Elche vs Valencia Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Valencia
VAL
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Elche and Valencia is finished, with the full-time score ending 1-0 to Elche. The sides went into the interval level at 0-0, and the only goal of the contest arrived in the second half to secure the points for the home team. No red cards were shown, and the result arrived with minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, driven by Elche. Valencia entered the fixture as the stronger side on paper, yet Elche produced a performance that delivered a win aligned with the broader pre-match projection. Possession favored Elche at 57 percent to 43 percent, though expected goals data was unavailable to provide deeper insight into chance quality. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations throughout, and the outcome proved consistent with the pre-match view despite the away side’s perceived edge. Overall the contest followed a logical path once Elche found their rhythm after the break, converting territorial control into a narrow but deserved victory.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Elche showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Elche
Valencia
Team Power Ranking
i
17.5
23.98
Elche
Valencia
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Elche
Valencia
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Elche
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Elche
⚠ Proxy
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Elche
Elche
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- VAL had peak pressure around 88'.
- ELC started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:08:24+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Elche
vs
Atlético Madrid
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Valencia
vs
Mallorca
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Tue, 21 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary