AC Milan vs Udinese Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Sat, 11 Apr - 4:00 PM
Serie A
AC Milan MIL
0 Winner 3
Udinese UDI
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
|
Goal
Davide Bartesaghi - 27' (Own Goal)
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp - 37'
Arthur Atta - 71'

CONTEXT

The match between AC Milan and Udinese is now finished, with the full-time score ending 0-3 to the visitors. Udinese took a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and added a third goal after the interval, securing a straightforward victory despite AC Milan being regarded as the stronger team beforehand. Pre-match expectations carried only minimal deviation, with Udinese the side that exceeded projections by a small margin of 2.4 percent. AC Milan dominated possession at 63 percent to 37 percent but could not convert their territorial advantage into chances. No xG data was available to measure shot quality, yet the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the outcome proved consistent with the pre-match projection. No red cards were shown to either side, and there were no disruptive events that altered the flow. Udinese's clinical finishing proved decisive in a result that aligned fully with anticipated patterns.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Udinese showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Marchetti
M. Marchetti
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.87
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
D. Imperiale
D. Imperiale
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.87
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
D. Fontemurato
D. Fontemurato
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.87
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Giuseppe Mucera
Giuseppe Mucera
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.87
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.84
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
AC Milan M. Allegri
M. Allegri
VS
Udinese K. Runjaic
K. Runjaic
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Napoli Rank: L
Torino Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Inter Rank: W
Cremonese Rank: W
Parma Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Como Rank: D
Genoa Rank: W
Juventus Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: D
Fiorentina Rank: W
Bologna Rank: L
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 9 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AC Milan
0.49%
Draw
1.91%
Away Udinese
97.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.69
22.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AC Milan
Udinese
Power Score
32.69
22.14
League Position
3
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score
Udinese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AC Milan Udinese

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AC Milan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Udinese

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AC Milan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Udinese
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.87
37.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.43
35.87
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AC Milan -0.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Udinese +0.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AC Milan
Udinese
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AC Milan ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Udinese
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AC Milan Udinese
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AC Milan Udinese
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
AC Milan
Udinese
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
AC Milan
vs
Udinese
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AC Milan Udinese
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
AC Milan 0.38
Udinese 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AC Milan Udinese
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
AC Milan 0.08
Udinese 0.00
AC Milan
Udinese
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIL had peak pressure around 72'.
  • UDI started the game with stronger pressure.
MIL Pressure UDI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIL reached the top pressure at 72' (79.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AC Milan MIL Home
43 matches
Udinese UDI Away
Match Record
21
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
21
Goals
77
Goals Scored
50
50
Goals Conceded
77
+27
Goal Difference
-27
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:09:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
M. Maignan
France
16 M. Maignan
Z. Athekame
Substitution
Switzerland
24 Z. Athekame
K. De Winter
Belgium
5 K. De Winter
S. Pavlović
Serbia
31 S. Pavlović
D. Bartesaghi
Italy
33 D. Bartesaghi
S. Ricci
Substitution
Italy
4 S. Ricci
L. Modrić
Substitution
Croatia
14 L. Modrić
A. Rabiot
France
12 A. Rabiot
A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
56 A. Saelemaekers
R. Conceição Leão
Substitution
Portugal
10 R. Conceição Leão
C. Pulisic
Substitution
United States
11 C. Pulisic
M. Okoye
Nigeria
40 M. Okoye
H. Kamara
Gambia
11 H. Kamara
O. Solet Bomawoko
France
28 O. Solet Bomawoko
C. Kabasele
Belgium
27 C. Kabasele
T. Kristensen
Denmark
31 T. Kristensen
K. Ehizibue
Netherlands
19 K. Ehizibue
J. Ekkelenkamp
Substitution
Netherlands
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
A. Atta
Substitution
France
14 A. Atta
J. Karlström
Sweden
8 J. Karlström
N. Zaniolo
Substitution
Italy
10 N. Zaniolo
K. Davis
Substitution
England
9 K. Davis

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Capacity
75817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matteo Marchetti
Davide Imperiale
Domenico Fontemurato
Giuseppe Mucera

Statistics

Possession
MIL
60%
UDI
40%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 2
20 Shots 12
52 Dangerous attacks 37
63 Possession 37
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

28 Dribble Attempts 14
25 Throwins 11
6 Successful Headers 6
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
8 Goal Kicks 13
0 Assists 2
18 Successful Dribbles 7
74 Ball Safe 66
10 Goal Attempts 10
1 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 4
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

111 Attacks 77
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

88 Successful Passes Percentage 82
15 Key Passes 8
561 Passes 328
31 Long Passes 43
496 Successful Passes 270
14 Successful Long Passes 23
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

4 Saves 3
6 Interceptions 15
22 Tackles 20

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 3
20 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

