VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
HSV
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-0 to the home side. VfB Stuttgart led 2-0 at halftime and never looked back, securing a straightforward victory without reply in the second period. The outcome showed minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, with VfB Stuttgart delivering the result that had been widely anticipated given their status as the stronger team. They dominated possession throughout, holding 65 percent of the ball to Hamburger SV’s 35 percent, though no xG data was available to measure chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the final result aligned fully with the pre-match projection. No red cards were issued and there were no major disruptive events, allowing the contest to follow a predictable path from start to finish.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: VfB Stuttgart showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Team Power Ranking
i
29.68
18.4
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
VfB Stuttgart
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
VfB Stuttgart
⚠ Proxy
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- VFB had peak pressure around 83'.
- VFB started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:08:32+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
VfB Stuttgart
vs
FC Bayern München
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 3:30 PM
Venue: Allianz Arena
Hamburger SV
vs
Werder Bremen
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 1:30 PM
Venue: Wohninvest Weserstadion
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary