from Fortuna Sittard earned a free kick in an attacking position.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Fredrik Oldrup Jensen of NAC Breda.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance for Fortuna Sittard as Lance Duijvestijn shoots with his right foot from the center of the box.
39
Update Update
Philip Brittijn of Fortuna Sittard won a free kick in defense.
39
Update Update
Juho Talvitie from NAC Breda committed a foul.
38
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Mohamed Nassoh replaces Lewis Holtby due to injury.
35
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lewis Holtby from NAC Breda.
32
Update Update
Jasper Dahlhaus of Fortuna Sittard won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Juho Talvitie from NAC Breda committed a foul.
31
Attempt Attempt
Kristoffer Peterson from Fortuna Sittard misses a chance as his right-footed shot from outside the box goes over the goal. The assist was provided by Lance Duijvestijn.
29
Corner Corner
André Ayew of NAC Breda attempts an attack, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but Luuk Koopmans of Fortuna Sittard saves it in the top left corner. The assist came from Lewis Holtby.
27
Corner Corner
NAC Breda wins a corner, conceded by Luuk Koopmans.
26
Attempt Attempt
Kamal Sowah from NAC Breda missed a header from the center of the box.
24
Update Update
Dimitrios Limnios from Fortuna Sittard misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right. The assist came from Jasper Dahlhaus, who headed the ball.
23
Update Update
André Ayew of NAC Breda won a free kick on the left wing.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Shawn Adewoye from Fortuna Sittard receives a yellow card for a foul.
23
Update Update
Fouled by Denis Odoi of NAC Breda.
23
Update Update
Kristoffer Peterson from Fortuna Sittard won a free kick on the left wing.
23
Update Update
André Ayew from NAC Breda won a free kick on the left wing.
20
Attempt Attempt
Raul Paula's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Lewis Holtby.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fortuna Sittard after a concession by Juho Talvitie.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after a concession by Syb van Ottele.
16
Corner Corner
Fortuna Sittard wins a corner after Fredrik Oldrup Jensen concedes.
16
Corner Corner
Syb van Ottele from Fortuna Sittard missed a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
14
Attempt Attempt
André Ayew from NAC Breda misses a chance with a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
12
Update Update
Juho Talvitie of NAC Breda won a free kick in the attacking area.
12
Update Update
Jasper Dahlhaus of Fortuna Sittard committed a foul.
10
Corner Corner
NAC Breda wins a corner after Luuk Koopmans concedes.
10
Corner Corner
NAC Breda is awarded a corner after Luuk Koopmans concedes it.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after Jasper Dahlhaus concedes.
7
Attempt Attempt
Dimitrios Limnios from Fortuna Sittard missed a header from the center of the box. The assist came from Lance Duijvestijn's cross.
5
Update Update
Raul Paula of NAC Breda committed a foul.
5
Update Update
Dimitrios Limnios from Fortuna Sittard won a free kick on the right wing.
4
Update Update
Raul Paula of NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Shawn Adewoye of Fortuna Sittard.
3
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kristoffer Peterson of Fortuna Sittard receives a yellow card for a foul.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Kristoffer Peterson of Fortuna Sittard.
2
Update Update
Leo Greiml from NAC Breda won a free kick in defense.
1
Attempt Attempt
Kristoffer Peterson's shot for Fortuna Sittard from the left side of the box is blocked. Lance Duijvestijn provided the assist.
1
Corner Corner
Fortuna Sittard wins a corner after Leo Greiml concedes.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Fortuna Sittard exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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