Getafe vs Athletic Club Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Sun, 5 Apr - 12:00 PM
La Liga
Getafe GET
2 Winner 0
Athletic Club ATH
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Luis Vázquez - 14'
Martín Satriano - 90'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Getafe has secured a 2-0 full-time victory over Athletic Club in a finished match that defied the odds. The hosts took control in the first half, establishing a 1-0 lead by the break, and ultimately added a second goal to complete the shutout. Heading into the fixture, Athletic Club was viewed as the stronger team, carrying a 38.9% implied probability of an away win compared to a 32.8% chance of a draw and just 28.3% for a home victory. Consequently, the final result was not aligned with the pre-match market. Getafe's triumph represented a significant deviation from expectations, overcoming a 71.7% deviation probability to claim the win as the underdog. Athletic Club dominated the ball with 68% possession, leaving Getafe with just 32%. Despite this stark contrast in control, Getafe's efficiency shift was entirely in line with standard performance metrics. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this match, making it impossible to determine if the outcome was consistent with underlying chance creation. Finally, the match concluded without the disruption of any red cards for either side, meaning discipline did not negatively impact the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Getafe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Martínez Munuera
J. Martínez Munuera
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Martínez Munuera
M. Martínez Munuera
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
?. Granel Peiró
?. Granel Peiró
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
G. González Páez
G. González Páez
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.88
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.7
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Getafe P. Moreno Ruiz
P. Moreno Ruiz
VS
Athletic Club E. Valverde
E. Valverde
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Espanyol Rank: 74 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 90 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 W
Real Madrid Rank: 94 W
Sevilla Rank: 73 L
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Betis Rank: 82 W
Girona Rank: 74 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 97 L
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 D
Elche Rank: 73 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 70 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 18 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Getafe
28.25%
Draw
32.84%
Away Athletic Club
38.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.74
77.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Getafe
Athletic Club
Power Score
76.74
77.62
League Position
8
11
Global Rank
85
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Getafe — Opponent-weighted form score
Athletic Club — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Getafe Athletic Club

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Getafe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Athletic Club

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Getafe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Athletic Club
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.25
11.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.10
36.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Getafe +2.33 Efficiency Index
vs
Athletic Club -2.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Getafe
Athletic Club
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Getafe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Athletic Club
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Getafe Athletic Club
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Getafe Athletic Club
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Getafe
Athletic Club
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Getafe
vs
Athletic Club
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Getafe Athletic Club
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Getafe 0.31
Athletic Club 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Getafe Athletic Club
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Getafe 0.00
Athletic Club 0.06
Getafe
Athletic Club
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Getafe GET Home
39 matches
Athletic Club ATH Away
Match Record
8
Wins
13
18
Draws
18
13
Losses
8
Goals
32
Goals Scored
46
46
Goals Conceded
32
-14
Goal Difference
+14
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:01:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Soria Solís
Spain
13 D. Soria Solís
J. Boselli Graf
Uruguay
15 J. Boselli Graf
D. Dakonam Ortega
Substitution
Togo
2 D. Dakonam Ortega
D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Portugal
22 D. Sousa Coutinho Meneses Duarte
Z. Romero
Argentina
24 Z. Romero
J. Iglesias Sánchez
Spain
21 J. Iglesias Sánchez
A. Liso Lahoz
Substitution
Spain
23 A. Liso Lahoz
L. Milla Manzanares
Spain
5 L. Milla Manzanares
M. Arambarri Rosa
Uruguay
8 M. Arambarri Rosa
M. Satriano
Uruguay
10 M. Satriano
L. Vásquez
Substitution
Argentina
19 L. Vásquez
U. Simón Mendibil
Spain
1 U. Simón Mendibil
Y. Berchiche Izeta
Spain
17 Y. Berchiche Izeta
A. Laporte
Spain
14 A. Laporte
Y. Álvarez López
Substitution
Spain
5 Y. Álvarez López
D. Vivian Moreno
Spain
3 D. Vivian Moreno
M. Jauregizar Alboniga
Substitution
Spain
18 M. Jauregizar Alboniga
A. Rego Mora
Substitution
Spain
30 A. Rego Mora
A. Berenguer Remiro
Spain
7 A. Berenguer Remiro
O. Sancet Tirapu
Substitution
Spain
8 O. Sancet Tirapu
I. Williams Arthuer
Ghana
9 I. Williams Arthuer
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
11 G. Guruzeta Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Capacity
17393
Attendance
7749
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Juan Martínez Munuera
Miguel Martínez Munuera
Álvaro Granel Peiró
Gonzalo González Páez

Statistics

Possession
GET
38%
ATH
62%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 0
32 Dangerous attacks 51
32 Possession 68
4 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
5 Successful Dribbles 9
65 Ball Safe 76
1 Injuries 1
3 Substitutions 5
7 Goal Attempts 2
23 Throwins 28
10 Dribble Attempts 23
15 Successful Headers 18
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39
11 Goal Kicks 7

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
88 Attacks 115

Possession

29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
21 Successful Long Passes 29
233 Passes 527
143 Successful Passes 430
72 Long Passes 56
61 Successful Passes Percentage 82
8 Key Passes 5

Defensive

19 Tackles 9
14 Interceptions 5
50 Duels Won 46
0 Saves 3

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 6
22 Total Crosses 21

Discipline

11 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Juan Martínez Munuera

Starting XI ▼

13
David Soria
David Soria Goalkeeper
2
Dakonam Djené
Dakonam Djené Defender
16
Diego Rico
Diego Rico
Defender82'
15
Sebastián Boselli
Sebastián Boselli Defender
21
Juan Iglesias
Juan Iglesias Defender
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
24
Zaid Romero
Zaid Romero Defender
5
Luis Milla
Luis Milla Midfielder
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
10
Martín Satriano
Martín Satriano Midfielder
23
Adrián Liso
Adrián Liso Midfielder
20
Veljko Birmancevic
Veljko Birmancevic
Midfielder81'
19
Luis Vázquez
Luis Vázquez Attacker
6
Mario Martín
Mario Martín
Midfielder67'
Referee : Juan Martínez Munuera

