Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva Sun, 5 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
0 Winner 3
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 22 Regular Season
|
Goal
Danylo Kravchuk - 55', 65'
Shota Nonikashvili - 83'

CONTEXT

The match has finished, with LNZ Cherkasy securing a 3-0 away victory over Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih. After a tightly contested first half that ended completely even at 0-0, the visiting side found their rhythm in the second half to take all three points. Going into the match, LNZ Cherkasy were the clear favorites with a 51% pre-match market probability, compared to a 20.3% chance for the hosts and a 28.7% likelihood of a draw. The final outcome ultimately aligned with the pre-match market. Furthermore, LNZ Cherkasy recorded a significant 49% performance deviation, firmly exceeding baseline expectations to earn an emphatic win. Despite the heavy defeat, Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih actually controlled the ball, finishing with 57% possession compared to LNZ Cherkasy's 43%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be evaluated whether the final scoreline was consistent with underlying chance quality. Nonetheless, the efficiency shift for the match remained in line with standard expectations. Finally, the contest was played fairly with 11 men on each side, as no red cards were issued to impact the tactical dynamics of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: LNZ Cherkasy showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Afanasiev
O. Afanasiev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.56
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
I. Rybchenko
I. Rybchenko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.56
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
O. Korniyko
O. Korniyko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.56
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
A. Mykhaylyuk
A. Mykhaylyuk
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.56
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
VS
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.57
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 60 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 42 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 50 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 52 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 46 W
Oleksandria Rank: 48 W
Veres Rank: 46 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
20.3%
Draw
28.68%
Away LNZ Cherkasy
51.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.98
58.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
LNZ Cherkasy
Power Score
54.98
58.44
League Position
6
1
Global Rank
617
520

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih LNZ Cherkasy

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
7.81
10.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.70
7.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.28 Efficiency Index
vs
LNZ Cherkasy +0.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
LNZ Cherkasy
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
LNZ Cherkasy
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih LNZ Cherkasy
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.04
LNZ Cherkasy 0.09
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih LNZ Cherkasy
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.09
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
LNZ Cherkasy
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home
5 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
3
Goals
8
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
8
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:01:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-5-1
Pitch
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jones
Panama
15 J. Jones
J. Nyabeye Dibango
Substitution
Cameroon
55 J. Nyabeye Dibango
M. Zaderaka
Ukraine
94 M. Zaderaka
A. Araujo Araque
Substitution
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
Y. Shevchenko
Substitution
8 Y. Shevchenko
B. Lin
Substitution
Israel
18 B. Lin
C. Paraco González
Venezuela
9 C. Paraco González
G. Mendoza Barrios
Substitution
Venezuela
7 G. Mendoza Barrios
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
O. Gorin
Ukraine
25 O. Gorin
N. Muravskyi
Ukraine
34 N. Muravskyi
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
D. Kravchuk
Ukraine
23 D. Kravchuk
A. Ryabov
Substitution
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
R. Didyk
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
E. Tverdokhlib
Substitution
Ukraine
22 E. Tverdokhlib
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 22 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva
Capacity
29783
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oleksandr Afanasiev
Igor Rybchenko
Oleksandr Korniyko
Artem Mykhaylyuk

Statistics

Possession
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
54%
LNZ Cherkasy
46%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
1 Shots 1
49 Dangerous attacks 32
57 Possession 43
14 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Assists 1
6 Goal Kicks 8
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

94 Attacks 82

Defensive

0 Saves 2

Discipline

6 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Afanasiev

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango Defender
5
Ante Bekavac
Ante Bekavac
Defender78'
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert
Attacker83'
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza Midfielder
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk
Attacker79'
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko Midfielder
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Midfielder67'
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Midfielder
14
Assane Seck
Assane Seck
Midfielder67'
94
Maksym Zaderaka
Maksym Zaderaka Midfielder
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco Attacker
Referee : Oleksandr Afanasiev

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
25
Oleg Gorin
Oleg Gorin Defender
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi Defender
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
5
Shota Nonikashvili
Shota Nonikashvili
Midfielder79'
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
22
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Yegor Tverdokhlib Midfielder
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk
Defender64'
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk Attacker
2
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn
Midfielder58'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Giovany Herbert → Andrusw Araujo
8th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Shota Nonikashvili
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Volodymyr Mulyk → Gleiker Mendoza
6th Substitution
79'
79'
Event
Shota Nonikashvili → Artur Ryabov
7th Substitution
Event
Ante Bekavac → Yvan Dibango
5th Substitution
78'
74'
Event
Yevgeniy Pastukh
1st Yellowcard
Event
Oleksandr Kamenskyi → Yaroslav Shevchenko
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Assane Seck → Bar Lin
4th Substitution
67'
65'
Event
Danylo Kravchuk
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
64'
Event
Denys Kuzyk → Yegor Tverdokhlib
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Artur Mykytyshyn → Mark Assinor
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Danylo Kravchuk
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: LNZ Cherkasy exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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