VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
MHPArena Sun, 12 Apr - 3:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart VFB
4 Winner 0
Hamburger SV HSV
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 3:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Maximilian Mittelstädt - 56'
Chris Führich - 32'
Angelo Stiller - 21'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between VfB Stuttgart and Hamburger SV is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-0 to the home side. VfB Stuttgart led 2-0 at halftime and never looked back, securing a straightforward victory without reply in the second period. The outcome showed minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, with VfB Stuttgart delivering the result that had been widely anticipated given their status as the stronger team. They dominated possession throughout, holding 65 percent of the ball to Hamburger SV’s 35 percent, though no xG data was available to measure chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the final result aligned fully with the pre-match projection. No red cards were issued and there were no major disruptive events, allowing the contest to follow a predictable path from start to finish.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: VfB Stuttgart showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Sven Jablonski

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Müller

1st Assistant

R. Hartmann

4th Official

R. Wessel

2nd Assistant

VfB Stuttgart S. Hoeneß
S. Hoeneß
VS
Hamburger SV M. Polzin
M. Polzin
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
FC Augsburg Rank: W
RB Leipzig Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: D
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
Heidenheim Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Augsburg Rank: D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
FC Köln Rank: D
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: L
RB Leipzig Rank: L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 2 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home VfB Stuttgart
97.44%
Draw
1.91%
Away Hamburger SV
0.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.68
18.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Power Score
29.68
18.4
League Position
3
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
VfB Stuttgart — Opponent-weighted form score
Hamburger SV — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

VfB Stuttgart

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hamburger SV

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

VfB Stuttgart ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamburger SV
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.15
29.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.00
40.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
VfB Stuttgart +1.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Hamburger SV -1.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

VfB Stuttgart ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamburger SV
Created Set-piece attacking threat
VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
VfB Stuttgart
vs
Hamburger SV
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
VfB Stuttgart 0.37
Hamburger SV 0.39
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
VfB Stuttgart Hamburger SV
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
VfB Stuttgart 0.00
Hamburger SV 0.06
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VFB had peak pressure around 83'.
  • VFB started the game with stronger pressure.
VFB Pressure HSV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VFB reached the top pressure at 83' (99.86).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

VfB Stuttgart VFB Home
25 matches
Hamburger SV HSV Away
Match Record
12
Wins
11
2
Draws
2
11
Losses
12
Goals
39
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
39
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:08:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
A. Nübel
Germany
33 A. Nübel
L. Assignon
Substitution
France
22 L. Assignon
R. Hendriks
Netherlands
3 R. Hendriks
J. Chabot
Germany
24 J. Chabot
M. Mittelstädt
Germany
7 M. Mittelstädt
J. Andrés Baixauli
Substitution
Spain
30 J. Andrés Baixauli
A. Stiller
Germany
6 A. Stiller
J. Leweling
Germany
18 J. Leweling
D. Undav
Substitution
Germany
26 D. Undav
C. Führich
Substitution
Germany
10 C. Führich
E. Demirović
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 E. Demirović
Pitch
D. Heuer Fernandes
Portugal
1 D. Heuer Fernandes
D. Elfadli
Substitution
Libya
8 D. Elfadli
J. Torunarigha
Nigeria
25 J. Torunarigha
W. Omari
France
17 W. Omari
F. Uri Baldé
Substitution
Portugal
45 F. Uri Baldé
N. Remberg
Germany
21 N. Remberg
A. Erlykke
Substitution
Denmark
23 A. Erlykke
W. Mikelbrencis
France
2 W. Mikelbrencis
F. Ferreira Vieira
Portugal
20 F. Ferreira Vieira
R. Philippe
Substitution
France
14 R. Philippe
R. Königsdörffer
Ghana
11 R. Königsdörffer

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
MHPArena
Capacity :
60449
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Eric Müller
Sven Jablonski
Robert Hartmann
Robert Edgar Wessel

Statistics

Possession
VFB
62%
HSV
38%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
11 Shots 5
62 Dangerous attacks 23
65 Possession 35
8 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 7
4 Assists 0
76 Ball Safe 82
18 Goal Attempts 6
10 Dribble Attempts 12
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
24 Successful Headers 13
12 Throwins 9
6 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
125 Attacks 52