Starting XI ▼

1
Unai Simón
Unai Simón Goalkeeper
3
Dani Vivian
Dani Vivian Defender
5
Yeray Álvarez
Yeray Álvarez Defender
12
Jesús Areso
Jesús Areso
Defender64'
14
Aymeric Laporte
Aymeric Laporte Defender
17
Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche Defender
7
Álex Berenguer
Álex Berenguer Midfielder
8
Oihan Sancet
Oihan Sancet Midfielder
21
Maroan Sannadi
Maroan Sannadi
Attacker71'
9
Iñaki Williams
Iñaki Williams Midfielder
18
Mikel Jauregizar
Mikel Jauregizar Midfielder
6
Mikel Vesga
Mikel Vesga
Midfielder64'
30
Alejandro Rego
Alejandro Rego Midfielder
16
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Midfielder46'
11
Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka Guruzeta Attacker
10
Nico Williams
Nico Williams
Attacker46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Martín Satriano
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90'
Event
Sebastián Boselli
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
5th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Diego Rico → Dakonam Djené
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Veljko Birmancevic → Adrián Liso
7th Substitution
81'
71'
Event
Maroan Sannadi → Oihan Sancet
6th Substitution
Event
Mario Martín → Luis Vázquez
5th Substitution
67'
64'
Event
Jesús Areso → Yeray Álvarez
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Mikel Vesga → Mikel Jauregizar
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta → Alejandro Rego
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Nico Williams → Gorka Guruzeta
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mauro Arambarri
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
31'
Event
Yuri Berchiche
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Dakonam Djené
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
29'
Event
Luis Vázquez
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
14'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Íñigo Ruíz de Galarreta from Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
90
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Veljko Birmancevic of Getafe takes a right-footed shot from over 40 yards on the right wing, but it's saved by Athletic Club's goalkeeper Unai Simón, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Getafe winning 2-0 against Athletic Club.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Alex Berenguer from Athletic Club shot with his right foot from the center of the box but it went high. Assist by Nico Williams.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Mario Martín of Getafe.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Getafe leads 2-0 against Athletic Club. Martín Satriano scores for Getafe with a right-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, placing it to the left side of the center of the goal. The assist comes from Mario Martín.
89
Corner Corner
Athletic Club wins a corner after Zaid Romero concedes.
88
Update Update
Handball by Veljko Birmancevic of Getafe.
87
Update Update
Diego Rico from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Maroan Sannadi of Athletic Club.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sebastián Boselli of Getafe receives a yellow card for a foul.
85
Update Update
Nico Williams from Athletic Club won a free kick on the left wing.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Sebastián Boselli of Getafe.
84
Update Update
Veljko Birmancevic of Getafe won a free kick in defense.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: Diego Rico replaces Djené Dakonam.
81
Corner Corner
Mauro Arambarri of Getafe missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box over the goal. The assist came from Luis Milla, who provided a cross after a corner.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: Veljko Birmancevic replaces Adrián Liso.
80
Corner Corner
Getafe wins a corner after Dani Vivian concedes.
78
Update Update
Íñigo Ruíz de Galarreta from Athletic Club won a free kick in the attacking area.
78
Attempt Attempt
Maroan Sannadi from Athletic Club missed a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending the ball to the left. Jesús Areso provided the assist.
78
Update Update
Mauro Arambarri from Getafe committed a foul.
75
Update Update
Nico Williams of Athletic Club is flagged for offside.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club.
72
Update Update
Martín Satriano of Getafe won a free kick in defense.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Athletic Club: Maroan Sannadi replaces Oihan Sancet.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: Mario Martín replaces Luis Vázquez.
66
Update Update
Luis Milla from Getafe committed a foul.
66
Update Update
Iñaki Williams from Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Athletic Club: Mikel Vesga replaces Mikel Jauregizar.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Athletic Club: Jesús Areso replaces Yeray Álvarez.
63
Update Update
Mauro Arambarri from Getafe committed a foul.
63
Update Update
Íñigo Ruíz de Galarreta from Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Athletic Club after a concession by Juan Iglesias.
57
Update Update
Mikel Jauregizar from Athletic Club committed a foul.
57
Update Update
Juan Iglesias from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
55
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Domingos Duarte of Getafe.
50
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Adrián Liso from Getafe takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but Unai Simón from Athletic Club saves it in the right corner. The assist comes from Luis Milla.
50
Update Update
Mauro Arambarri of Getafe is caught offside.
49
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nico Williams of Athletic Club.
48
Attempt Attempt
Íñigo Ruíz de Galarreta's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Nico Williams provided the assist.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Athletic Club after Djené Dakonam concedes.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mauro Arambarri from Getafe receives a yellow card for a foul.
45
Update Update
Mikel Jauregizar of Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
Martín Satriano from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Getafe leading 1-0 against Athletic Club.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Alejandro Rego of Athletic Club.
45
Update Update
Dani Vivian from Athletic Club committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Mauro Arambarri from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Athletic Club: Nico Williams replaces Gorka Guruzeta.
45
Update Update
Mauro Arambarri from Getafe committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Athletic Club: Íñigo Ruíz de Galarreta replaces Alejandro Rego.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Getafe 1, Athletic Club 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
42
Corner Corner
Getafe wins a corner after Yeray Álvarez concedes.
42
Corner Corner
Zaid Romero from Getafe missed a chance, heading the ball from a few meters out, very close to the goal. The assist came from Luis Milla, who provided a cross after a corner.
42
Attempt Attempt
Adrián Liso's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Luis Milla's cross.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Dani Vivian of Athletic Club.
41
Corner Corner
Getafe wins a corner after Alejandro Rego concedes.
41
Update Update
Martín Satriano of Getafe won a free kick on the left wing.
32
Update Update
Adrián Liso of Getafe is caught offside.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club receives a yellow card for a foul.
31
Update Update
Adrián Liso from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
31
Update Update
Foul by Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club.
29
Update Update
Alex Berenguer of Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
29
Update Update
Djené Dakonam from Getafe committed a foul.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Djené Dakonam from Getafe receives a yellow card for a foul.
27
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Alex Berenguer of Athletic Club heads the ball from inside the six-yard box but misses to the left. The assist came from Gorka Guruzeta's cross.
25
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Adrián Liso from Getafe.
24
Update Update
Juan Iglesias from Getafe won a free kick on the left wing.
22
Corner Corner
Getafe wins a corner after Dani Vivian concedes.
21
Update Update
Martín Satriano from Getafe committed a foul.
21
Update Update
Oihan Sancet of Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
18
Update Update
Luis Milla from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
18
Update Update
Foul by Luis Vázquez - Getafe.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Alex Berenguer of Athletic Club.
18
Update Update
Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
14
Attempt Attempt
Martín Satriano's right-footed shot from close range is blocked.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Getafe leads 1-0 against Athletic Club. Luis Vázquez scores for Getafe with a left-footed shot from close range to the center of the goal, assisted by Martín Satriano.
14
Update Update
Luis Vázquez of Getafe attempts a header from the center of the box, but Unai Simón of Athletic Club saves it in the center of the goal. The assist came from Sebastián Boselli, who delivered a cross.
9
Update Update
Alex Berenguer of Athletic Club won a free kick in defense.
9
Update Update
Adrián Liso from Getafe committed a foul.
9
Attempt Attempt
Iñaki Williams' left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Alex Berenguer.
5
Update Update
Djené Dakonam from Getafe won a free kick in defense.
5
Update Update
Fouled by Alex Berenguer of Athletic Club.
2
Update Update
Offside called against Getafe. Luis Vázquez is in an offside position.
1
Corner Corner
Luis Vázquez from Getafe had a missed chance as he shot with his left foot from the left side of the box, narrowly missing the top left corner. The assist came from Martín Satriano with a header.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Getafe exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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