Thun vs Basel Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stockhorn Arena Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Super League
Thun THU
Versus
Basel BAS
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Thun host Basel in Super League (Regular Season) at Stockhorn Arena. Domestically, Thun sit 1th in the table while Basel are 4th. Power ranking favours Thun by 5.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Thun leads the Super League at 1st place with a 5.1-point power advantage (31.75 vs Basel's 26.66).
  • Form: Basel holds a slight form score edge over Thun (23.72 vs 22.72).
  • Squad: Thun ranks 1st and Basel 4th in current league standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided for this matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to absent xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG variables and related metrics not available for either side.
  • Market: Baseline split: Thun 50.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0%) | Basel 26.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Thun M. Lustrinelli
M. Lustrinelli
VS
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
2.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lugano Rank: L
Zürich Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: W
Young Boys Rank: W
St. Gallen Rank: D
Luzern Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Young Boys Rank: D
Winterthur Rank: W
Servette Rank: W
St. Gallen Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: W
Lausanne Sport Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 15 - 33
33
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Thun
50.35%
Draw
23.17%
Away Basel
26.47%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.75
26.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Thun
Basel
Power Score
31.75
26.66
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Thun — Opponent-weighted form score
Basel — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Thun Basel

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 54 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Thun THU Home
54 matches
Basel BAS Away
Match Record
6
Wins
33
15
Draws
15
33
Losses
6
Goals
60
Goals Scored
119
119
Goals Conceded
60
-59
Goal Difference
+59
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:01:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
N. Steffen
24 N. Steffen
F. Fehr
47 F. Fehr
G. Montolio Lafuente
4 G. Montolio Lafuente
J. Bamert
19 J. Bamert
M. Heule
27 M. Heule
K. Imeri
7 K. Imeri
L. Bertone
6 L. Bertone
M. Käit
14 M. Käit
F. Meichtry
77 F. Meichtry
B. Labeau Melchior
96 B. Labeau Melchior
E. Rastoder
74 E. Rastoder
M. Hitz
1 M. Hitz
D. Schmid
31 D. Schmid
F. Daniliuc
24 F. Daniliuc
B. Omeragic
4 B. Omeragic
N. Vouilloz
3 N. Vouilloz
A. Silu
5 A. Silu
L. Leroy
22 L. Leroy
B. Traore
11 B. Traore
X. Shaqiri
10 X. Shaqiri
I. Salah
21 I. Salah
A. Ajeti
23 A. Ajeti

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stockhorn Arena
Capacity
10398
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anojen Kanagasingam
Claudio dos Santos
Venancius Antony
Jonathan Jaussi

Expected Lineup

Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

24
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen Goalkeeper
6.92
7
Kastriot Imeri
Kastriot Imeri Midfielder
7.01
77
Franz-Ethan Meichtry
Franz-Ethan Meichtry Midfielder
6.85
74
Elmin Rastoder
Elmin Rastoder Attacker
7.04
96
Brighton Labeau
Brighton Labeau Attacker
6.75
4
Genís Montolio
Genís Montolio Right Back
7.11
6
Leonardo Bertone
Leonardo Bertone Central Midfield
7.04
14
Mattias Käit
Mattias Käit Central Midfield
6.92
27
Michael Heule
Michael Heule Left Back
6.99
47
Fabio Fehr
Fabio Fehr Right Back
7.15
19
Jan Bamert
Jan Bamert Left Back
7.01
Referee : Anojen Kanagasingam

Starting XI ▼

1
Marwin Hitz
Marwin Hitz Goalkeeper
7.2
23
Albian Ajeti
Albian Ajeti Centre Forward
6.63
4
Becir Omeragic
Becir Omeragic Right Back
6.79
10
Xherdan Shaqiri
Xherdan Shaqiri Attacking Midfield
7.4
21
Ibrahim Salah
Ibrahim Salah Right Wing
6.92
24
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc Left Back
7.09
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
Nicolas Vouilloz Right Back
6.91
5
Metinho
Metinho Defensive Midfield
7.02
11
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré Left Wing
7.01
22
Léo Leroy
Léo Leroy Defensive Midfield
6.88
31
Dominik Schmid
Dominik Schmid Left Back
7.35

CONCLUSION

Thun's league-topping position and 5.1-point power superiority at home give them a strong foundation against Basel's subtle form edge. Without granular efficiency, transition, or set-piece details, the preview relies on core metrics highlighting Thun's control. Basel's fourth-place standing offers upset potential, but Thun's venue advantage and overall strength suggest dominance. This fixture could cement Thun's lead while testing Basel's climbing ambitions, with structural factors likely decisive in a competitive yet tilted affair.

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