Beşiktaş vs Antalyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Beşiktaş Park Fri, 10 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
4 Winner 2
Antalyaspor ANT
Full Time Fri, 10 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Orkun Kökçü - 4'
Jota Silva - 9'
Hyeon-gyu Oh - 33', 59'
Goal
|
Goal
Sander van de Streek - 21'
Samuel Ballet - 47'

CONTEXT

The match between Beşiktaş and Antalyaspor is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 4-2 to the home side. Beşiktaş built a 3-1 halftime lead and added one more goal after the break to seal a comfortable victory, with no red cards shown to either team during the contest. Pre-match expectations pointed strongly toward Beşiktaş, who carried a roughly 70 percent implied likelihood of success. The result showed a significant deviation in their favor, as the stronger side produced a more emphatic win than anticipated. This outcome aligned with the pre-match projection, and the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations throughout. Beşiktaş controlled the game with 64 percent possession against Antalyaspor’s 36 percent, though no xG data was available to measure chance quality. The home team’s clinical edge in front of goal proved decisive, turning territorial dominance into a multi-goal margin without any major disruptive events altering the contest’s trajectory. Overall the display confirmed Beşiktaş as the clear superior outfit on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Kayatepe
A. Kayatepe
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.66
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
F. Ürün
F. Ürün
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.66
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
M. Altan
M. Altan
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.66
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
S. Bahadır
S. Bahadır
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.68
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.66
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.17
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
Beşiktaş S. Yalçın
S. Yalçın
VS
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
1.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Galatasaray Rank: L
Kocaelispor Rank: W
Göztepe Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: D
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: D
Kayserispor Rank: L
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 8 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
70.4%
Draw
17.43%
Away Antalyaspor
12.17%

Movement

Changes since opening
Beşiktaş
-27.49%
Draw
+15.51%
Antalyaspor
+11.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.61
16.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
Power Score
31.61
16.87
League Position
4
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Antalyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.48
34.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.86
36.48
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Beşiktaş +0.18 Efficiency Index
vs
Antalyaspor -0.18 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Beşiktaş Antalyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Antalyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Beşiktaş
vs
Antalyaspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Beşiktaş Antalyaspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Beşiktaş 0.45
Antalyaspor 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Antalyaspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Beşiktaş 0.06
Antalyaspor 0.09
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BES had peak pressure around 39'.
  • BES started the game with stronger pressure.
BES Pressure ANT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BES reached the top pressure at 39' (76.57).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
35 matches
Antalyaspor ANT Away
Match Record
22
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
22
Goals
68
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
68
+31
Goal Difference
-31
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-11T00:01:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
E. Destanoğlu
Turkey
30 E. Destanoğlu
M. Murillo Bermudez
Panama
62 M. Murillo Bermudez
T. Embalo Djaló
Portugal
35 T. Embalo Djaló
E. Topçu
Turkey
53 E. Topçu
R. Yılmaz
Turkey
33 R. Yılmaz
K. Yılmaz
Substitution
Turkey
17 K. Yılmaz
O. Kökçü
Substitution
Turkey
10 O. Kökçü
C. Ünder
Substitution
Turkey
11 C. Ünder
J. Olaitan
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
J. Ferreira Silva
Substitution
Portugal
26 J. Ferreira Silva
H. Oh
South Korea
9 H. Oh
J. Cuesta Díaz
Spain
1 J. Cuesta Díaz
G. Dzhikiya
Substitution
Russia
14 G. Dzhikiya
L. Gianetti
Argentina
30 L. Gianetti
V. Sarı
Turkey
89 V. Sarı
K. Paal
Suriname
3 K. Paal
D. Šarić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
88 D. Šarić
J. Ceesay
Substitution
Gambia
23 J. Ceesay
R. Safouri
Israel
8 R. Safouri
E. Yeşilyurt
Substitution
Germany
17 E. Yeşilyurt
S. Ballet
Substitution
Switzerland
11 S. Ballet
S. van de Streek
Netherlands
22 S. van de Streek

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 10, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity
42590
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adnan Deniz Kayatepe
Furkan Ürün
Murat Altan
Süleyman Bahadır

Statistics

Possession
BES
61%
ANT
39%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
9 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 5
47 Dangerous attacks 31
64 Possession 36
10 Corners 6
11 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
3 Assists 2
17 Dribble Attempts 15
10 Successful Dribbles 7
23 Throwins 11
8 Goal Kicks 5
6 Successful Headers 11
4 Substitutions 4
1 Injuries 0
13 Goal Attempts 7
65 Ball Safe 67

Attacking

89 Attacks 74
5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

71 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
15 Key Passes 4
22 Successful Long Passes 12
461 Passes 252
31 Long Passes 34
86 Successful Passes Percentage 75
398 Successful Passes 190

Defensive

12 Tackles 19
1 Saves 9
8 Interceptions 11

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 19
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Adnan Deniz Kayatepe

Starting XI ▼

30
Ersin Destanoğlu
Ersin Destanoğlu Goalkeeper
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
35
Tiago Djaló
Tiago Djaló Defender
53
Emirhan Topçu
Emirhan Topçu Defender
62
Amir Murillo
Amir Murillo Defender
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü Midfielder
8
Salih Uçan
Salih Uçan
Midfielder87'
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder Midfielder
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani
Midfielder77'
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
17
Kartal Yılmaz
Kartal Yılmaz Midfielder
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny
Attacker76'
26
Jota Silva
Jota Silva Midfielder
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré
Attacker63'
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
2
Referee : Adnan Deniz Kayatepe

Starting XI ▼

1
Julián Cuesta
Julián Cuesta Goalkeeper
14
Georgiy Dzhikiya
Georgiy Dzhikiya Defender
70
Doğukan Sinik
Doğukan Sinik
Attacker38'
30
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Defender
89
Veysel Sarı
Veysel Sarı Defender
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Midfielder
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Midfielder
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Midfielder
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı
Defender37'
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Midfielder
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm
Attacker87'
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric Midfielder
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Attacker
2
Samet Karakoç
Samet Karakoç
Defender90'
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Samet Karakoç → Samuel Ballet
8th Substitution
Event
Salih Uçan → Orkun Kökçü
7th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Nikola Storm → Jesper Ceesay
6th Substitution
Event
Emirhan Topçu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
Event
Kristjan Asllani → Cengiz Ünder
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Vaclav Cerny → Kartal Yılmaz
4th Substitution
76'
Event
El Bilal Touré → Jota Silva
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
59'
47'
Event
Samuel Ballet
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Ramzi Safuri
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Doğukan Sinik → Georgiy Dzhikiya
2nd Substitution
37'
Event
Bünyamin Balcı → Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
1st Substitution
36'
Event
Samuel Ballet
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
33'
21'
Event
Sander van de Streek
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Jota Silva
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
9'
Event
Orkun Kökçü
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
4'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Beşiktaş exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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