Akron vs CSKA Moskva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sat, 4 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Akron Akron
1 Winner 2
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 23 Regular Season
Artem Dzyuba - 60' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Luciano Gondou - 5'
Danil Krugovoy - 84'

CONTEXT

The match has concluded with CSKA Moskva securing a 2-1 away victory against Akron. The visitors established an advantage early on, taking a 1-0 lead into the halftime break before both teams found the back of the net in the second half to finalize the scoreline. CSKA Moskva successfully controlled the tempo of the game, holding 55% of the possession while restricting the home side to 45% of the ball. Although expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, the final outcome remained in line with the overall efficiency shift of the contest. The match was played cleanly without the disruptive impact of any red cards, allowing for a standard 11-versus-11 battle. Despite flat pre-match market indicators, the away victory perfectly aligned with broader market expectations that recognized CSKA Moskva as the stronger team. Notably, CSKA Moskva registered a significant deviation level in their performance, pointing to an impactful display that exceeded standard baseline metrics. Ultimately, the market-aligned result confirmed the visitors' superiority on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: CSKA Moskva showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Safjan
D. Safjan
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.57
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.51
M. Ivanov
M. Ivanov
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.57
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.51
M. Cheremnykh
M. Cheremnykh
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.57
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.51
V. Moskalev
V. Moskalev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 22.57
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.83
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.51
Akron Z. Tedeev
Z. Tedeev
VS
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 71 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 D
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 L
Orenburg Rank: 52 L
Zenit Rank: 80 L
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 52 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 65 L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 70 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 L
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
Orenburg Rank: 52 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Akron
0%
Draw
0%
Away CSKA Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.84
71.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Akron
CSKA Moskva
Power Score
53.84
71.78
League Position
11
5
Global Rank
651
152

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Akron — Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Akron CSKA Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Akron

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

CSKA Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.11
37.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.64
20.11
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Akron -1.94 Efficiency Index
vs
CSKA Moskva +1.94 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
CSKA Moskva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Akron ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Akron CSKA Moskva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Akron CSKA Moskva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Akron
CSKA Moskva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Akron
vs
CSKA Moskva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Akron CSKA Moskva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Akron 0.17
CSKA Moskva 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Akron CSKA Moskva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Akron 0.04
CSKA Moskva 0.02
Akron
CSKA Moskva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Akron Akron Home
3 matches
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
2
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:00:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Terekhovskiy
32 I. Terekhovskiy
D. Pestryakov
Russia
71 D. Pestryakov
I. Nedelcearu
Substitution
Romania
24 I. Nedelcearu
M. Bokoev
Russia
19 M. Bokoev
D. Popenkov
89 D. Popenkov
M. Kuzmin
Russia
6 M. Kuzmin
A. Đurasović
Serbia
5 A. Đurasović
I. Đakovac
Substitution
Serbia
35 I. Đakovac
M. Boldyrev
Substitution
Russia
91 M. Boldyrev
A. Dzyuba
Russia
22 (C) A. Dzyuba
K. Arévalo Díaz
Substitution
10 K. Arévalo Díaz
I. Akinfeev
Russia
35 (C) I. Akinfeev
D. Krugovoi
Russia
3 D. Krugovoi
K. Danilov
Substitution
Russia
79 K. Danilov
M. Lukun
Russia
90 M. Lukun
M. Gajić
Serbia
22 M. Gajić
D. Barinov
Russia
6 D. Barinov
M. Kislyak
Russia
31 M. Kislyak
K. Glebov
Substitution
Russia
17 K. Glebov
I. Oblyakov
Substitution
Russia
10 I. Oblyakov
H. Fabiano do Carmo
Substitution
37 H. Fabiano do Carmo
L. Gondou
Argentina
9 L. Gondou

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 04, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Attendance
5399
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dmitri Safjan
Mikhail Ivanov
Mikhail Cheremnykh
Vladimir Moskalev

Statistics

Possession
Akron
46%
CSKA Moskva
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
41 Dangerous attacks 54
45 Possession 55
1 Corners 5
18 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4
2 Injuries 1
76 Ball Safe 76
8 Goal Attempts 11
22 Throwins 19
19 Successful Headers 20
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 23
0 Assists 2
9 Goal Kicks 8
3 Successful Dribbles 3
8 Dribble Attempts 13
2 Penalties 0

Attacking

84 Attacks 83

Possession

39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
22 Successful Long Passes 18
250 Successful Passes 346
338 Passes 417
56 Long Passes 42
74 Successful Passes Percentage 83

Defensive

14 Tackles 9
54 Duels Won 45
9 Interceptions 9
1 Saves 2

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 22
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Vladimir Moskalev

Starting XI ▼

32
Ignat Terekhovskiy
Ignat Terekhovskiy Goalkeeper
6.21
19
Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev Defender
6.67
24
Ionuț Nedelcearu
Ionuț Nedelcearu Defender
6.34
80
Khetag Khosonov
Khetag Khosonov
Midfielder40'
6.72
71
Dmitriy Pestryakov
Dmitriy Pestryakov Defender
6.91
89
Denis Popenkov
Denis Popenkov Defender
6.82
5
Aleksa Djurasovic
Aleksa Djurasovic Midfielder
6.66
6
Maksim Kuzmin
Maksim Kuzmin Midfielder
6.91
35
Ifet Djakovac
Ifet Djakovac Midfielder
6.46
15
Stefan Loncar
Stefan Loncar
Midfielder67'
6.69
10
K. Arévalo
K. Arévalo Attacker
6.58
2
Yomar Rocha
Yomar Rocha
Defender67'
6.18
22
Artem Dzyuba
Artem Dzyuba (C) Attacker
7.28
91
Maksim Boldyrev
Maksim Boldyrev Attacker
7.23
7
Edgar Sevikyan
Edgar Sevikyan
Midfielder74'
6.42
Referee : Vladimir Moskalev

Starting XI ▼

35
Igor Akinfeev
Igor Akinfeev (C) Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Defender
7.47
22
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić Defender
6.75
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Defender
6.44
4
João Victor
João Victor
Defender90+5'
90
Matvey Lukin
Matvey Lukin Defender
6.7
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Midfielder
6.64
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Midfielder
6.75
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev
Attacker73'
6.71
17
Kirill Glebov
Kirill Glebov Midfielder
6.69
2
Matheus Reis
Matheus Reis
Defender66'
6.79
31
Matvey Kislyak
Matvey Kislyak Midfielder
7.73
37
Henrique Carmo
Henrique Carmo Midfielder
6.17
18
Danila Kozlov
Danila Kozlov
Midfielder66'
6.83
9
Luciano Gondou
Luciano Gondou Attacker
7.31

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Artem Dzyuba
Goal disallowed
90+6'
90+5'
Event
João Victor → Kirill Danilov
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Danil Krugovoy
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Edgar Sevikyan → Maksim Boldyrev
7th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Tamerlan Musaev → Ivan Oblyakov
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Kirill Danilov
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Stefan Loncar → Ifet Djakovac
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Yomar Rocha → K. Arévalo
5th Substitution
67'
66'
Event
Danila Kozlov → Henrique Carmo
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Matheus Reis → Kirill Glebov
3rd Substitution
Event
Artem Dzyuba
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
60'
Event
Maksim Boldyrev
Penalty awarded
58'
1ST-HALF
Event
Khetag Khosonov → Ionuț Nedelcearu
1st Substitution
40'
Event
Ifet Djakovac
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
26'
5'
Event
Luciano Gondou
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: CSKA Moskva exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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