Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
PEC
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Go Ahead Eagles and PEC Zwolle has finished, with the home side securing a resounding 5-0 full-time victory after already establishing a commanding 3-0 lead by halftime. Entering the contest, Go Ahead Eagles were the clear market favorites with a 50.9% pre-match win probability, compared to a 24% chance of a draw and 25.1% for Zwolle. The victory successfully aligned with these pre-match market expectations, though the massive five-goal margin resulted in a significant performance deviation in favor of the dominant hosts. Despite the extremely lopsided scoreline, ball control was actually quite even throughout the match. Go Ahead Eagles held a narrow 52% possession share, leaving the visitors with 48%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be mathematically determined if the scoring output precisely aligned with the quality of chances created. However, the teams' efficiency shift remained perfectly in line with overall projections. The match concluded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card. Ultimately, Go Ahead Eagles capitalized on their status as the stronger team, turning a moderate pre-match advantage into an absolute rout.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Go Ahead Eagles showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Team Power Ranking
i
66
63.07
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Go Ahead Eagles
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Go Ahead Eagles
⚠ Proxy
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:01:50+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Go Ahead Eagles
vs
FC Groningen
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 6:00 PM
Venue: Away
PEC Zwolle
vs
Excelsior
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 12:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary