Austria Wien vs SK Rapid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Generali Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Austria Wien FAK
1 – 1
SK Rapid SCR
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 4 Championship Round
Kelvin Boateng - 34'
Goal
|
Goal
Ercan Kara - 83'

CONTEXT

The match between Austria Wien and SK Rapid is now finished, ending in a 1-1 draw. Austria Wien led 1-0 at half-time but were unable to hold on as SK Rapid equalized in the second period. Pre-match assessments had the contest rated as extremely even, with little to separate the sides. The final result marked a significant deviation for SK Rapid, the stronger team on paper, who controlled 66 percent of possession yet could only salvage a point on the road against Austria Wien’s 34 percent share. No red cards occurred to alter the flow of play. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, though the draw ultimately failed to align with the pre-match projection. Without reliable xG data available, the outcome could not be measured against expected goals, leaving the result as a hard-fought but somewhat disappointing share of the spoils for the visitors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SK Rapid showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

H. Lechner

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Höfler

1st Assistant

S. Pichler

2nd Assistant

J. Semler

4th Official

Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
VS
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
LASK Linz Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: W
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Ried Rank: W
LASK Linz Rank: D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 25 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Austria Wien
34.77%
Draw
30.78%
Away SK Rapid
34.45%

Movement

Changes since opening
Austria Wien
+30.3%
Draw
-60.29%
SK Rapid
+29.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.68
27.13
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
Power Score
23.68
27.13
League Position
5
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Austria Wien SK Rapid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.82
13.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.56
23.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Austria Wien +0.87 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Rapid -0.87 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Austria Wien ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Rapid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Austria Wien SK Rapid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Austria Wien SK Rapid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Austria Wien
vs
SK Rapid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Austria Wien SK Rapid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Austria Wien 0.14
SK Rapid 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Austria Wien SK Rapid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Austria Wien 0.03
SK Rapid 0.02
Austria Wien
SK Rapid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCR had peak pressure around 96'.
  • SCR started the game with stronger pressure.
FAK Pressure SCR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCR reached the top pressure at 96' (94.91).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 74 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Austria Wien FAK Home
74 matches
SK Rapid SCR Away
Match Record
24
Wins
25
25
Draws
25
25
Losses
24
Goals
94
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
94
-6
Goal Difference
+6

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:07:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
S. Sahin-Radlinger
Austria
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger
J. Handl
Austria
46 J. Handl
A. Dragović
Austria
15 A. Dragović
P. Wiesinger
Austria
28 P. Wiesinger
R. Ranftl
Austria
26 R. Ranftl
A. Bari
Gambia
5 A. Bari
P. Maybach
Substitution
Austria
6 P. Maybach
T. Lee
South Korea
17 T. Lee
M. Fischer
Substitution
Austria
30 M. Fischer
V. Markovic
Substitution
Austria
36 V. Markovic
K. Boateng
Substitution
Ghana
14 K. Boateng
Pitch
N. Hedl
Austria
1 N. Hedl
S. Raux Yao
France
6 S. Raux Yao
N. Cvetković
Serbia
55 N. Cvetković
J. Schöller
Substitution
Austria
4 J. Schöller
J. Horn
Germany
38 J. Horn
M. Seidl
Austria
18 M. Seidl
A. Romeo
Substitution
Ivory Coast
29 A. Romeo
B. Bolla
Hungary
77 B. Bolla
P. Dahl
Substitution
Norway
10 P. Dahl
N. Wurmbrand
Substitution
Austria
15 N. Wurmbrand
A. Weimann
Substitution
Austria
26 A. Weimann

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 4 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Generali Arena
Capacity :
10398
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Harald Lechner
Martin Höfler
Stefan Pichler
Jakob Semler

Statistics

Possession
FAK
37%
SCR
63%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 3
42 Dangerous attacks 39
34 Possession 66
6 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 7
4 Substitutions 5
63 Ball Safe 78
8 Successful Dribbles 8
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
18 Throwins 20
20 Dribble Attempts 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
6 Goal Attempts 4
0 Assists 1

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
92 Attacks 122

Possession

52 Long Passes 35
290 Passes 610
204 Successful Passes 535
70 Successful Passes Percentage 88
5 Key Passes 7
12 Successful Long Passes 16
23 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

20 Tackles 17
2 Saves 0
13 Interceptions 6

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 24
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

12 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Harald Lechner

Starting XI ▼

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
15
Aleksandar Dragovic
Aleksandar Dragovic Defender
28
Philipp Wiesinger
Philipp Wiesinger Defender
46
Johannes Handl
Johannes Handl Defender
5
Abubakr Barry
Abubakr Barry Midfielder
6
Philipp Maybach
Philipp Maybach Midfielder
22
Florian Wustinger
Florian Wustinger
Midfielder61'
17
Tae-seok Lee
Tae-seok Lee Midfielder
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
14
Kelvin Boateng
Kelvin Boateng Attacker
20
Sanel Saljic
Sanel Saljic
Midfielder62'
30
Manfred Fischer
Manfred Fischer Attacker
33
Marijan Österreicher
Marijan Österreicher
Midfielder90+1'
36
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic Attacker
40
Matteo Schablas
Matteo Schablas
Defender83'
Referee : Harald Lechner

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
4
Jakob Schöller
Jakob Schöller Defender
20
Ange Ahoussou
Ange Ahoussou
Defender46'
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender
55
Nenad Cvetkovic
Nenad Cvetkovic Defender
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl Midfielder
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Midfielder
90
Janis Antiste
Janis Antiste
Attacker63'
38
Jannes Horn
Jannes Horn Midfielder
77
Bendegúz Bolla
Bendegúz Bolla Midfielder
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Attacker
22
Yusuf Demir
Yusuf Demir
Attacker63'
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Nikolaus Wurmbrand Attacker
9
Ercan Kara
Ercan Kara
Attacker63'
26
Andreas Weimann
Andreas Weimann Attacker
8
Lukas Grgic
Lukas Grgic
Midfielder89'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Marijan Österreicher → Manfred Fischer
9th Substitution
90+1'
89'
Event
Lukas Grgic → Andreas Weimann
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Jannes Horn
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Matteo Schablas → Vasilije Markovic
7th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Ercan Kara
Header / 2nd Goal
63'
Event
Janis Antiste → Romeo Amane
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Yusuf Demir → Petter Nosa Dahl
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Ercan Kara → Nikolaus Wurmbrand
6th Substitution
Event
Sanel Saljic → Kelvin Boateng
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Florian Wustinger → Philipp Maybach
2nd Substitution
61'
46'
Event
Ange Ahoussou → Jakob Schöller
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
43'
Event
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Kelvin Boateng
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
Event
Vasilije Markovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SK Rapid exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.