Bologna vs Lecce Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Lecce
LEC
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Bologna and Lecce is finished, ending in a 2-0 victory for the home side. Bologna led 1-0 at half-time and added a further goal after the break to secure the result, with no red cards shown to either team during the contest. Pre-match forecasts gave Bologna a very strong 94.1 percent likelihood of success, and the outcome showed only minimal deviation in their favor. The stronger team duly prevailed as expected. Bologna dominated possession with 64 percent of the ball to Lecce’s 36 percent, although expected goals data was unavailable. The efficiency shift stayed in line with projections throughout, and the final score aligned fully with the pre-match assessment of the teams’ relative strengths. No major disruptive events altered the flow of play. Overall the result confirmed the anticipated outcome, with Bologna converting their territorial control into a comfortable win.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Bologna showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bologna
Lecce
Team Power Ranking
i
29.55
12.03
Bologna
Lecce
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Bologna
Lecce
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bologna
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Bologna
⚠ Proxy
Bologna
Lecce
Bologna
Lecce
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Bologna
Bologna
Lecce
Bologna
Lecce
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LEC had peak pressure around 80'.
- LEC started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:08:42+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Bologna
vs
Aston Villa
League: Europa League
Kickoff: Thu, 16 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Villa Park
Lecce
vs
Fiorentina
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Mon, 20 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary