Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Sat, 11 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Sevilla SEV
2 Winner 1
Atlético Madrid ATM
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 7:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Akor Adams - 10' (P)
Nemanja Gudelj - 45+2'
Goal
|
Goal
Javier Boñar - 35'

CONTEXT

The match between Sevilla and Atlético Madrid is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-1 to Sevilla. The home side led by the same scoreline at half-time and successfully protected their advantage after the break despite being outplayed in several aspects of the game. This result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, with Sevilla the clear deviation team. Atlético Madrid had been regarded as the stronger side, and they dominated possession with 68 percent compared to Sevilla’s 32 percent. Nevertheless Sevilla proved more clinical in front of goal. No expected goals data is available, so alignment with underlying metrics cannot be quantified, yet the efficiency shift stayed in line with projections and the outcome ultimately aligned with the pre-match outlook. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow. Sevilla’s ability to convert limited opportunities while absorbing sustained pressure from Atlético proved decisive in securing the victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sevilla showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos
I. Díaz de Mera Escuderos
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.39
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
D. Santaursula Aguado
D. Santaursula Aguado
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.39
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
R. Campo Hernández
R. Campo Hernández
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.39
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
F. Román Román
F. Román Román
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.39
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.27
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
VS
Atlético Madrid N. Vivas
N. Vivas
0.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Valencia Rank: L
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: D
Real Betis Rank: D
Getafe Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Real Madrid Rank: L
Getafe Rank: W
Real Sociedad Rank: W
Real Oviedo Rank: W
Espanyol Rank: W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 13 - 21
21

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sevilla
36.05%
Draw
28.73%
Away Atlético Madrid
35.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sevilla
-60.02%
Draw
+25%
Atlético Madrid
+35.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.12
35.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
Power Score
17.12
35.36
League Position
15
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Atlético Madrid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sevilla Atlético Madrid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sevilla

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Atlético Madrid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sevilla ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Atlético Madrid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.88
22.35
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.35
41.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sevilla +1.81 Efficiency Index
vs
Atlético Madrid -1.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sevilla ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Atlético Madrid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sevilla Atlético Madrid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sevilla Atlético Madrid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sevilla
vs
Atlético Madrid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sevilla Atlético Madrid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sevilla 0.23
Atlético Madrid 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sevilla Atlético Madrid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sevilla 0.02
Atlético Madrid 0.04
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SEV had peak pressure around 49'.
  • SEV started the game with stronger pressure.
SEV Pressure ATM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SEV reached the top pressure at 49' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 47 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sevilla SEV Home
47 matches
Atlético Madrid ATM Away
Match Record
13
Wins
21
13
Draws
13
21
Losses
13
Goals
52
Goals Scored
76
76
Goals Conceded
52
-24
Goal Difference
+24
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T01:01:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Vlachodimos
Greece
1 O. Vlachodimos
J. Sánchez Velasco
Substitution
Spain
16 J. Sánchez Velasco
A. López Gallo
Spain
32 A. López Gallo
N. Gudelj
Serbia
6 N. Gudelj
Kike Salas
Spain
4 Kike Salas
J. Martínez Gauna
Spain
36 J. Martínez Gauna
I. Romero Bernal
Substitution
Spain
7 I. Romero Bernal
L. Agoume
France
18 L. Agoume
M. Bueno Sebastián
Substitution
Spain
28 M. Bueno Sebastián
R. Vargas
Substitution
Switzerland
11 R. Vargas
A. Adams
Substitution
Nigeria
9 A. Adams
J. Musso
Argentina
1 J. Musso
J. Del Romo
Substitution
Spain
34 J. Del Romo
D. Martinez Moreno
Spain
30 D. Martinez Moreno
M. Pubill Pagès
Spain
18 M. Pubill Pagès
J. Franco
Spain
32 J. Franco
O. Vaargas
United States
21 O. Vaargas
R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
Substitution
Spain
4 R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
T. Almada
Argentina
11 T. Almada
A. Rodríguez
Spain
10 A. Rodríguez
R. Belaid Khellil
Substitution
Algeria
29 R. Belaid Khellil
A. Sørloth
Norway
9 A. Sørloth

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Capacity
42714
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos
Diego Santaursula Aguado
Rubén Campo Hernández
Fernando Román Román

Statistics

Possession
SEV
38%
ATM
62%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 9
48 Dangerous attacks 44
32 Possession 68
6 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 7
4 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 3
1 Assists 1
68 Ball Safe 91
14 Throwins 19
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
10 Successful Dribbles 9
18 Successful Headers 11
16 Dribble Attempts 15
7 Goal Attempts 6
1 Penalties 0
8 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

71 Attacks 126

Possession

249 Passes 557
179 Successful Passes 484
72 Successful Passes Percentage 87
60 Long Passes 35
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
9 Key Passes 11
24 Successful Long Passes 14

Defensive

9 Interceptions 3
17 Tackles 8
1 Saves 0

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 21
7 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos

Starting XI ▼

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Defender
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj Defender
16
Juanlu Sánchez
Juanlu Sánchez Defender
12
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo
Defender90+4'
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Defender
36
Oso
Oso Defender
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero Midfielder
14
Peque Fernández
Peque Fernández
Attacker70'
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
10
Alexis Sánchez
Alexis Sánchez
Attacker78'
18
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Midfielder
28
Manu Bueno
Manu Bueno Midfielder
20
Djibril Sow
Djibril Sow
Midfielder70'
9
Akor Adams
Akor Adams Attacker
19
Batista Mendy
Batista Mendy
Midfielder90+4'
Referee : Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos

Starting XI ▼

1
Juan Musso
Juan Musso Goalkeeper
18
Marc Pubill
Marc Pubill Defender
30
Daniel Martínez
Daniel Martínez Defender
32
Javier Boñar
Javier Boñar Defender
34
Julio Díaz
Julio Díaz Defender
27
Jano Monserrate
Jano Monserrate
Midfielder86'
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
Rodrigo Mendoza Midfielder
47
Javi Morcillo
Javi Morcillo
Midfielder71'
10
Álex Baena
Álex Baena Midfielder
11
Thiago Almada
Thiago Almada Midfielder
21
Obed Vargas
Obed Vargas Midfielder
29
Rayane Belaid
Rayane Belaid Midfielder
22
Ademola Lookman
Ademola Lookman
Attacker71'
9
Alexander Sørloth
Alexander Sørloth Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Peque Fernández
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+5'
Event
10th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Javi Morcillo
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Batista Mendy → Akor Adams
7th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Gabriel Suazo → Juanlu Sánchez
8th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Nemanja Gudelj
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
88'
86'
Event
Jano Monserrate → Julio Díaz
6th Substitution
Event
Alexis Sánchez → Rubén Vargas
5th Substitution
78'
76'
Event
9th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Álex Baena
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Javi Morcillo → Rodrigo Mendoza
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Ademola Lookman → Rayane Belaid
3rd Substitution
Event
Peque Fernández → Isaac Romero
1st Substitution
70'
Event
Djibril Sow → Manu Bueno
2nd Substitution
70'
Event
Juanlu Sánchez
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
1ST-HALF
Event
Nemanja Gudelj
Header / 2nd Goal
45+2'
44'
Event
Julio Díaz
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
44'
Event
Antoine Griezmann
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Manu Bueno
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
35'
Event
Javier Boñar
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Akor Adams
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
10'
Event
Isaac Romero
Penalty awarded
8'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Batista Mendy replaces Akor Adams.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Sevilla leading Atletico Madrid 2-1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Javier Morcillo of Atletico Madrid receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Javier Morcillo of Atletico Madrid.
90
Update Update
Batista Mendy from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Gabriel Suazo replaces Juanlu Sánchez.
90
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Sánchez's shot for Sevilla from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Andrés Castrín.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Peque Fernández of Sevilla receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Offside called against Sevilla. Andrés Castrín is offside.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jano Monserrate of Atletico Madrid attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it is saved by Sevilla's goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nemanja Gudelj from Sevilla receives a yellow card.
87
Update Update
Akor Adams from Sevilla won a free kick on the right wing.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Alexander Sørloth for Atletico Madrid.
87
Update Update
Akor Adams from Sevilla won a free kick on the right wing.
87
Update Update
Nemanja Gudelj of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atletico Madrid: Jano Monserrate replaces Julio Díaz.
86
Update Update
Foul by Lucien Agoumé on Sevilla.
86
Update Update
Álex Baena of Atletico Madrid won a free kick on the right wing.
84
Update Update
Djibril Sow of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ademola Lookman's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Álex Baena.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Javier Morcillo of Atletico Madrid.
81
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Akor Adams from Sevilla.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Alexis Sánchez replaces Rubén Vargas.
78
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Marc Pubill of Atletico Madrid.
78
Attempt Attempt
Marc Pubill of Atletico Madrid had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box. The assist was provided by Thiago Almada with a cross.
77
Update Update
Thiago Almada of Atletico Madrid won a free kick on the right wing.
77
Update Update
Oso commits a foul against Sevilla.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Álex Baena from Atletico Madrid receives a yellow card.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antoine Griezmann of Atletico Madrid receives a yellow card.
75
Update Update
Offside called against Sevilla. Rubén Vargas is in an offside position.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Thiago Almada - Atletico Madrid.
74
Update Update
Peque Fernández of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
72
Corner Corner
Atletico Madrid is awarded a corner after Lucien Agoumé concedes.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atletico Madrid: Javier Morcillo replaces Rodrigo Mendoza.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atletico Madrid: Ademola Lookman replaces Rayane Belaid.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Peque Fernández replaces Isaac Romero.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Djibril Sow replaces Manu Bueno.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juanlu Sánchez of Sevilla receives a yellow card.
64
Corner Corner
Atletico Madrid wins a corner after Andrés Castrín concedes.
63
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Marc Pubill concedes.
61
Attempt Attempt
Rubén Vargas's shot for Sevilla from the left side of the box is blocked. Isaac Romero provided the assist with a cross.
60
Attempt Attempt
Isaac Romero from Sevilla hits the left post with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Lucien Agoumé after a fast break.
58
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Isaac Romero of Sevilla has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Juan Musso, the goalkeeper for Atletico Madrid, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Juanlu Sánchez with a cross.
55
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Juanlu Sánchez from Sevilla.
52
Corner Corner
Sevilla is awarded a corner after Julio Díaz concedes it.
49
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Mendoza's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Thiago Almada provided the assist.
47
Corner Corner
Atletico Madrid wins a corner after Juanlu Sánchez concedes.
47
Corner Corner
Marc Pubill of Atletico Madrid had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but it went to the left. The assist came from Álex Baena, who provided a cross after a corner.
46
Update Update
Isaac Romero fouled a player from Sevilla.
46
Update Update
Rodrigo Mendoza of Atletico Madrid won a free kick in an attacking position.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sevilla leads 2-1 against Atletico Madrid. Nemanja Gudelj scores for Sevilla with a header from the center of the box into the high center of the goal, assisted by Rubén Vargas's cross following a corner.
45
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Dani Martinez concedes.
45
Attempt Attempt
Manu Bueno from Sevilla had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but it went high and wide to the left. Isaac Romero provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Sevilla leading Atletico Madrid 2-1.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with Sevilla leading Atletico Madrid 2-1.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Julio Díaz of Atletico Madrid receives a yellow card for a foul.
43
Update Update
Julio Díaz from Atletico Madrid committed a foul.
43
Update Update
Isaac Romero from Sevilla won a free kick on the right wing.
42
Corner Corner
Atletico Madrid wins a corner after Kike Salas concedes.
42
Attempt Attempt
Alexander Sørloth's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Rodrigo Mendoza provided the assist.
42
Update Update
Juanlu Sánchez of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
42
Update Update
Julio Díaz of Atletico Madrid commits a foul.
38
Corner Corner
Atletico Madrid is awarded a corner after Juanlu Sánchez concedes.
38
Corner Corner
Thiago Almada from Atletico Madrid misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball goes high. The assist came from Rodrigo Mendoza, who headed the ball after a corner.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Manu Bueno of Sevilla receives a yellow card for a foul.
36
Update Update
Álex Baena of Atletico Madrid won a free kick on the right wing.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Manu Bueno of Sevilla.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Atletico Madrid equalizes at 1-1 with a header from Javier Boñar, who scored from the right side of the six-yard box into the left corner, assisted by a cross from Julio Díaz.
34
Attempt Attempt
Rayane Belaid's shot for Atletico Madrid from the left side of the box is blocked. Julio Díaz provided the assist.
33
Update Update
Kike Salas of Sevilla commits a handball.
33
Corner Corner
Atletico Madrid wins a corner after Nemanja Gudelj concedes.
27
Attempt Attempt
Nemanja Gudelj from Sevilla had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box.
27
Update Update
Javier Boñar from Atletico Madrid committed a foul.
27
Update Update
Rubén Vargas from Sevilla won a free kick on the left wing.
26
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Javier Boñar concedes.
25
Attempt Attempt
Juanlu Sánchez's shot for Sevilla from the right side of the box is blocked. Isaac Romero provided the assist.
25
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Marc Pubill concedes.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Rayane Belaid of Atletico Madrid.
24
Update Update
Oso from Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
22
Update Update
Álex Baena from Atletico Madrid misses a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box but sending it high. Julio Díaz provided the assist with a cross.
19
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Dani Martinez concedes.
19
Attempt Attempt
Isaac Romero's right-footed shot from close range is blocked. Akor Adams provided the assist.
19
Update Update
Obed Vargas from Atletico Madrid won a free kick in defense.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucien Agoumé against Sevilla.
18
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Rayane Belaid from Atletico Madrid shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
17
Attempt Attempt
Thiago Almada's shot from outside the box is blocked. Rodrigo Mendoza provided the assist.
13
Update Update
Julio Díaz of Atletico Madrid won a free kick on the left wing.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Juanlu Sánchez of Sevilla.
11
Update Update
Rodrigo Mendoza of Atletico Madrid commits a foul.
11
Update Update
Manu Bueno of Sevilla won a free kick in defense.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Akor Adams scores for Sevilla with a right-footed penalty shot. The score is now Sevilla 1, Atletico Madrid 0.
8
Update Update
VAR is checking a penalty for Sevilla.
5
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Juan Musso concedes.
5
Corner Corner
Sevilla wins a corner after Juan Musso concedes.
4
Update Update
Offside called against Atletico Madrid. Alexander Sørloth is offside.
3
Update Update
Rubén Vargas from Sevilla had a header inside the six-yard box, but it was blocked on the left side. The assist came from Juanlu Sánchez, who delivered the cross.
2
Update Update
Rubén Vargas from Sevilla has a header inside the six-yard box on the left side, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sevilla exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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