Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps Sat, 11 Apr - 5:00 PM
Ligue 1
Auxerre AUX
0 – 0
Nantes NAN
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Auxerre and Nantes is now finished, ending in a full-time score of 0-0. This goalless encounter saw both sides locked at 0-0 at halftime as well, with neither team able to create or convert meaningful opportunities across the 90 minutes. Auxerre held a slight territorial advantage with 54 percent possession to Nantes’ 46 percent, though no expected goals data is available to further evaluate chance quality. The draw aligned closely with pre-match expectations, which had anticipated this outcome as highly probable. There was a moderate deviation linked to Auxerre, identified as the stronger side beforehand, yet they could not translate that edge into a victory. The efficiency shift remained in line with projections throughout, and the result ultimately matched the pre-match forecast. No red cards were shown and no major disciplinary events influenced the contest, allowing both teams to finish with an even share of the spoils.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Auxerre showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Evrard
V. Evrard
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.58
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
W. Delajod
W. Delajod
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.58
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
E. Finjean
E. Finjean
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.58
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
A. Ustaritz
A. Ustaritz
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.33
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.58
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
VS
Nantes V. Halilhodžić
V. Halilhodžić
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.6
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Le Havre Rank: D
Brest Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: L
Strasbourg Rank: D
Lorient Rank: D
Rennes Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metz Rank: D
Strasbourg Rank: L
Angers SCO Rank: L
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: W
Monaco Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Auxerre
4.06%
Draw
92.36%
Away Nantes
3.59%

Movement

Changes since opening
Auxerre
-2.18%
Draw
+4.1%
Nantes
-1.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.28
11.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Auxerre
Nantes
Power Score
17.28
11.93
League Position
16
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Nantes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Auxerre Nantes

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Auxerre

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nantes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Auxerre ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nantes
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
12.96
32.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.39
12.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Auxerre -2.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Nantes +2.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Auxerre
Nantes
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Auxerre ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nantes
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Auxerre Nantes
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Auxerre Nantes
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Auxerre
Nantes
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Auxerre
vs
Nantes
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Auxerre Nantes
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Auxerre 0.13
Nantes 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Auxerre Nantes
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Auxerre 0.00
Nantes 0.00
Auxerre
Nantes
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NAN had peak pressure around 45'.
  • NAN started the game with stronger pressure.
AUX Pressure NAN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NAN reached the top pressure at 45' (97.92).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Auxerre AUX Home
11 matches
Nantes NAN Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
14
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
14
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T03:03:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Léon
French Guiana
16 D. Léon
M. Senaya
France
29 M. Senaya
S. Diomande
Ivory Coast
20 S. Diomande
B. Okoh
Switzerland
24 B. Okoh
G. Mensah
Ghana
14 G. Mensah
K. Danois
France
5 K. Danois
E. Owusu
Ghana
42 E. Owusu
R. Faivre
Substitution
France
28 R. Faivre
D. Loader
Substitution
Cameroon
19 D. Loader
F. Oppegard
Substitution
Norway
22 F. Oppegard
L. Sinayoko
Mali
10 L. Sinayoko
A. Lopes
Portugal
1 A. Lopes
D. Machado Mena
Colombia
27 D. Machado Mena
N. Cozza
France
3 N. Cozza
A. Youssef
Libya
2 A. Youssef
F. Guilbert
Substitution
France
24 F. Guilbert
F. Coquelin
Substitution
France
13 F. Coquelin
M. Abline
Substitution
France
10 M. Abline
J. Lepenant
France
8 J. Lepenant
M. Kaba
France
21 M. Kaba
D. Assoumani
Substitution
France
17 D. Assoumani
I. Kpene Ganago
Cameroon
37 I. Kpene Ganago

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Capacity
18541
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valentin Evrard
Willy Delajod
Erwan Finjean
Anthony Ustaritz

Statistics

Possession
AUX
51%
NAN
49%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 2
0 Shots 4
40 Dangerous attacks 38
54 Possession 46
3 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 20
0 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

31 Throwins 24
17 Dribble Attempts 12
6 Successful Dribbles 8
7 Goal Kicks 5
20 Successful Headers 24
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
105 Ball Safe 106
2 Goal Attempts 11
3 Substitutions 4
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

102 Attacks 81
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

370 Passes 314
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
77 Successful Passes Percentage 74
3 Key Passes 8
25 Successful Long Passes 22
284 Successful Passes 231
59 Long Passes 56

Defensive

4 Saves 0
16 Tackles 21
4 Interceptions 8

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 16
4 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

20 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Willy Delajod

Starting XI ▼

16
Donovan Léon
Donovan Léon Goalkeeper
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Defender
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Defender
24
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh Defender
29
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya Defender
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Midfielder
19
Danny Namaso
Danny Namaso Midfielder
9
Sékou Mara
Sékou Mara
Attacker67'
22
Fredrik Oppegård
Fredrik Oppegård Midfielder
21
Lasso Coulibaly
Lasso Coulibaly
Midfielder77'
28
Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre Midfielder
8
Naouirou Ahamada
Naouirou Ahamada
Midfielder77'
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu Midfielder
10
Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko Attacker
Referee : Willy Delajod

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Lopes
Anthony Lopes Goalkeeper
2
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef Defender
3
Nicolas Cozza
Nicolas Cozza Defender
24
Frédéric Guilbert
Frédéric Guilbert Defender
20
Rémy Cabella
Rémy Cabella
Midfielder82'
27
Deiver Machado
Deiver Machado Defender
8
Johann Lepenant
Johann Lepenant Midfielder
10
Matthis Abline
Matthis Abline Midfielder
31
Mostafa Mohamed
Mostafa Mohamed
Attacker81'
13
Francis Coquelin
Francis Coquelin Midfielder
28
Ibrahima Sissoko
Ibrahima Sissoko
Midfielder73'
17
Dehmaine Tabibou
Dehmaine Tabibou Midfielder
18
Fabien Centonze
Fabien Centonze
Defender74'
21
Mohamed Kaba
Mohamed Kaba Midfielder
37
Ignatius Ganago
Ignatius Ganago Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Fabien Centonze
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Ibrahima Sissoko
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Rémy Cabella → Frédéric Guilbert
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Mostafa Mohamed → Matthis Abline
6th Substitution
Event
Naouirou Ahamada → Romain Faivre
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Lasso Coulibaly → Fredrik Oppegård
5th Substitution
77'
74'
Event
Fabien Centonze → Dehmaine Tabibou
3rd Substitution
73'
Event
Ibrahima Sissoko → Francis Coquelin
2nd Substitution
Event
Sékou Mara → Danny Namaso
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Kévin Danois
Penalty cancelled
65'
1ST-HALF
16'
Event
Johann Lepenant
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
4'
Event
Ignatius Ganago
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Lasso Coulibaly from Auxerre commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Lassine Sinayoko from Auxerre committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Sékou Mara from Auxerre won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Lasso Coulibaly from Auxerre commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Sékou Mara from Auxerre won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba of Nantes won a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Naouirou Ahamada from Auxerre won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Mostafa Mohamed from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Kaba of Nantes.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Elisha Owusu of Auxerre.
90
Update Update
Mostafa Mohamed from Nantes misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Bryan Okoh of Auxerre.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Auxerre and Nantes drawing 0-0.
89
Update Update
Fouled by Fabien Centonze of Nantes.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabien Centonze of Nantes receives a yellow card for a foul.
89
Update Update
Lasso Coulibaly from Auxerre won a free kick in defense.
87
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Anthony Lopes from Nantes.
87
Update Update
Anthony Lopes from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
87
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Bryan Okoh from Auxerre.
87
Update Update
Anthony Lopes from Nantes has won a free kick in defense.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Ibrahima Sissoko of Nantes.
86
Update Update
Kévin Danois from Auxerre won a free kick in the attacking area.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahima Sissoko of Nantes receives a yellow card for a foul.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Rémy Cabella replaces Frédéric Guilbert.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Mostafa Mohamed replaces Matthis Abline.
80
Attempt Attempt
Lassine Sinayoko's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Lasso Coulibaly replaces Fredrik Oppegård.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Naouirou Ahamada replaces Romain Faivre.
77
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert fouled a player from Nantes.
77
Update Update
Kévin Danois from Auxerre was awarded a free kick in defense.
76
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Johann Lepenant from Nantes shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it goes high after the corner.
75
Corner Corner
Nantes win a corner after Gideon Mensah concedes.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Fabien Centonze replaces Dehmaine Tabibou.
73
Update Update
Offside called against Nantes. Matthis Abline is offside.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Ibrahima Sissoko replaces Francis Coquelin.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Bryan Okoh of Auxerre.
70
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes won a free kick in an attacking position.
69
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nicolas Cozza from Nantes.
69
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Sékou Mara of Auxerre took a right-footed shot from a difficult position on the right.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Sékou Mara replaces Danny Namaso.
65
Update Update
VAR Decision: No Penalty Auxerre.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Elisha Owusu of Auxerre.
64
Update Update
Johann Lepenant from Nantes won a free kick on the left wing.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Auxerre after Ignatius Ganago concedes.
62
Corner Corner
Auxerre wins a corner after Deiver Machado concedes.
61
Attempt Attempt
Frédéric Guilbert from Nantes had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box but missing to the left.
61
Update Update
Deiver Machado of Nantes commits a foul.
61
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Cozza from Nantes attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Auxerre's goalkeeper Donovan Léon. The assist came from Frédéric Guilbert.
61
Update Update
Romain Faivre from Auxerre won a free kick in defense.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Sinaly Diomandé of Auxerre.
60
Update Update
Ignatius Ganago of Nantes won a free kick in the attacking area.
53
Update Update
Romain Faivre from Auxerre committed a foul.
53
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes won a free kick on the left wing.
51
Update Update
Auxerre is called offside as Lassine Sinayoko is in an offside position.
49
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Ignatius Ganago of Nantes heads the ball from the center of the box, but Donovan Léon of Auxerre makes a save in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Mohamed Kaba, who also headed the ball.
49
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lassine Sinayoko from Auxerre.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Danny Namaso of Auxerre.
48
Update Update
Foul by Danny Namaso of Auxerre.
45
Update Update
The second half starts with the match at 0-0 between Auxerre and Nantes.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Auxerre 0, Nantes 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Danny Namaso of Auxerre.
43
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Dehmaine Tabibou of Nantes has a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Donovan Léon of Auxerre. The assist came from Mohamed Kaba with a header.
43
Update Update
Deiver Machado of Nantes won a free kick in defense.
41
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Deiver Machado - Nantes - shot with left foot from outside the box missed.
41
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just to the left. The assist came from Deiver Machado's cross.
40
Update Update
Offside called against Auxerre. Lassine Sinayoko is offside.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Danny Namaso of Auxerre.
39
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba of Nantes won a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Attempt Attempt
Dehmaine Tabibou from Nantes missed a chance with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Elisha Owusu of Auxerre.
36
Update Update
Francis Coquelin from Nantes won a free kick in an attacking position.
34
Update Update
Gideon Mensah from Auxerre won a free kick on the left wing.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Dehmaine Tabibou of Nantes.
33
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert fouls a Nantes player.
33
Update Update
Fredrik Oppegård from Auxerre won a free kick in the attacking position.
32
Update Update
Fredrik Oppegård from Auxerre won a free kick in defense.
32
Update Update
Dehmaine Tabibou from Nantes committed a foul.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Danny Namaso of Auxerre.
31
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza of Nantes won a free kick in defense.
29
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Ignatius Ganago from Nantes shot with his left foot from the left side of the box but missed. Matthis Abline provided the assist after a fast break.
26
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza of Nantes won a free kick on the left wing.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Kévin Danois of Auxerre.
25
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Marvin Senaya from Auxerre headed the ball from the center of the box.
24
Update Update
Romain Faivre from Auxerre won a free kick on the right wing.
24
Update Update
Deiver Machado of Nantes committed a foul.
23
Attempt Attempt
Lassine Sinayoko's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
22
Update Update
Lassine Sinayoko from Auxerre commits a foul.
22
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert of Nantes won a free kick in defense.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Francis Coquelin of Nantes.
21
Update Update
Romain Faivre of Auxerre won a free kick in the attacking area.
19
Corner Corner
Auxerre wins a corner after Deiver Machado concedes.
19
Corner Corner
Lassine Sinayoko from Auxerre had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just to the left. The assist came from Kévin Danois, who delivered a cross following a corner.
17
Update Update
Lassine Sinayoko from Auxerre commits a foul.
17
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Johann Lepenant of Nantes.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Johann Lepenant of Nantes.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Johann Lepenant of Nantes receives a yellow card for a foul.
16
Update Update
Fredrik Oppegård from Auxerre won a free kick on the left wing.
15
Corner Corner
Nantes win a corner after Gideon Mensah concedes.
15
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Danny Namaso of Auxerre.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Kaba of Nantes.
11
Update Update
Sinaly Diomandé from Auxerre won a free kick in defense.
10
Update Update
Francis Coquelin from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
10
Update Update
Francis Coquelin from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
8
Attempt Attempt
Dehmaine Tabibou's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Johann Lepenant provided the assist.
8
Update Update
Dehmaine Tabibou from Nantes won a free kick on the right wing.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Gideon Mensah of Auxerre.
7
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Deiver Machado from Nantes takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Donovan Léon from Auxerre, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Mohamed Kaba.
4
Update Update
Ignatius Ganago from Nantes has fallen, but the referee considers it simulation.
4
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ignatius Ganago from Nantes receives a yellow card.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Francis Coquelin against Nantes.
2
Update Update
Fredrik Oppegård from Auxerre won a free kick in defense.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Auxerre exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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