9 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Matteo Marchetti

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
5
Koni De Winter
Koni De Winter Defender
24
Zachary Athekame
Zachary Athekame Defender
9
Niclas Füllkrug
Niclas Füllkrug
Attacker46'
31
Strahinja Pavlović
Strahinja Pavlović Defender
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi Defender
4
Samuele Ricci
Samuele Ricci Midfielder
19
Youssouf Fofana
Youssouf Fofana
Midfielder60'
12
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
14
Luka Modrić
Luka Modrić Midfielder
30
Ardon Jashari
Ardon Jashari
Midfielder72'
10
Rafael Leão
Rafael Leão Attacker
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Midfielder77'
11
Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic Attacker
18
Christopher Nkunku
Christopher Nkunku
Attacker72'
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers Attacker
Referee : Matteo Marchetti

Starting XI ▼

40
Maduka Okoye
Maduka Okoye Goalkeeper
11
Hassane Kamara
Hassane Kamara Defender
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
Kingsley Ehizibue Defender
27
Christian Kabasele
Christian Kabasele Defender
28
Oumar Solet
Oumar Solet Defender
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen Defender
8
Jesper Karlström
Jesper Karlström Midfielder
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
Nicolò Zaniolo Midfielder
24
Jakub Piotrowski
Jakub Piotrowski
Midfielder66'
14
Arthur Atta
Arthur Atta Midfielder
6
Oier Zarraga
Oier Zarraga
Midfielder85'
32
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Midfielder
38
Lennon Miller
Lennon Miller
Midfielder86'
9
Keinan Davis
Keinan Davis Attacker
7
Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye
Attacker76'

