Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alavés is now finished, ending 3-1 to the home side. The teams went in level at 2-2 at half-time, but Real Sociedad pulled clear after the break to secure the victory. Pre-match forecasts positioned Real Sociedad as the stronger side with a 54 percent projected chance of winning. The final result represented a significant deviation in their favor, exceeding those expectations. Possession was shared fairly evenly, with Real Sociedad holding 54 percent to Alavés's 46 percent. No xG data was available for the contest. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations overall, and the outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection for the favored team. A red card for Real Sociedad introduced clear distortion in the second half, yet they still found an additional goal while preventing Alavés from scoring again, underlining their control despite the numerical disadvantage.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Real Sociedad showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
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Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Movement
Changes since opening
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Team Power Ranking
i
31.36
22.15
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Real Sociedad
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Real Sociedad
⚠ Proxy
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ALA had peak pressure around 101'.
- RSO started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:03:28+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Real Sociedad
vs
Atlético Madrid
League: Copa Del Rey
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Deportivo Alavés
vs
Real Madrid
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 7:30 PM
Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary