Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 1-0 to the home side. Mallorca secured a narrow victory despite Rayo Vallecano enjoying more of the ball, registering 55 percent possession to the hosts’ 45 percent. No expected goals data was available to measure chance quality, but the result showed only minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, with Mallorca proving the side that exceeded projections. Rayo Vallecano had been viewed as the stronger team heading into the contest, yet Mallorca’s efficiency remained in line with expectations across the full 90 minutes. The outcome aligned with the pre-match projection and was not shaped by any red cards or major disruptive events. Both sides avoided disciplinary trouble, allowing the game to be decided by a single goal and steady home resilience rather than external factors.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Mallorca showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Team Power Ranking
i
22.82
28.24
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Mallorca
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Mallorca
⚠ Proxy
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Mallorca
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RAY had peak pressure around 52'.
- MLL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:06:25+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Mallorca
vs
Valencia
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Rayo Vallecano
vs
AEK Athens
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Thu, 16 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: OPAP Arena
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Substitutes ▼







Manager ▼
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Match Commentary