Possession

18 Key Passes 8
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
539 Passes 294
85 Successful Passes Percentage 75
46 Long Passes 66
457 Successful Passes 221
21 Successful Long Passes 28

Defensive

4 Saves 7
6 Interceptions 10
14 Tackles 13

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 3
21 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Sven Jablonski

Starting XI ▼

33
Alexander Nübel
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper
3
Ramon Hendriks
Ramon Hendriks Defender
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender
22
Lorenz Assignon
Lorenz Assignon Defender
4
Josha Vagnoman
Josha Vagnoman
Defender88'
24
Jeff Chabot
Jeff Chabot Defender
6
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller Midfielder
10
Chris Führich
Chris Führich Midfielder
11
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss
Midfielder70'
18
Jamie Leweling
Jamie Leweling Midfielder
26
Deniz Undav
Deniz Undav Midfielder
25
Jeremy Arévalo
Jeremy Arévalo
Attacker88'
30
Chema Andrés
Chema Andrés Midfielder
28
Nikolas Nartey
Nikolas Nartey
Midfielder70'
9
Ermedin Demirovic
Ermedin Demirovic Attacker
8
Tiago Tomás
Tiago Tomás
Attacker70'
Referee : Sven Jablonski

Starting XI ▼

1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Daniel Heuer Fernandes Goalkeeper
8
Daniel Elfadli
Daniel Elfadli Defender
24
Nicolás Capaldo
Nicolás Capaldo
Midfielder72'
17
Warmed Omari
Warmed Omari Defender
25
Jordan Torunarigha
Jordan Torunarigha Defender
2
William Mikelbrencis
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder
21
Nicolai Remberg
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder
23
Albert Grønbæk
Albert Grønbæk Midfielder
9
Robert Glatzel
Robert Glatzel
Attacker60'
45
Fabio Baldé
Fabio Baldé Midfielder
16
Giorgi Gocholeishvili
Giorgi Gocholeishvili
Defender72'
11
Ransford Königsdörffer
Ransford Königsdörffer Attacker
14
Rayan Philippe
Rayan Philippe Attacker
49
Otto Stange
Otto Stange
Attacker60'
20
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jeremy Arévalo → Deniz Undav
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Josha Vagnoman → Lorenz Assignon
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Bilal El Khannouss
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
86'
Event
Deniz Undav
OffTarget
82'
Event
Tiago Tomás
Penalty awarded
81'
Event
Deniz Undav
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
80'
80'
Event
Nicolás Capaldo
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Nicolás Capaldo → Daniel Elfadli
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Giorgi Gocholeishvili → Fabio Baldé
7th Substitution
Event
Bilal El Khannouss → Chris Führich
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Nikolas Nartey → Chema Andrés
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Tiago Tomás → Ermedin Demirovic
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Ermedin Demirovic
Goal disallowed
67'
60'
Event
Otto Stange → Rayan Philippe
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Robert Glatzel → Albert Grønbæk
1st Substitution
Event
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
1ST-HALF
Event
Chris Führich
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
32'
Event
Chema Andrés
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
24'
Event
4th Yellowcard
24'
Event
Angelo Stiller
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
21'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Foul committed by Ramon Hendriks of VfB Stuttgart.
90
Update Update
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Fábio Vieira fouled by Hamburger SV.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with VfB Stuttgart winning 4-0 against Hamburger SV.
90
Update Update
Otto Stange from Hamburger SV won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Offside called against VfB Stuttgart. Jamie Leweling is in an offside position.
90
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Fábio Vieira of Hamburger SV takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Alexander Nübel of VfB Stuttgart. The assist comes from William Mikelbrencis.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Jeremy Arévalo replaces Deniz Undav.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Josha Vagnoman replaces Lorenz Assignon.
87
Update Update
Offside called against VfB Stuttgart. Tiago Tomás is offside.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! VfB Stuttgart leads 4-0 against Hamburger SV. Bilal El Khannouss scores with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the high center of the goal, assisted by Tiago Tomás.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after a concession by Maximilian Mittelstädt.
84
Attempt Attempt
Robert Glatzel's shot from the center of the box for Hamburger SV is blocked.
82
Update Update
Deniz Undav from VfB Stuttgart misses the penalty, shooting high with his right foot.
81
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty for VfB Stuttgart.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Deniz Undav from VfB Stuttgart receives a yellow card.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolás Capaldo of Hamburger SV receives a yellow card.
78
Update Update
Warmed Omari of Hamburger SV concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
78
Update Update
Penalty awarded to VfB Stuttgart as Tiago Tomás is fouled in the penalty area.
76
Attempt Attempt
Bilal El Khannouss of VfB Stuttgart has a shot from the center of the box blocked. The assist came from Deniz Undav's cross.
76
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nicolás Capaldo of Hamburger SV.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Giorgi Gocholeishvili of Hamburger SV.
75
Update Update
Nikolas Nartey of VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in the defensive area.
74
Update Update
Giorgi Gocholeishvili of Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
74
Update Update
Foul by Jamie Leweling of VfB Stuttgart.
73
Attempt Attempt
Otto Stange from Hamburger SV had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box after a fast break assisted by Nicolás Capaldo.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Nicolás Capaldo replaces Daniel Elfadli.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Giorgi Gocholeishvili replaces Fabio Baldé.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Bilal El Khannouss replaces Chris Führich.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Nikolas Nartey replaces Chema Andres.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Tiago Tomás replaces Ermedin Demirovic.
69
Update Update
Chris Führich from VfB Stuttgart won a free kick on the left wing.
69
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg from Hamburger SV commits a foul.
68
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Robert Glatzel of Hamburger SV.
67
Update Update
VAR decision confirms no goal after the match finishes 3-0 in favor of VfB Stuttgart against Hamburger SV.
67
Update Update
Jamie Leweling of VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
66
Update Update
Goal overturned by VAR! Ermedin Demirovic scores for VfB Stuttgart, but the goal is disallowed after a VAR review.
66
Update Update
Deniz Undav of VfB Stuttgart is flagged for offside.
63
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Stiller's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Chema Andres provided the assist.
63
Update Update
Fábio Vieira of Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
63
Update Update
Deniz Undav of VfB Stuttgart commits a foul.
63
Attempt Attempt
Chris Führich from VfB Stuttgart makes an attacking attempt, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but his shot is saved by Daniel Heuer Fernandes, the goalkeeper for Hamburger SV, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Chema Andres.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Otto Stange replaces Rayan Philippe.
60
Update Update
Offside called against VfB Stuttgart. Jamie Leweling is offside.
60
Update Update
Deniz Undav's header from close range is blocked after a cross from Chris Führich.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hamburger SV: Robert Glatzel replaces Albert Grønbæk.
59
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Daniel Heuer Fernandes concedes.
59
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Maximilian Mittelstädt from VfB Stuttgart shoots with his left foot from outside the box, but Daniel Heuer Fernandes from Hamburger SV saves it in the top left corner.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Elfadli of Hamburger SV.
58
Update Update
Jeff Chabot from VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in an attacking position.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! VfB Stuttgart leads 3-0 against Hamburger SV. Maximilian Mittelstädt scores with a left-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner, assisted by Chris Führich after a corner.
55
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Daniel Heuer Fernandes concedes.
55
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Chris Führich of VfB Stuttgart has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist was provided by Deniz Undav.
54
Update Update
Rayan Philippe from Hamburger SV misses a chance as his header from the center of the box goes over the bar. The assist came from Fabio Baldé, who delivered a cross.
53
Corner Corner
Deniz Undav of VfB Stuttgart makes an attacking attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV. The assist comes from Ermedin Demirovic.
52
Attempt Attempt
Ransford Königsdörffer from Hamburger SV had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it went close and missed. The assist came from Fábio Vieira during a fast break.
51
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from a difficult position on the left, but it is saved by Hamburger SV's goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes in the center of the goal. The assist was provided by Chris Führich.
50
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Chris Führich from VfB Stuttgart took a right-footed shot from a difficult position and long distance on the left, but it went close and missed the top right corner from a free kick.
49
Update Update
Warmed Omari commits a foul against Hamburger SV.
49
Update Update
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart won a free kick on the left wing.
48
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Ransford Königsdörffer concedes.
48
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Ermedin Demirovic from VfB Stuttgart takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes from Hamburger SV, positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Chema Andres.
48
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Chema Andres from VfB Stuttgart shot with his right foot from the center of the box but missed to the left after a corner.
47
Update Update
Lorenz Assignon from VfB Stuttgart won a free kick on the right wing.
47
Update Update
Rayan Philippe from Hamburger SV commits a foul.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg of Hamburger SV commits a handball.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with VfB Stuttgart leading 2-0 against Hamburger SV.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with VfB Stuttgart leading Hamburger SV 2-0.
45
Update Update
Jeff Chabot from VfB Stuttgart heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes over the bar. The assist came from Maximilian Mittelstädt, who provided the cross.
44
Attempt Attempt
Deniz Undav's shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Jamie Leweling.
43
Update Update
Jamie Leweling of VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
43
Update Update
Ransford Königsdörffer from Hamburger SV commits a foul.
42
Update Update
Offside called against VfB Stuttgart. Jamie Leweling is offside.
42
Corner Corner
Deniz Undav from VfB Stuttgart attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Daniel Heuer Fernandes of Hamburger SV. The assist came from Chris Führich.
41
Attempt Attempt
Chris Führich's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Deniz Undav.
41
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Jordan Torunarigha concedes.
40
Attempt Attempt
Deniz Undav's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Jeff Chabot, who headed the ball.
39
Attempt Attempt
Ermedin Demirovic's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Deniz Undav, who provided a header.
39
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Warmed Omari concedes.
37
Update Update
Offside called against Hamburger SV. Ransford Königsdörffer is in an offside position.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Angelo Stiller of VfB Stuttgart.
34
Update Update
Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! VfB Stuttgart leads 2-0 against Hamburger SV. Chris Führich scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner, assisted by Ermedin Demirovic.
31
Update Update
Nicolai Remberg from Hamburger SV committed a foul.
31
Update Update
Chema Andres from VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
30
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by VfB Stuttgart's goalkeeper Alexander Nübel, positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Albert Grønbæk.
29
Attempt Attempt
Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV attempts a header from the center of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Alexander Nübel of VfB Stuttgart. The assist comes from Fábio Vieira, who provided the cross.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Hamburger SV after a concession by Alexander Nübel.
28
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Ransford Königsdörffer of Hamburger SV shoots with his left foot from the left side of the box, but Alexander Nübel of VfB Stuttgart saves it in the left corner. The assist was provided by Fábio Vieira.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Rayan Philippe of Hamburger SV.
27
Update Update
Ramon Hendriks of VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
26
Update Update
Fouled by Ermedin Demirovic of VfB Stuttgart.
26
Update Update
Warmed Omari from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
24
Update Update
Chema Andres from VfB Stuttgart committed a foul.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Chema Andres of VfB Stuttgart receives a yellow card for a foul.
24
Update Update
Albert Grønbæk of Hamburger SV won a free kick on the left wing.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Jeff Chabot of VfB Stuttgart.
23
Update Update
Fábio Vieira from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! VfB Stuttgart leads 1-0 against Hamburger SV. Angelo Stiller scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner, assisted by Jamie Leweling.
18
Update Update
Warmed Omari fouled by Hamburger SV.
18
Update Update
Deniz Undav from VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
15
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Baldé from Hamburger SV missed a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box. Nicolai Remberg provided the assist after a fast break.
15
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Fabio Baldé concedes.
11
Update Update
Rayan Philippe - Hamburger SV - won a free kick in attack.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Lorenz Assignon of VfB Stuttgart.
11
Update Update
Jeff Chabot from VfB Stuttgart won a free kick in defense.
10
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Deniz Undav from VfB Stuttgart shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
6
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Ransford Königsdörffer concedes.
6
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Daniel Elfadli concedes.
3
Update Update
Fouled by Ermedin Demirovic of VfB Stuttgart.
3
Update Update
Warmed Omari from Hamburger SV won a free kick in defense.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: VfB Stuttgart exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.