Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
FC Köln
KOE
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Köln has finished in a 2-2 draw. After going into the halftime break evenly matched at 0-0, both sides found the back of the net twice in the second half. Pre-match expectations heavily favored the hosts as the stronger team, with Eintracht Frankfurt holding a 49.4% probability of victory compared to FC Köln's 25.7% chance. With a draw holding just a 24.9% pre-match likelihood, the final result did not align with the pre-match market. This resulted in a significant deviation for Eintracht Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt controlled the tempo throughout the contest, dominating the ball with 67% possession, while FC Köln managed just 33%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final outcome aligned with xG. However, the overall efficiency shift was perfectly in line with the goalscoring output. The match featured a disciplined performance from both sides, as neither team received a red card. With zero ejections, there were no major disciplinary events to impact the flow of the game, allowing both squads to play out the 2-2 draw at full strength.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Eintracht Frankfurt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Team Power Ranking
i
80.76
62.13
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Eintracht Frankfurt
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Eintracht Frankfurt
⚠ Proxy
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:04:57+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Eintracht Frankfurt
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 1:30 PM
Venue: Away
FC Köln
vs
Werder Bremen
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 1:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary