Metz vs Nantes Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Saint-Symphorien Sun, 5 Apr - 3:15 PM
Ligue 1
Metz MTZ
0 – 0
Nantes NAN
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 3:15 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
|
Red Card Tylel Tati 39'

CONTEXT

The match between Metz and Nantes has finished in a 0-0 draw, with the sides having also been scoreless at half-time. Going into the fixture, Nantes were the slight favorites with a 37.4% implied probability of victory. A draw was viewed as the least likely outcome at 28.8%, while Metz held a 33.9% chance of a home win. Consequently, this stalemate represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations for Nantes, and the final outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this encounter, making it impossible to evaluate if the outcome was consistent with the quality of chances created. However, the flow of the game was heavily dictated by Metz, who controlled 66% of the possession compared to Nantes' 34%. Despite this territorial dominance, the attacking efficiency shift for both sides remained in line with standard expectations as neither team could break the deadlock. The match's dynamics were notably altered by a red card shown to Nantes. This dismissal caused a severe red card distortion on the pitch, allowing the hosts to dominate the ball. Despite the man advantage, Metz failed to capitalize.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nantes showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Brisard
J. Brisard
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
A. Auger
A. Auger
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
A. Drouet
A. Drouet
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
E. Barenton
E. Barenton
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
Metz B. Tavenot
B. Tavenot
VS
Nantes V. Halilhodžić
V. Halilhodžić
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.58
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rennes Rank: 77 D
Toulouse Rank: 72 L
Lens Rank: 81 L
Brest Rank: 73 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 L
Auxerre Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 79 L
Angers SCO Rank: 67 L
LOSC Lille Rank: 80 L
Le Havre Rank: 66 W
Monaco Rank: 81 L
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 80 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Metz
33.86%
Draw
28.75%
Away Nantes
37.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.31
64.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metz
Nantes
Power Score
53.31
64.04
League Position
18
17
Global Rank
398
337

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Metz — Opponent-weighted form score
Nantes — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metz Nantes

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Metz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nantes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Metz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nantes
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.33
21.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.03
33.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Metz +1.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Nantes -1.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Metz
Nantes
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Metz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nantes
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Metz Nantes
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Metz Nantes
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Metz
Nantes
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Metz
vs
Nantes
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Metz Nantes
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Metz 0.32
Nantes 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Metz Nantes
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Metz 0.00
Nantes 0.00
Metz
Nantes
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Metz MTZ Home
17 matches
Nantes NAN Away
Match Record
6
Wins
3
8
Draws
8
3
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
18
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:04:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
P. Sy
Senegal
61 P. Sy
K. Kouao
Ghana
39 K. Kouao
S. Sané
Senegal
38 S. Sané
U. Mboula
Substitution
Gabon
4 U. Mboula
M. Colin
Substitution
France
2 M. Colin
J. Gbamin
Ivory Coast
5 J. Gbamin
J. Deminguet
Substitution
France
20 J. Deminguet
B. Sarr
Substitution
Senegal
70 B. Sarr
G. Hein
France
10 G. Hein
H. Tsitaishvili
Georgia
7 H. Tsitaishvili
H. Diallo
Senegal
30 H. Diallo
A. Lopes
Portugal
1 A. Lopes
N. Cozza
France
3 N. Cozza
T. Tati
78 T. Tati
C. Collins Awaziem
Nigeria
6 C. Collins Awaziem
F. Guilbert
France
24 F. Guilbert
F. Coquelin
Substitution
France
13 F. Coquelin
M. Abline
Substitution
France
10 M. Abline
J. Lepenant
France
8 J. Lepenant
M. Kaba
Substitution
France
21 M. Kaba
F. Centonze
Substitution
France
18 F. Centonze
I. Kpene Ganago
Substitution
Cameroon
37 I. Kpene Ganago

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Capacity
26661
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jérôme Brisard
Alexis Auger
Aurélien Drouet
Edgar Barenton

Statistics

Possession
MTZ
64%
NAN
36%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 0
1 Shots 5
60 Dangerous attacks 23
66 Possession 34
6 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

15 Goal Attempts 5
14 Throwins 18
10 Successful Headers 5
13 Dribble Attempts 5
13 Successful Dribbles 5
91 Ball Safe 105
2 Injuries 0
72 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
5 Goal Kicks 9
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

122 Attacks 63

Possession

12 Key Passes 5
15 Long Passes 13
497 Successful Passes 225
88 Successful Passes Percentage 78
567 Passes 292

Defensive

22 Tackles 17
2 Saves 6
7 Interceptions 13
55 Duels Won 41

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

6 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Jérôme Brisard

Starting XI ▼

61
Pape Sy
Pape Sy Goalkeeper
2
Maxime Colin
Maxime Colin Defender
34
Nathan Mbala
Nathan Mbala
Attacker63'
4
Michel Mboula
Michel Mboula Defender
33
Believe Munongo
Believe Munongo
Midfielder63'
38
Sadibou Sané
Sadibou Sané Defender
39
Koffi Kouao
Koffi Kouao Defender
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Jean-Philippe Gbamin Midfielder
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
Giorgi Tsitaishvili Midfielder
10
Gauthier Hein
Gauthier Hein Midfielder
20
Jessy Deminguet
Jessy Deminguet Midfielder
9
Giorgi Abuashvili
Giorgi Abuashvili
Attacker87'
70
Bouna Sarr
Bouna Sarr Midfielder
19
Lucas Michal
Lucas Michal
Attacker80'
30
Habib Diallo
Habib Diallo Attacker
Referee : Jérôme Brisard

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Lopes
Anthony Lopes Goalkeeper
3
Nicolas Cozza
Nicolas Cozza Defender
6
Chidozie Awaziem
Chidozie Awaziem Defender
24
Frédéric Guilbert
Frédéric Guilbert Defender
78
Tylel Tati
Tylel Tati Defender
8
Johann Lepenant
Johann Lepenant Midfielder
10
Matthis Abline
Matthis Abline Midfielder
11
Herba Guirassy
Herba Guirassy
Attacker73'
13
Francis Coquelin
Francis Coquelin Midfielder
28
Ibrahima Sissoko
Ibrahima Sissoko
Midfielder84'
18
Fabien Centonze
Fabien Centonze Midfielder
2
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef
Defender46'
21
Mohamed Kaba
Mohamed Kaba Midfielder
98
Kelvin Amian
Kelvin Amian
Defender90+2'
37
Ignatius Ganago
Ignatius Ganago Attacker
27
Deiver Machado
Deiver Machado
Defender46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gauthier Hein
Goal disallowed
90+6'
90+2'
Event
Kelvin Amian → Mohamed Kaba
9th Substitution
Event
Giorgi Abuashvili → Jessy Deminguet
8th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Ibrahima Sissoko → Francis Coquelin
7th Substitution
Event
Lucas Michal → Bouna Sarr
6th Substitution
80'
73'
Event
Herba Guirassy → Matthis Abline
5th Substitution
Event
Believe Munongo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Nathan Mbala → Maxime Colin
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Believe Munongo → Michel Mboula
4th Substitution
63'
63'
Event
Francis Coquelin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Deiver Machado → Ignatius Ganago
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Ali Youssef → Fabien Centonze
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Tylel Tati
Foul / 1st Redcard
Event
Bouna Sarr
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
38'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Sadibou Sané from Metz heads the ball from the center of the box.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Kelvin Amian replaces Mohamed Kaba.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity for Metz. Sadibou Sané heads the ball from inside the six-yard box, but it goes high and wide to the left. The assist came from Jean-Philippe Gbamin's cross.
90
Corner Corner
Metz wins a corner after Deiver Machado concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Goal! Metz leads 1-0 against Nantes as Gauthier Hein scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
90
Update Update
Sadibou Sané from Metz misses a chance with a header from inside the six-yard box, sending it high and wide to the left. The assist came from Jean-Philippe Gbamin's cross.
90
Update Update
Nathan Mbala from Metz won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Metz and Nantes drawing 0-0.
90
Update Update
Goal overturned by VAR! Gauthier Hein scores for Metz, but the goal is disallowed after a VAR review.
90
Update Update
VAR decision: No goal. The match remains Metz 0, Nantes 0.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Jean-Philippe Gbamin of Metz.
88
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Abuashvili's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Gauthier Hein.
88
Corner Corner
Herba Guirassy from Nantes takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Pape Sy from Metz makes a save in the left corner. The assist comes from Nicolas Cozza.
88
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert of Nantes won a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Habib Diallo from Metz shot with his right foot from the center of the box after a corner.
87
Update Update
Sadibou Sané's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Gauthier Hein's cross.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Metz: Giorgi Abuashvili replaces Jessy Deminguet.
86
Corner Corner
Metz is awarded a corner after Frédéric Guilbert concedes.
85
Update Update
Jessy Deminguet from Metz won a free kick in defense.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Ibrahima Sissoko of Nantes.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Ibrahima Sissoko replaces Francis Coquelin.
84
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Habib Diallo of Metz headed the ball from the center of the box but missed to the left. The assist came from Nathan Mbala's cross.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Metz: Lucas Michal replaces Bouna Sarr.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Believe Munongo of Metz.
79
Update Update
Johann Lepenant from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
79
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Johann Lepenant of Nantes has a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Pape Sy of Metz, who is positioned in the center of the goal. The assist came from Nicolas Cozza with a cross.
78
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert of Nantes won a free kick in defense.
78
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
77
Update Update
Deiver Machado of Nantes is caught offside.
76
Update Update
Gauthier Hein from Metz attempts an attack, shooting with his left foot from outside the box, but Anthony Lopes, the goalkeeper for Nantes, saves it in the center of the goal.
76
Attempt Attempt
Gauthier Hein's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
75
Update Update
Nathan Mbala of Metz won a free kick in an attacking position.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Ali Youssif of Nantes.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Metz after a concession by Chidozie Awaziem.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Herba Guirassy replaces Matthis Abline.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Believe Munongo from Metz receives a yellow card for a foul.
72
Update Update
Fouled by Believe Munongo of Metz.
72
Update Update
Deiver Machado from Nantes won an attacking free kick.
72
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert fouled a player from Nantes.
72
Update Update
Jean-Philippe Gbamin from Metz won a free kick on the left wing.
70
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Johann Lepenant of Nantes.
67
Update Update
Offside called against Metz. Habib Diallo is offside.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Believe Munongo from Metz had a shot with his right foot from outside the box.
64
Update Update
Offside called against Metz. Koffi Kouao is offside.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Metz: Believe Munongo replaces Michel Mboula.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Francis Coquelin of Nantes receives a yellow card for a foul.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Metz: Nathan Mbala replaces Maxime Colin.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Francis Coquelin for Nantes.
63
Update Update
Gauthier Hein from Metz won a free kick in the defensive area.
62
Corner Corner
Nantes win a corner after Sadibou Sané concedes.
61
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza from Nantes won a free kick on the left wing.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Koffi Kouao of Metz.
59
Update Update
Frédéric Guilbert from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Habib Diallo of Metz.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Kaba of Nantes.
55
Update Update
Pape Sy of Metz won a free kick in defense.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Sadibou Sané of Metz.
54
Update Update
Matthis Abline from Nantes won a free kick on the left wing.
52
Attempt Attempt
Gauthier Hein's left-footed shot from a difficult position on the left is blocked. Giorgi Tsitaishvili provided the assist.
52
Corner Corner
Sadibou Sané from Metz had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but his attempt went high and wide to the left. The assist came from Habib Diallo, who headed the ball after a corner.
52
Corner Corner
Metz wins a corner after Chidozie Awaziem concedes.
49
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Michel Mboula from Metz.
47
Update Update
Ali Youssif from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Gauthier Hein of Metz.
46
Update Update
Gauthier Hein from Metz committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Gauthier Hein of Metz.
45
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes won a free kick on the right wing.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Ali Youssif replaces Fabien Centonze.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Metz and Nantes drawing 0-0.
45
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes won a free kick on the right wing.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nantes: Deiver Machado replaces Ignatius Ganago.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Metz 0, Nantes 0.
43
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Bouna Sarr from Metz takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Bouna Sarr from Metz attempts a shot with his right foot from the center of the box, but it is saved by Nantes goalkeeper Anthony Lopes, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
39
Update Update
Tylel Tati from Nantes commits a foul.
39
Update Update
Koffi Kouao of Metz won a free kick in an attacking position.
39
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Koffi Kouao from Metz.
39
Red Card Red Card Important
Tylel Tati from Nantes receives a red card.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bouna Sarr from Metz receives a yellow card.
38
Update Update
Maxime Colin fouled a player from Metz.
38
Update Update
Johann Lepenant from Nantes won a free kick in defense.
34
Update Update
Habib Diallo from Metz won a free kick in the attacking area.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Chidozie Awaziem of Nantes.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Jessy Deminguet - Metz.
31
Update Update
Mohamed Kaba from Nantes won a free kick on the right wing.
31
Update Update
Koffi Kouao from Metz won a free kick in defense.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Matthis Abline of Nantes.
30
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Ignatius Ganago from Nantes shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
28
Update Update
Offside called against Metz. Gauthier Hein is offside.
24
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Koffi Kouao from Metz.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Koffi Kouao of Metz.
23
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza of Nantes won a free kick in defense.
21
Update Update
Nicolas Cozza of Nantes won a free kick on the left wing.
21
Update Update
Koffi Kouao from Metz commits a foul.
20
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Giorgi Tsitaishvili from Metz.
19
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Gauthier Hein from Metz shot with his left foot from the center of the box but missed to the left. The assist came from Bouna Sarr after a fast break.
18
Attempt Attempt
Ignatius Ganago's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Matthis Abline.
17
Corner Corner
Francis Coquelin from Nantes misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box after a corner.
16
Corner Corner
Nantes win a corner after Sadibou Sané concedes.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Giorgi Tsitaishvili from Metz takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
12
Update Update
Bouna Sarr of Metz is flagged for offside.
12
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Jessy Deminguet from Metz shoots with his left foot from the center of the box, but Anthony Lopes from Nantes saves it in the top right corner. The assist was made by Giorgi Tsitaishvili with a cross.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Metz after a foul by Nicolas Cozza.
9
Update Update
Habib Diallo from Metz misses a header from the center of the box. The assist came from Gauthier Hein's cross.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Fabien Centonze from Nantes took a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
6
Corner Corner
Nantes win a corner after Maxime Colin concedes.
2
Corner Corner
Koffi Kouao from Metz makes an attacking attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Anthony Lopes of Nantes.
2
Update Update
Offside called against Metz. Habib Diallo is offside.
1
Corner Corner
Metz is awarded a corner after Mohamed Kaba concedes.
1
Attempt Attempt
Jessy Deminguet's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Habib Diallo.
1
Update Update
Koffi Kouao from Metz won a free kick on the right wing.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Johann Lepenant of Nantes.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Nantes exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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