Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Ligue 1
Auxerre
AUX
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Le Havre and Auxerre has officially finished in a 0-0 draw, following an evenly matched first half. Coming into the fixture, Auxerre was identified as the stronger team, although the pre-match market probabilities interestingly favored a Le Havre victory at 39.2%. An Auxerre win sat at 29.8%, with the draw at 31%. Ultimately, the stalemate meant the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market, resulting in a significant deviation level of 69% for Auxerre. On the pitch, Le Havre held a slight edge in the run of play, controlling 53% of the possession compared to Auxerre's 47%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this contest, making it impossible to evaluate if the scoreless outcome was consistent with the underlying offensive metrics and chance creation for either club. The fixture proceeded evenly and without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card. Furthermore, both squads demonstrated an efficiency shift that remained strictly in line with general match expectations, solidifying a closely contested defensive affair where neither side could find a decisive breakthrough.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Auxerre showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Le Havre
Auxerre
Team Power Ranking
i
66.3
68.75
Le Havre
Auxerre
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Le Havre
Auxerre
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Le Havre
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Le Havre
⚠ Proxy
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Le Havre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Le Havre
Auxerre
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:04:36+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Le Havre
vs
Nice
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 3:15 PM
Venue: Away
Auxerre
vs
Nantes
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary