Blau-Weiß Linz vs WSG Tirol Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Linzer Stadion Sat, 11 Apr - 5:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Blau-Weiß Linz BWL
5 Winner 0
WSG Tirol WSG
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 5:30 PM
Round 4 Relegation Round
Shon Weissman - 41' (P), 61'
Ronivaldo - 45+5' (P), 67'
Nico Maier - 87'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Blau-Weiβ Linz and WSG Tirol is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 5-0 to the home side. Blau-Weiβ Linz led 2-0 at the interval and added three unanswered goals after the break to complete a dominant display. Pre-match expectations had identified WSG Tirol as the stronger team, yet the result showed only minimal deviation from those projections, with Blau-Weiβ Linz performing slightly above anticipated levels. The outcome aligned with the pre-match projection, and the efficiency shift stayed in line with the overall pattern of play. No expected goals data is available, so alignment with xG cannot be determined, though Blau-Weiβ Linz converted their opportunities with notable clinical edge. Possession was closely contested, with the home side holding 53 percent to WSG Tirol’s 47 percent. Neither team received a red card and no significant disciplinary events altered the contest. The wide margin of victory ultimately reflected Blau-Weiβ Linz’s superior finishing on the day rather than any major imbalance in territory or chances.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Blau-Weiß Linz showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Talic
A. Talic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.92
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
S. Schreiner
S. Schreiner
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.92
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
A. Rekik
A. Rekik
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.92
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
A. Untergasser
A. Untergasser
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.31
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.92
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.36
Blau-Weiß Linz M. Köllner
M. Köllner
VS
WSG Tirol P. Semlic
P. Semlic
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: L
Ried Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: D
WSG Tirol Rank: L
Sturm Graz Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
Grazer AK Rank: L
Ried Rank: L
Grazer AK Rank: W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
Ried Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Blau-Weiß Linz
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away WSG Tirol
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.59
19.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Blau-Weiß Linz
WSG Tirol
Power Score
13.59
19.83
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Blau-Weiß Linz — Opponent-weighted form score
WSG Tirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Blau-Weiß Linz WSG Tirol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Blau-Weiß Linz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Blau-Weiß Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy WSG Tirol
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.66
7.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
7.98
35.66
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Blau-Weiß Linz +2.16 Efficiency Index
vs
WSG Tirol -2.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Blau-Weiß Linz
WSG Tirol
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Blau-Weiß Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy WSG Tirol
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Blau-Weiß Linz WSG Tirol
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Blau-Weiß Linz WSG Tirol
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 2.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Blau-Weiß Linz
WSG Tirol
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Blau-Weiß Linz
vs
WSG Tirol
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Blau-Weiß Linz WSG Tirol
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Blau-Weiß Linz 0.28
WSG Tirol 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Blau-Weiß Linz WSG Tirol
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Blau-Weiß Linz 0.00
WSG Tirol 0.09
Blau-Weiß Linz
WSG Tirol
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BWL had peak pressure around 42'.
  • BWL started the game with stronger pressure.
BWL Pressure WSG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BWL reached the top pressure at 42' (68.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Blau-Weiß Linz BWL Home
8 matches
WSG Tirol WSG Away
Match Record
3
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
14
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T03:04:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
N. Mantl
Germany
58 N. Mantl
A. Pasic
Austria
17 A. Pasic
M. Maranda
Austria
15 M. Maranda
F. Strauss
Substitution
Austria
2 F. Strauss
D. Reiter
Substitution
Austria
29 D. Reiter
S. Seidl
Austria
20 S. Seidl
A. Briedl
Substitution
Austria
19 A. Briedl
S. Pirkl
Substitution
Austria
60 S. Pirkl
N. Maier
Switzerland
30 N. Maier
S. Weissman
Israel
18 S. Weissman
R. Sales
Substitution
Brazil
9 R. Sales
A. Stejskal
Czech Republic
40 A. Stejskal
D. Kubatta
Substitution
Germany
14 D. Kubatta
J. Lawrence
Germany
5 J. Lawrence
M. Boras
Croatia
23 M. Boras
B. Böckle
Substitution
Austria
20 B. Böckle
M. Taferner
Austria
30 M. Taferner
V. Müller
Austria
4 V. Müller
J. Naschberger
Austria
17 J. Naschberger
M. Wels
Substitution
Austria
37 M. Wels
T. Sabitzer
Substitution
Austria
10 T. Sabitzer
N. Frederiksen
Substitution
Denmark
8 N. Frederiksen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 4 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Linzer Stadion
Capacity
21005
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Arnes Talic
Santino Schreiner
Amar Rekik
Achim Untergasser

Statistics

Possession
BWL
55%
WSG
45%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 2
58 Dangerous attacks 15
53 Possession 47
6 Corners 1
7 Free kicks 4
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

36 Throwins 29
67 Ball Safe 69
2 Goal Kicks 7
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
18 Dribble Attempts 11
8 Goal Attempts 1
2 Penalties 0
6 Successful Dribbles 4
6 Substitutions 5
3 Assists 0

Attacking

135 Attacks 76
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

52 Long Passes 59
13 Key Passes 3
324 Successful Passes 291
75 Successful Passes Percentage 73
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 25
15 Successful Long Passes 15
432 Passes 396

Defensive

15 Tackles 23
10 Interceptions 8
0 Saves 1

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 6
2 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

4 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Arnes Talic

Starting XI ▼

58
Nico Mantl
Nico Mantl Goalkeeper
2
Fabio Varesi-Strauss
Fabio Varesi-Strauss Defender
22
David Riegler
David Riegler
Defender75'
15
Manuel Maranda
Manuel Maranda Defender
17
Alem Pasic
Alem Pasic Defender
19
Alexander Briedl
Alexander Briedl Midfielder
14
Christopher Cvetko
Christopher Cvetko
Midfielder85'
20
Simon Seidl
Simon Seidl Midfielder
29
Dominik Reiter
Dominik Reiter Midfielder
5
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Dahlqvist
Midfielder84'
60
Simon Pirkl
Simon Pirkl Midfielder
23
David Bumberger
David Bumberger
Defender84'
9
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo Attacker
2
11
João Luiz
João Luiz
Midfielder75'
18
Shon Weissman
Shon Weissman Attacker
2
30
Nico Maier
Nico Maier Attacker
Referee : Arnes Talic

Starting XI ▼

40
Adam Stejskal
Adam Stejskal Goalkeeper
5
Jamie Lawrence
Jamie Lawrence Defender
14
David Kubatta
David Kubatta Defender
3
David Gugganig
David Gugganig
Defender68'
23
Marco Boras
Marco Boras Defender
4
Valentino Müller
Valentino Müller Midfielder
17
Johannes Naschberger
Johannes Naschberger Midfielder
20
Benjamin Böckle
Benjamin Böckle Midfielder
28
Thomas Geris
Thomas Geris
Midfielder68'
30
Matthäus Taferner
Matthäus Taferner Midfielder
8
N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen Attacker
21
Yannick Vötter
Yannick Vötter
Attacker81'
10
Thomas Sabitzer
Thomas Sabitzer Attacker
16
Lukas Hinterseer
Lukas Hinterseer
Attacker46'
37
Moritz Wels
Moritz Wels Attacker
11
Tobias Anselm
Tobias Anselm
Attacker68'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nico Maier
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
87'
Event
Christopher Cvetko → Alexander Briedl
10th Substitution
85'
Event
David Bumberger → Simon Pirkl
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Isak Dahlqvist → Dominik Reiter
9th Substitution
84'
81'
Event
Yannick Vötter → N. Frederiksen
7th Substitution
Event
David Riegler → Fabio Varesi-Strauss
6th Substitution
75'
Event
João Luiz → Ronivaldo
5th Substitution
75'
68'
Event
Tobias Anselm → Moritz Wels
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Thomas Geris → Benjamin Böckle
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
David Gugganig → David Kubatta
4th Substitution
Event
Ronivaldo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
Event
Shon Weissman
Header / 1st Goal
61'
54'
Event
N. Frederiksen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Alexander Briedl
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
51'
46'
Event
Lukas Hinterseer → Thomas Sabitzer
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ronivaldo
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
45+5'
Event
Ronivaldo
Penalty confirmed
45+4'
45+1'
Event
Benjamin Böckle
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Shon Weissman
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
41'
Event
Simon Seidl
Penalty awarded
40'
40'
Event
Jamie Lawrence
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Blau-Weiß Linz exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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