Silkeborg IF vs Odense BK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
JYSK park Sun, 12 Apr - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Silkeborg IF SIL
3 Winner 1
Odense BK ODE
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 4 Relegation Round
Pedro Ganchas - 67'
Oliver Ross - 71'
Tonni Adamsen - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Marcus McCoy - 27'

CONTEXT

The match between Silkeborg IF and Odense BK is now finished, ending 3-1 to the home side. Silkeborg trailed 0-1 at half-time but produced a strong second-half response to overturn the deficit and claim victory. Pre-match expectations positioned Odense BK as the stronger side, with a projected win likelihood of 47.3 percent against Silkeborg IF’s 27.9 percent. The result marked a significant deviation in favor of Silkeborg IF, delivering an outcome that ran counter to the pre-match projection. Possession was closely contested throughout, finishing at 48 percent for Silkeborg and 52 percent for Odense, while no expected goals data was available to assess further. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations even as the final score produced an upset. No red cards were issued and no other major disciplinary events altered the flow of play. Overall the contest highlighted Silkeborg’s ability to capitalize on opportunities despite entering as underdogs.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Silkeborg IF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Kronlykke
O. Kronlykke
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
J. Karlsen
J. Karlsen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
R. Risum
R. Risum
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
P. Gammelholm
P. Gammelholm
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Silkeborg IF K. Nielsen
K. Nielsen
VS
Odense BK A. Zorniger
A. Zorniger
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC København Rank: L
Randers FC Rank: W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Fredericia Rank: L
FC Midtjylland Rank: L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredericia Rank: W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
FC København Rank: W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: L
FC København Rank: D
FC Midtjylland Rank: L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 14 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Silkeborg IF
27.86%
Draw
24.88%
Away Odense BK
47.25%

Movement

Changes since opening
Silkeborg IF
-69.49%
Draw
+22.51%
Odense BK
+46.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.03
23.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Silkeborg IF
Odense BK
Power Score
15.03
23.27
League Position
11
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Odense BK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Silkeborg IF Odense BK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Odense BK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Odense BK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.69
31.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.44
44.69
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Silkeborg IF +1.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Odense BK -1.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Odense BK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Odense BK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Silkeborg IF Odense BK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Odense BK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Odense BK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Silkeborg IF
vs
Odense BK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Silkeborg IF Odense BK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Silkeborg IF 0.39
Odense BK 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Odense BK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Silkeborg IF 0.02
Odense BK 0.06
Silkeborg IF
Odense BK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIL had peak pressure around 66'.
  • SIL started the game with stronger pressure.
SIL Pressure ODE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIL reached the top pressure at 66' (66.39).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Silkeborg IF SIL Home
41 matches
Odense BK ODE Away
Match Record
10
Wins
17
14
Draws
14
17
Losses
10
Goals
46
Goals Scored
53
53
Goals Conceded
46
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:03:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
N. Larsen
Denmark
1 N. Larsen
J. Gammelby
Denmark
19 J. Gammelby
R. Østrøm
Norway
3 R. Østrøm
P. Machado Ganchas
Portugal
4 P. Machado Ganchas
A. Poulsen
Denmark
2 A. Poulsen
W. Kirk
Substitution
Denmark
27 W. Kirk
A. Vikman
Substitution
Sweden
6 A. Vikman
C. McCowatt
Substitution
New Zealand
17 C. McCowatt
S. Brix
Substitution
Denmark
14 S. Brix
T. Adamsen
Denmark
23 T. Adamsen
Y. Bakiz
Substitution
Denmark
10 Y. Bakiz
V. Røsholt Myhra
Norway
16 V. Røsholt Myhra
M. McCoy
Denmark
15 M. McCoy
J. Berthel Askou Harvey
Denmark
13 J. Berthel Askou Harvey
N. Bürgy
Switzerland
5 N. Bürgy
L. Owusu
Substitution
Netherlands
20 L. Owusu
A. Suhonen
Substitution
Finland
10 A. Suhonen
I. Ouédraogo
Substitution
Burkina Faso
22 I. Ouédraogo
R. Falk Jensen
Denmark
8 R. Falk Jensen
M. Ejdum
Denmark
18 M. Ejdum
J. Grot
Substitution
Netherlands
31 J. Grot
N. Ganaus
Substitution
Germany
17 N. Ganaus

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 4 · Relegation Round
Stadium
JYSK park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ole Kronlykke
Jacob Karlsen
Rene Risum
Patrick Remon Gammelholm

Statistics

Possession
SIL
48%
ODE
52%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 6
7 Shots 2
49 Dangerous attacks 47
48 Possession 52
4 Corners 3
6 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Dribble Attempts 12
3 Assists 1
2 Successful Dribbles 9
1 Penalties 0
29 Throwins 16
25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75
8 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
2 Hit Woodwork 1
65 Ball Safe 87
15 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 5
1 Counter Attacks 2
104 Attacks 110

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 88
16 Key Passes 12
450 Successful Passes 521
59 Long Passes 45
28 Successful Long Passes 19
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
532 Passes 590

Defensive

5 Interceptions 12
7 Saves 6
14 Tackles 15

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 5
4 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolai Larsen
Nicolai Larsen Goalkeeper
2
Andreas Poulsen
Andreas Poulsen Defender
3
Robin Østrøm
Robin Østrøm Defender
4
Pedro Ganchas
Pedro Ganchas Defender
19
Jens Martin Gammelby
Jens Martin Gammelby Defender
6
Adam Wikman
Adam Wikman Midfielder
33
Mads Freundlich
Mads Freundlich
Midfielder46'
17
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Midfielder
36
Julius Lorents
Julius Lorents
Midfielder90+1'
27
William Kirk
William Kirk Midfielder
20
Mads Larsen
Mads Larsen
Midfielder72'
10
Younes Bakiz
Younes Bakiz Attacker
9
Alexander Simmelhack
Alexander Simmelhack
Attacker72'
14
Sofus Berger
Sofus Berger Attacker
11
Oliver Ross
Oliver Ross
Attacker46'
23
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Attacker
Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

16
Viljar Myhra
Viljar Myhra Goalkeeper
5
Nicolas Bürgy
Nicolas Bürgy Defender
13
Julius Berthel Askou
Julius Berthel Askou Defender
15
Marcus McCoy
Marcus McCoy Defender
20
Leeroy Owusu
Leeroy Owusu Defender
3
Adam Sørensen
Adam Sørensen
Defender82'
8
Rasmus Falk
Rasmus Falk Midfielder
10
Anssi Suhonen
Anssi Suhonen Midfielder
7
Fiete Arp
Fiete Arp
Attacker72'
18
Max Ejdum
Max Ejdum Midfielder
22
Ismahila Ouédraogo
Ismahila Ouédraogo Midfielder
23
William Martin
William Martin
Midfielder82'
17
Noah Ganaus
Noah Ganaus Attacker
11
Jona Niemiec
Jona Niemiec
Attacker72'
31
Jay-Roy Grot
Jay-Roy Grot Attacker
4
Bjørn Paulsen
Bjørn Paulsen
Defender84'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Julius Lorents → Callum McCowatt
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Callum McCowatt
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
90'
90'
Event
Nicolas Bürgy
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Tonni Adamsen
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
89'
84'
Event
Bjørn Paulsen → Jay-Roy Grot
9th Substitution
Event
Andreas Poulsen
Goal disallowed
82'
82'
Event
William Martin → Ismahila Ouédraogo
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Adam Sørensen → Leeroy Owusu
8th Substitution
Event
Alexander Simmelhack → Younes Bakiz
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Mads Larsen → William Kirk
4th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Jona Niemiec → Noah Ganaus
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Fiete Arp → Anssi Suhonen
3rd Substitution
Event
Oliver Ross
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
71'
Event
Pedro Ganchas
Header / 2nd Goal
67'
Event
Mads Freundlich → Adam Wikman
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Oliver Ross → Sofus Berger
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
27'
Event
Marcus McCoy
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Tonni Adamsen
GoalkeeperSave
20'
18'
Event
Julius Berthel Askou
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'
Event
4th Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Silkeborg IF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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