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Lennon Miller → Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Oier Zarraga → Arthur Atta
8th Substitution
Event
Ruben Loftus-Cheek  → Rafael Leão
7th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Idrissa Gueye → Keinan Davis
6th Substitution
Event
Ardon Jashari → Luka Modrić
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Christopher Nkunku → Christian Pulisic
5th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Arthur Atta
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
Event
Jakub Piotrowski → Nicolò Zaniolo
3rd Substitution
Event
Youssouf Fofana → Samuele Ricci
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Niclas Füllkrug → Zachary Athekame
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Thomas Kristensen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Header / 1st Goal
27'
Event
Davide Bartesaghi
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Event
Rafael Leão
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
16'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with AC Milan losing to Udinese 0-3.
90
Update Update
Niclas Füllkrug of AC Milan won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Ardon Jashari of AC Milan.
90
Corner Corner
Udinese is awarded a corner after Ruben Loftus-Cheek concedes it.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Christian Kabasele of Udinese.
90
Update Update
Oier Zarraga from Udinese won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Foul by Jesper Karlström for Udinese.
90
Update Update
Christopher Nkunku of AC Milan won a free kick in an attacking position.
88
Update Update
Youssouf Fofana of AC Milan won a free kick on the right wing.
88
Update Update
Foul by Jesper Karlström for Udinese.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Lennon Miller replaces Jurgen Ekkelenkamp.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Oier Zarraga replaces Arthur Atta.
84
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Idrissa Gueye from Udinese shot with his left foot from the left side of the box.
82
Update Update
Ruben Loftus-Cheek fouled an AC Milan player.
82
Update Update
Jakub Piotrowski of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Udinese after Koni De Winter concedes.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Davide Bartesaghi of AC Milan.
78
Update Update
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AC Milan: Ruben Loftus-Cheek replaces Rafael Leão.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Idrissa Gueye replaces Keinan Davis due to injury.
75
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Keinan Davis from Udinese.
73
Update Update
Keinan Davis from Udinese attempts an attack, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box, but Mike Maignan, the AC Milan goalkeeper, saves it in the center of the goal.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AC Milan: Christopher Nkunku replaces Christian Pulisic.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AC Milan: Christopher Nkunku replaces Christian Pulisic.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Udinese scores to make it 3-0 against AC Milan. Arthur Atta finds the left corner with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, assisted by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp.
70
Corner Corner
AC Milan is awarded a corner after Kingsley Ehizibue concedes it.
70
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Christian Pulisic provided the assist.
70
Corner Corner
Rafael Leão from AC Milan misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, sending the ball high after a corner.
68
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Strahinja Pavlovic.
67
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Youssouf Fofana of AC Milan takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Udinese: Jakub Piotrowski replaces Nicolò Zaniolo.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Adrien Rabiot of AC Milan shot with his left foot from outside the box.
64
Attempt Attempt
Adrien Rabiot's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Alexis Saelemaekers provided the assist.
63
Attempt Attempt
Hassane Kamara from Udinese missed a left-footed shot from outside the box.
60
Update Update
Strahinja Pavlovic of AC Milan misses a chance with a header from inside the six-yard box, hitting the left side but missing to the left. The assist came from Samuele Ricci with a cross.
60
Attempt Attempt
Kingsley Ehizibue's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AC Milan: Youssouf Fofana replaces Samuele Ricci.
59
Corner Corner
AC Milan wins a corner after Christian Kabasele concedes.
57
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Keinan Davis from Udinese.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Niclas Füllkrug of AC Milan heads the ball from a few meters out, but it goes just to the left.
56
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Jurgen Ekkelenkamp from Udinese takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by AC Milan's goalkeeper Mike Maignan, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Jesper Karlström.
55
Update Update
Keinan Davis of Udinese won a free kick in an attacking position.
55
Update Update
Fouled by Strahinja Pavlovic - AC Milan
54
Update Update
Keinan Davis fouled a player from Udinese.
54
Attempt Attempt
Adrien Rabiot's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Luka Modric provided the assist.
54
Update Update
Strahinja Pavlovic of AC Milan won a free kick on the left wing.
52
Update Update
Davide Bartesaghi of AC Milan won a free kick on the left wing.
52
Update Update
Luka Modric of AC Milan won a free kick in defense.
52
Update Update
Luka Modric of AC Milan won a free kick in defense.
52
Update Update
Jesper Karlström fouled a player from Udinese.
51
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Alexis Saelemaekers of AC Milan takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Maduka Okoye of Udinese.
51
Attempt Attempt
Samuele Ricci's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
50
Corner Corner
AC Milan wins a corner, conceded by Maduka Okoye.
50
Corner Corner
Luka Modric from AC Milan attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner. Rafael Leão provides the assist.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Kristensen of Udinese receives a yellow card for a foul.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Kristensen of Udinese.
46
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot of AC Milan won a free kick on the left wing.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nicolò Zaniolo from Udinese had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from over 40 yards on the right wing. The shot was close but went to the left. Keinan Davis provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with AC Milan trailing 0-2 to Udinese.
45
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Kristensen's shot from the center of the box is blocked.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AC Milan: Niclas Füllkrug replaces Zachary Athekame.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at AC Milan 0, Udinese 2.
44
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão from AC Milan missed a chance with a header from the center of the box.
43
Update Update
Foul by Adrien Rabiot - AC Milan.
43
Update Update
Keinan Davis from Udinese won a free kick on the right wing.
41
Update Update
Nicolò Zaniolo fouled an Udinese player.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Adrien Rabiot - AC Milan.
39
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot of AC Milan won a free kick on the left wing.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Handball by Samuele Ricci of AC Milan.
36
Update Update
Goal! Udinese leads 2-0 after Jurgen Ekkelenkamp scores with a header from close range.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Udinese after Strahinja Pavlovic concedes.
35
Attempt Attempt
Keinan Davis of Udinese attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Mike Maignan of AC Milan saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist was provided by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp.
35
Update Update
Foul committed by Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese.
33
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot of AC Milan won a free kick in defense.
33
Update Update
Samuele Ricci of AC Milan was awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
33
Attempt Attempt
Christian Pulisic from AC Milan missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but sending the ball to the left.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp - Udinese.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Adrien Rabiot - AC Milan.
29
Update Update
Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
28
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Christian Pulisic provided the assist.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Udinese takes the lead 1-0 with Arthur Atta scoring from the right side of the box with a right-footed shot to the center of the goal, assisted by Nicolò Zaniolo after a fast break.
25
Corner Corner
AC Milan wins a corner after Thomas Kristensen concedes.
23
Update Update
Jesper Karlström commits a handball for Udinese.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Adrien Rabiot - AC Milan.
23
Update Update
Nicolò Zaniolo from Udinese won a free kick in an attacking position.
21
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot of AC Milan won a free kick on the left wing.
21
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Kingsley Ehizibue of Udinese.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Rafael Leão of AC Milan.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafael Leão of AC Milan receives a yellow card.
16
Update Update
Christian Kabasele of Udinese won a free kick in defense.
15
Attempt Attempt
Christian Pulisic's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Luka Modric provided the assist.
14
Update Update
Samuele Ricci of AC Milan won a free kick on the left wing.
14
Update Update
Nicolò Zaniolo fouled a player from Udinese.
12
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Leão from AC Milan misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
12
Attempt Attempt
Jesper Karlström from Udinese missed a chance, heading the ball over the goal from the center of the box. The assist came from Hassane Kamara's cross.
9
Attempt Attempt
Christian Pulisic's shot from the center of the box is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Nicolò Zaniolo from Udinese attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by AC Milan's goalkeeper Mike Maignan, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Arthur Atta.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Kristensen of Udinese.
1
Update Update
Christian Pulisic from AC Milan won a free kick in defense.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Udinese exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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