AVS vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves Sat, 11 Apr - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
AVS AVS
1 – 1
Vitória Guimarães VDG
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Tomané - 27'
Goal
|
Goal
Gustavo Silva - 24'

CONTEXT

The match between AVS and Vitória Guimarães is finished, ending in a 1-1 draw. Both sides scored in the opening 45 minutes and the score remained unchanged after the interval, with no red cards issued to either team. Pre-match forecasts gave Vitória Guimarães a strong edge as the clearer favorite, yet the result delivered a significant deviation against them. The away side, identified as the stronger team overall, could not convert their expected superiority into a win, producing an outcome that failed to align with those initial projections. Possession reflected their control at 61 percent to AVS’s 39 percent, although expected goals figures were not available. The efficiency shift stayed in line with the balance of play, underlining a resilient performance by the home team. In the end the draw highlighted AVS’s ability to frustrate their opponents despite the pre-match imbalance in perceived quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vitória Guimarães showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Vasilica
I. Vasilica
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
J. Castro Pereira
J. Castro Pereira
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
?. Carneiro
?. Carneiro
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
S. dos Santos Guelho
S. dos Santos Guelho
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.77
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
VS
Vitória Guimarães G. Moreira Lameiras
G. Moreira Lameiras
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: L
Tondela Rank: D
Santa Clara Rank: L
Alverca Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: D
Benfica Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: W
Benfica Rank: L
Famalicão Rank: L
Santa Clara Rank: L
Alverca Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AVS
17.09%
Draw
24.58%
Away Vitória Guimarães
58.33%

Movement

Changes since opening
AVS
+14.34%
Draw
-65.46%
Vitória Guimarães
+51.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
10.57
17.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AVS
Vitória Guimarães
Power Score
10.57
17.8
League Position
18
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória Guimarães — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AVS Vitória Guimarães

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AVS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vitória Guimarães

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AVS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vitória Guimarães
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.08
27.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.30
48.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AVS +2.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Vitória Guimarães -2.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AVS
Vitória Guimarães
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AVS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vitória Guimarães
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AVS Vitória Guimarães
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AVS Vitória Guimarães
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
AVS
Vitória Guimarães
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
AVS
vs
Vitória Guimarães
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AVS Vitória Guimarães
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
AVS 0.49
Vitória Guimarães 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AVS Vitória Guimarães
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
AVS 0.02
Vitória Guimarães 0.03
AVS
Vitória Guimarães
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VDG had peak pressure around 67'.
  • VDG started the game with stronger pressure.
AVS Pressure VDG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VDG reached the top pressure at 67' (99.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AVS AVS Home
3 matches
Vitória Guimarães VDG Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
1
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:08:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Vasconcelos Ramos
Brazil
1 A. Vasconcelos Ramos
M. Cardoso Francisco
Brazil
97 M. Cardoso Francisco
C. Castro
Colombia
42 C. Castro
P. Leal Sousa Lima
Brazil
3 P. Leal Sousa Lima
L. Rivas
Substitution
Paraguay
12 L. Rivas
G. Mendonça
Portugal
23 G. Mendonça
R. Medeiros de Moura
Brazil
70 R. Medeiros de Moura
P. Lima Barros
Substitution
Brazil
8 P. Lima Barros
B. Akinsola
Substitution
Nigeria
11 B. Akinsola
A. Fernandes Mendes
Substitution
Portugal
7 A. Fernandes Mendes
A. Green
Substitution
England
25 A. Green
C. da Silva
Brazil
27 C. da Silva
João Mendes
Portugal
13 João Mendes
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
Brazil
28 T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
O. Rivas Viondi
Spain
4 O. Rivas Viondi
T. Strata
Romania
66 T. Strata
F. Amorim Silva
Portugal
20 F. Amorim Silva
B. Mambuene Mukendi
Angola
16 B. Mambuene Mukendi
G. Teixeira Nogueira
Substitution
Portugal
30 G. Teixeira Nogueira
O. Camara
Substitution
France
19 O. Camara
G. da Silva Cunha
Substitution
Brazil
11 G. da Silva Cunha
J. Costa Nogueira
Substitution
Portugal
88 J. Costa Nogueira

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Capacity
8560
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Iancu Ioan Vasilica
José Pedro Castro Pereira
Ângelo Carneiro
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Statistics

Possession
AVS
43%
VDG
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 7
35 Dangerous attacks 53
39 Possession 61
5 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 16
5 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

21 Throwins 25
15 Successful Headers 15
3 Successful Dribbles 5
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
15 Dribble Attempts 17
9 Goal Kicks 8
1 Assists 1
62 Ball Safe 72
10 Goal Attempts 12
3 Injuries 1
5 Substitutions 4
0 Hit Woodwork 2

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 3
82 Attacks 112
2 Counter Attacks 0

Possession

27 Successful Long Passes 19
64 Long Passes 45
74 Successful Passes Percentage 82
199 Successful Passes 343
270 Passes 419
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
10 Key Passes 8

Defensive

15 Tackles 17
8 Interceptions 6
5 Saves 3

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 22
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

16 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Starting XI ▼

1
Adriel
Adriel Goalkeeper
3
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor Defender
12
Leonardo Rivas
Leonardo Rivas Defender
24
Christian Neiva Afonso
Christian Neiva Afonso
Defender69'
42
Cristian David Castro Devenish
Cristian David Castro Devenish Defender
97
Mateus Pivô
Mateus Pivô Defender
8
Pedro Lima Barros
Pedro Lima Barros Midfielder
27
Ángel Algobia Esteves
Ángel Algobia Esteves
Midfielder82'
23
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Midfielder
70
Roni
Roni Midfielder
7
Tomané
Tomané Attacker
20
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Attacker82'
11
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola Attacker
21
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Attacker85'
25
Andre Green
Andre Green Attacker
14
Óscar Perea
Óscar Perea
Attacker46'
Referee : Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Starting XI ▼

27
Charles
Charles Goalkeeper
4
Óscar Rivas
Óscar Rivas Defender
13
João Mendes
João Mendes Defender
28
Thiago Balieiro
Thiago Balieiro Defender
66
Tony Strata
Tony Strata Defender
16
Beni Mukendi
Beni Mukendi Midfielder
20
Samu
Samu Midfielder
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
Gonçalo Nogueira Midfielder
23
Diogo Sousa
Diogo Sousa
Midfielder56'
11
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva Attacker
7
Nélson Oliveira
Nélson Oliveira
Attacker70'
19
Oumar Camara
Oumar Camara Attacker
48
Noah Jose Saviolo
Noah Jose Saviolo
Attacker56'
88
Miguel Nogueira
Miguel Nogueira Attacker
18
Telmo Arcanjo
Telmo Arcanjo
Midfielder70'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cristian David Castro Devenish
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Guilherme Neiva Silva → Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Ángel Algobia Esteves → Pedro Lima Barros
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete → Tomané
8th Substitution
82'
70'
Event
Nélson Oliveira → Gustavo Silva
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Telmo Arcanjo → Miguel Nogueira
5th Substitution
Event
Christian Neiva Afonso → Leonardo Rivas
4th Substitution
69'
Event
7th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Leonardo Rivas
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
65'
56'
Event
Noah Jose Saviolo → Oumar Camara
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Diogo Sousa → Gonçalo Nogueira
3rd Substitution
Event
Óscar Perea → Andre Green
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Andre Green
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
37'
Event
Simão Verza Bertelli
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
31'
31'
Event
Thiago Balieiro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Tomané
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
27'
24'
Event
Gustavo Silva
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after Telmo Arcanjo concedes.
90
Update Update
Foul by Gustavo Mendonça of AVS.
90
Attempt Attempt
Óscar Perea's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 1-1 between AVS and Vitoria Guimaraes.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Cristian Devenish of AVS.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Nélson Oliveira from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gustavo Mendonça of AVS receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Telmo Arcanjo from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick on the right wing.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ángel Algobia's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cristian Devenish from AVS receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
João Mendes from Vitoria Guimaraes misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high after a set piece situation.
90
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Neiva's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Charles. The attempt was assisted by Ángel Algobia.
89
Update Update
Noah Saviolo from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick on the left wing.
89
Update Update
Foul by Ángel Algobia for AVS.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Guilherme Neiva of AVS.
89
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
88
Corner Corner
Gustavo Mendonça from AVS misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it close but to the right after a corner.
87
Corner Corner
Ángel Algobia's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Charles. The attempt was assisted by Diego Duarte.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after a concession by Charles.
87
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Óscar Perea from AVS.
86
Corner Corner
Gustavo Mendonça's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top left corner by Charles. The attempt was assisted by Ángel Algobia.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Guilherme Neiva comes on for Tunde Akinsola due to an injury.
84
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Tunde Akinsola from AVS.
83
Update Update
Diego Duarte of AVS is caught offside.
83
Corner Corner
Diogo Sousa's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top left corner by Adriel. The attempt was assisted by Telmo Arcanjo.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Diego Duarte comes on for Tomané.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after Óscar Rivas concedes.
80
Update Update
Nélson Oliveira commits a handball for Vitoria Guimaraes.
79
Update Update
Óscar Perea is caught offside for AVS.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after a concession by Tony Strata.
77
Attempt Attempt
Óscar Perea's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Pedro Lima provided the assist.
77
Corner Corner
Matheus Pivô from AVS misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, sending it too high. He was assisted by Óscar Perea, who provided a cross after a corner.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Noah Saviolo of Vitoria Guimaraes.
76
Update Update
Tunde Akinsola wins a free kick for AVS in the defensive half.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Tunde Akinsola of AVS.
75
Update Update
João Mendes from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Update Update
Foul by Óscar Rivas of Vitoria Guimaraes.
72
Update Update
Tomané wins a free kick in the attacking half for AVS.
72
Attempt Attempt
Nélson Oliveira from Vitoria Guimaraes hits the right post with a right-footed shot from outside the box during a direct free kick.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Mendonça of AVS.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Nélson Oliveira comes on for Gustavo Silva.
70
Update Update
Óscar Rivas from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the attacking half.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Telmo Arcanjo comes on for Miguel Nogueira.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Kiki comes on for Daniel Rivas.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Tomané for AVS.
68
Update Update
Óscar Rivas from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Tony Strata of Vitoria Guimaraes.
67
Update Update
Pedro Lima from AVS wins a free kick in the defensive half.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simão from AVS receives a yellow card.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Rivas from AVS receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
62
Update Update
Gustavo Silva from Vitoria Guimaraes is caught offside.
62
Corner Corner
Thiago Balieiro from Vitoria Guimaraes misses a header from the center of the box to the right. Samu provided the assist with a cross after a corner.
61
Corner Corner
Vitoria Guimaraes wins a corner after Matheus Pivô concedes.
58
Update Update
Foul by Gustavo Mendonça of AVS.
58
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
57
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Silva from Vitoria Guimaraes has his left-footed shot from the center of the box saved by Adriel in the center of the goal.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Diogo Sousa comes on for Gonçalo Nogueira.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Vitoria Guimaraes: Noah Saviolo comes on for Oumar Camara.
55
Corner Corner
Tomané from AVS misses the header from the center of the box, sending it too high. He was assisted by Óscar Perea, who provided a cross after a corner.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after a concession by Beni.
53
Attempt Attempt
Óscar Perea's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Rivas from AVS has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
50
Update Update
Foul committed by João Mendes of Vitoria Guimaraes.
50
Update Update
Tunde Akinsola from AVS wins a free kick on the right wing.
48
Attempt Attempt
Oumar Camara from Vitoria Guimaraes misses a right-footed shot from very close range, sending it just to the left. The attempt was assisted by Gustavo Silva.
48
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Silva's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Miguel Nogueira.
47
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Lima from AVS attempts a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes just to the right and misses. Gustavo Mendonça provided the assist.
46
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Miguel Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes takes a left-footed shot from over 35 yards, but it goes just to the right.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Tunde Akinsola of AVS.
45
Update Update
Samu from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Tunde Akinsola of AVS.
45
Attempt Attempt
Samu from Vitoria Guimaraes takes a left-footed shot from a difficult angle and long range on the right. It's close but goes to the left of the goal after a direct free kick.
45
Update Update
First half ends with the score at AVS 1, Vitoria Guimaraes 1.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match tied at 1-1 between AVS and Vitoria Guimaraes.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Paulo Vitor of AVS.
44
Update Update
Gustavo Silva from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick on the right wing.
43
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Gustavo Silva from Vitoria Guimaraes takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box that goes close but misses to the right.
41
Update Update
Foul by Óscar Rivas of Vitoria Guimaraes.
41
Update Update
Tomané from AVS wins a free kick in the defensive half.
40
Update Update
Offside called against AVS. Pedro Lima is caught offside.
38
Update Update
Gonçalo Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick on the right wing.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Roni of AVS.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Andre Green for Aston Villa.
37
Update Update
Tony Strata from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the attacking half.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andre Green from Aston Villa is shown a yellow card for a bad foul.
36
Update Update
Gustavo Silva of Vitoria Guimaraes is caught offside.
34
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Samu from Vitoria Guimaraes.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Tomané for AVS.
33
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thiago Balieiro of Vitoria Guimaraes receives a yellow card for a foul.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Thiago Balieiro of Vitoria Guimaraes.
31
Update Update
Matheus Pivô from AVS wins a free kick in the defensive half.
30
Attempt Attempt
João Mendes from Vitoria Guimaraes has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
29
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick on the right wing.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Lima of AVS.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The match is now 1-1 after Tomané scores for AVS with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Adriel.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after a concession by Thiago Balieiro.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Tony Strata of Vitoria Guimaraes.
24
Update Update
Andre Green wins a free kick for AVS in the defensive half.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vitoria Guimaraes takes the lead 1-0 with Gustavo Silva scoring from the left side of the six-yard box with a right-footed shot to the center of the goal, assisted by Samu.
20
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gustavo Silva of Vitoria Guimaraes.
19
Attempt Attempt
Tomané's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Roni's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Matheus Pivô provided the assist.
17
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Adriel from AVS.
17
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Gustavo Silva from Vitoria Guimaraes has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Adriel from AVS saves it in the bottom left corner.
16
Corner Corner
Vitoria Guimaraes is awarded a corner after Gustavo Mendonça concedes it.
16
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Óscar Rivas from Vitoria Guimarães has a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Adriel from AVS saves it in the center of the goal. The shot was assisted by Samu with a cross.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Vitoria Guimaraes after Gustavo Mendonça concedes.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Miguel Nogueira of Vitoria Guimaraes.
13
Update Update
Andre Green wins a free kick for AVS in the defensive half.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Rivas of AVS.
8
Update Update
Miguel Nogueira from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
8
Attempt Attempt
Tunde Akinsola from AVS misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Gustavo Mendonça provided the assist.
6
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Devenish from AVS misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it to the left.
5
Update Update
Beni from Vitoria Guimaraes wins a free kick in the defensive half.
5
Update Update
Foul by Tomané - AVS
3
Corner Corner
Vitoria Guimaraes win a corner after Daniel Rivas concedes.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Vitória Guimarães exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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