SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Europa-Park Stadion Sat, 4 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg SCF
2 Winner 3
FC Bayern München FCB
Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 1:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Johan Manzambi - 46'
Lucas Höler - 71'
Goal
|
Goal
Tom Bischof - 81', 90+2'
Lennart Karl - 90+9'

CONTEXT

The match has finished with FC Bayern München defeating SC Freiburg with a full-time score of 3-2. The teams were deadlocked at 0-0 at half-time, but the game ultimately produced five goals in a highly entertaining second half. This result was fully aligned with the pre-match market expectations. FC Bayern München entered the contest as the stronger team and clear favorites, holding a 61.3% implied win probability. In contrast, SC Freiburg possessed just a 17.9% chance of a home victory, alongside a 20.8% likelihood of a draw. Although the away victory matched the market predictions, the deviation level was still marked as significant for FC Bayern München, reflecting a 38.7% deviation. On the pitch, Bayern München completely dominated the ball, maintaining a massive 70% possession while limiting Freiburg to just 30%. Expected Goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be determined if the final scoreline was strictly consistent with underlying chance creation. However, the overall efficiency shift was ultimately in line with the match dynamics. Additionally, the fixture concluded cleanly with zero red cards, meaning neither side was impacted by major disciplinary disadvantages.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Bayern München showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Seidel
J. Seidel
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.37
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
D. Siebert
D. Siebert
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.37
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
R. Foltyn
R. Foltyn
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.37
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
T. Reichel
T. Reichel
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.37
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.05
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
FC Bayern München V. Kompany
V. Kompany
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.5
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Pauli Rank: 73 W
FC Union Berlin Rank: 74 L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 90 D
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 L
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 76 W
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 83 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Union Berlin Rank: 75 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 D
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 76 W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 91 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 W
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 6 - 24
24

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
17.93%
Draw
20.77%
Away FC Bayern München
61.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.75
100
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
Power Score
80.75
100
League Position
8
1
Global Rank
58
1

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg FC Bayern München

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SC Freiburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Bayern München

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SC Freiburg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Bayern München
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.50
34.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.43
50.50
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SC Freiburg +1.52 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Bayern München -1.52 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SC Freiburg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Bayern München
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SC Freiburg
vs
FC Bayern München
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SC Freiburg 0.30
FC Bayern München 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SC Freiburg FC Bayern München
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SC Freiburg 0.05
FC Bayern München 0.05
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
31 matches
FC Bayern München FCB Away
Match Record
1
Wins
24
6
Draws
6
24
Losses
1
Goals
24
Goals Scored
82
82
Goals Conceded
24
-58
Goal Difference
+58
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:03:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
P. Treu
Germany
29 P. Treu
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
Austria
3 P. Lienhart
C. Günter
Substitution
Germany
30 C. Günter
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
Substitution
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
J. Beste
Substitution
Germany
19 J. Beste
Y. Suzuki
Substitution
Japan
14 Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant
Germany
7 D. Scherhant
L. Höler
Substitution
Germany
9 L. Höler
M. Neuer
Germany
1 M. Neuer
T. Bischof
Germany
20 T. Bischof
J. Tah
Substitution
Germany
4 J. Tah
M. Kim
Substitution
South Korea
3 M. Kim
J. Stanisic
Croatia
44 J. Stanisic
L. Goretzka
Substitution
Germany
8 L. Goretzka
J. Kimmich
Germany
6 J. Kimmich
L. Díaz Marulanda
Colombia
14 L. Díaz Marulanda
R. Guerreiro
Substitution
Portugal
22 R. Guerreiro
L. Karl
Germany
42 L. Karl
S. Gnabry
Substitution
Germany
7 S. Gnabry

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 04, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity
34700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jan Seidel
Daniel Siebert
Rafael Foltyn
Tobias Reichel

Statistics

Possession
SCF
36%
FCB
64%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
4 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 7
43 Dangerous attacks 62
30 Possession 70
5 Corners 8
13 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

9 Goal Attempts 13
15 Throwins 22
9 Successful Dribbles 7
7 Goal Kicks 6
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
2 Injuries 0
65 Ball Safe 90
1 Assists 3
11 Successful Headers 8
17 Dribble Attempts 21
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

61 Attacks 113
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 64
257 Passes 636
74 Successful Passes Percentage 89
10 Key Passes 17
52 Long Passes 50
189 Successful Passes 563
21 Successful Long Passes 32

Defensive

25 Tackles 15
58 Duels Won 38
12 Interceptions 10
6 Saves 2

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 13
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Siebert

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
30
Christian Günter
Christian Günter Defender
17
Lukas Kübler
Lukas Kübler
Defender65'
7
Derry Scherhant
Derry Scherhant Midfielder
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
14
Yuito Suzuki
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler
Midfielder90'
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Midfielder
22
Cyriaque Irié
Cyriaque Irié
Attacker78'
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic
Attacker78'
9
Lucas Höler
Lucas Höler Attacker
43
Bruno Ogbus
Bruno Ogbus
Defender89'
Referee : Daniel Siebert

Starting XI ▼

1
Manuel Neuer
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper
3
Min-jae Kim
Min-jae Kim Defender
19
Alphonso Davies
Alphonso Davies
Defender87'
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah Defender
27
Konrad Laimer
Konrad Laimer
Midfielder56'
20
Tom Bischof
Tom Bischof Defender
2
44
Josip Stanisic
Josip Stanisic Defender
6
Joshua Kimmich
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder
8
Leon Goretzka
Leon Goretzka Midfielder
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Midfielder56'
14
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Midfielder
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
Raphaël Guerreiro Midfielder
17
Michael Olise
Michael Olise
Midfielder56'
42
Lennart Karl
Lennart Karl Midfielder
7
Serge Gnabry
Serge Gnabry Attacker
10
Jamal Musiala
Jamal Musiala
Midfielder65'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+10'
Event
Lennart Karl
5th Yellowcard
90+10'
Event
6th Yellowcard
Event
Noah Atubolu
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+9'
90+9'
Event
Lennart Karl
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+2'
Event
Tom Bischof
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Nicolas Höfler → Yuito Suzuki
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Bruno Ogbus → Lucas Höler
9th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Alphonso Davies → Min-jae Kim
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Tom Bischof
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Igor Matanovic → Johan Manzambi
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Cyriaque Irié → Niklas Beste
6th Substitution
78'
73'
Event
Julian Schuster
8th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Michael Olise
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Lucas Höler
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
Event
Lukas Kübler → Christian Günter
4th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Jamal Musiala → Serge Gnabry
5th Substitution
56'
Event
Michael Olise → Raphaël Guerreiro
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Aleksandar Pavlovic → Leon Goretzka
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Konrad Laimer → Jonathan Tah
1st Substitution
Event
Johan Manzambi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Matthias Ginter
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
29'
25'
Event
7th Yellowcard
25'
Event
Jonathan Tah
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Maximilian Eggestein of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Fouled by Aleksandar Pavlovic of FC Bayern München.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Nicolas Höfler replaces Yuito Suzuki.
90
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Philipp Lienhart concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jamal Musiala of FC Bayern München had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but it went to the left. The assist came from Konrad Laimer's cross.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tom Bischof scores for FC Bayern München with a left-footed shot from outside the box into the right corner. The match is now 2-2, assisted by Michael Olise after a corner.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with SC Freiburg losing 2-3 to FC Bayern München.
90
Update Update
Offside called against FC Bayern München. Konrad Laimer is offside.
90
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Eggestein's shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Derry Scherhant.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Bayern München leads 3-2 after Lennart Karl scores with a right-footed shot from close range, assisted by Alphonso Davies.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lennart Karl of FC Bayern München receives a yellow card for excessive celebration.
90
Attempt Attempt
Igor Matanovic from SC Freiburg had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Lukas Kübler, who provided a header.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Bruno Ogbus replaces Lucas Höler due to injury.
88
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Alphonso Davies replaces Kim Min-Jae.
87
Update Update
Philipp Lienhart of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Lennart Karl of FC Bayern München.
85
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Joshua Kimmich.
84
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Matthias Ginter concedes.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Matthias Ginter concedes.
84
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Joshua Kimmich of FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg. The assist comes from Luis Díaz.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg.
82
Update Update
Jamal Musiala from FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
81
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Noah Atubolu concedes.
81
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner, conceded by Noah Atubolu.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SC Freiburg leads 2-1 against FC Bayern München. Tom Bischof scores for FC Bayern München with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the left corner, assisted by Lennart Karl after a corner.
80
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Philipp Lienhart concedes.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Igor Matanovic replaces Johan Manzambi.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Cyriaque Irié replaces Niklas Beste.
77
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Michael Olise of FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top left corner by Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg. The assist comes from Josip Stanisic.
77
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München win a corner after Noah Atubolu concedes.
75
Update Update
Offside called against SC Freiburg. Philipp Treu is offside.
75
Update Update
Offside called against SC Freiburg. Lucas Höler is offside.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Michael Olise of FC Bayern München receives a yellow card for a foul.
73
Update Update
Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg won a free kick on the right wing.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Michael Olise - FC Bayern München.
72
Update Update
Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SC Freiburg leads FC Bayern München 2-0. Lucas Höler scores for SC Freiburg with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner after a corner kick.
70
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg is awarded a corner after Kim Min-Jae concedes it.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Michael Olise - FC Bayern München.
67
Update Update
Noah Atubolu from SC Freiburg was awarded a free kick in defense.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Noah Atubolu concedes.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SC Freiburg: Lukas Kübler replaces Christian Günter.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Jamal Musiala replaces Serge Gnabry.
64
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Michael Olise - FC Bayern München.
61
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Niklas Beste concedes.
61
Attempt Attempt
Serge Gnabry's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Aleksandar Pavlovic provided the assist.
59
Update Update
Niklas Beste of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
59
Update Update
Niklas Beste of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
57
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise from FC Bayern München missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box and missing to the left. The assist came from Tom Bischof, who provided a cross.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Aleksandar Pavlovic replaces Leon Goretzka.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Michael Olise replaces Raphaël Guerreiro.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Konrad Laimer replaces Jonathan Tah.
55
Corner Corner
FC Bayern München wins a corner after Niklas Beste concedes.
54
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Höler from SC Freiburg had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box but just missing the target. The assist came from Niklas Beste.
52
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Höler from SC Freiburg had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but sending it high. The assist was provided by Philipp Treu.
51
Update Update
Matthias Ginter from SC Freiburg has been awarded a free kick in defense.
51
Update Update
Lucas Höler from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
51
Update Update
Joshua Kimmich of FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
51
Update Update
Serge Gnabry of FC Bayern München committed a foul.
50
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg wins a corner after Kim Min-Jae concedes it.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Philipp Treu of SC Freiburg.
49
Update Update
Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SC Freiburg leads FC Bayern München 1-0. Johan Manzambi scores for SC Freiburg with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the right corner, assisted by Maximilian Eggestein.
45
Attempt Attempt
Serge Gnabry of FC Bayern München had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box but missing to the left. Joshua Kimmich provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg had a right-footed shot inside the six-yard box, but it was blocked on the left side.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München tied at 0-0.
45
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg wins a corner after Luis Díaz concedes.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between SC Freiburg and FC Bayern München.
44
Attempt Attempt
Luis Díaz's shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Leon Goretzka.
43
Update Update
Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, sending the ball high and wide to the right.
43
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Lennart Karl of FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved by Noah Atubolu, the goalkeeper for SC Freiburg, in the center of the goal.
43
Update Update
Tom Bischof from FC Bayern München misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, but the ball goes high.
42
Update Update
Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Leon Goretzka from FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München.
40
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg is awarded a corner after Luis Díaz concedes it.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Philipp Lienhart of SC Freiburg.
37
Update Update
Derry Scherhant from SC Freiburg committed a foul.
37
Update Update
Josip Stanisic from FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
36
Corner Corner
SC Freiburg wins a corner after Josip Stanisic concedes.
34
Update Update
Offside called against SC Freiburg. Philipp Lienhart is offside.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom Bischof of FC Bayern München.
33
Update Update
Lucas Höler from SC Freiburg won a free kick on the right wing.
30
Attempt Attempt
Serge Gnabry's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Matthias Ginter of SC Freiburg.
29
Update Update
Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München won a free kick in an attacking position.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matthias Ginter of SC Freiburg receives a yellow card for a foul.
28
Update Update
Derry Scherhant of SC Freiburg is flagged for offside.
28
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Lucas Höler of SC Freiburg has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Manuel Neuer of FC Bayern München. The assist came from Derry Scherhant's cross.
27
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Niklas Beste from SC Freiburg takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
27
Update Update
Fouled by Raphaël Guerreiro of FC Bayern München.
27
Update Update
Philipp Lienhart of SC Freiburg won a free kick in the attacking half.
25
Update Update
Foul committed by Jonathan Tah of FC Bayern München.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jonathan Tah of FC Bayern München receives a yellow card for a foul.
25
Update Update
Yuito Suzuki of SC Freiburg won a free kick in the attacking area.
24
Update Update
Offside called against SC Freiburg. Niklas Beste is in an offside position.
23
Update Update
Christian Günter of SC Freiburg commits a handball.
20
Update Update
Christian Günter of SC Freiburg commits a handball.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Philipp Treu of SC Freiburg.
19
Update Update
Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München.
18
Update Update
Niklas Beste of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Philipp Treu from SC Freiburg shot with his right foot from the center of the box but missed to the left. The assist came from Niklas Beste with a cross.
15
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Johan Manzambi of SC Freiburg.
13
Update Update
Niklas Beste of SC Freiburg won a free kick in defense.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom Bischof of FC Bayern München.
12
Attempt Attempt
Tom Bischof's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
9
Update Update
Johan Manzambi from SC Freiburg commits a foul.
9
Update Update
Joshua Kimmich of FC Bayern München won a free kick in defense.
6
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Tom Bischof of FC Bayern München shoots with his left foot from outside the box, but Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist was provided by Leon Goretzka.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Bayern München exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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