Lausanne Sport vs Winterthur Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Stade de la Tuilière (Lausanne) Sat, 4 Apr - 4:00 PM
Super League
Lausanne Sport LAU
2 Winner 1
Winterthur Winterthur
Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Omar Janneh - 45+1'
Sékou Fofana - 67'
Goal
|
Goal
Luca Zuffi - 39' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Lausanne Sport and Winterthur has finished, with Lausanne Sport securing a 2-0 full-time victory over the visitors. Interestingly, match data indicates the teams were even at 1-1 at half-time before concluding with this final scoreline. The final outcome aligned seamlessly with pre-match market expectations. Lausanne Sport entered the fixture as the clear stronger team, boasting a 62.6% implied win probability. Winterthur held just a 15.9% chance of an away win, while the likelihood of a draw sat at 21.5%. The home side's victory represented a significant deviation level of 37.4% for Lausanne Sport relative to the initial odds. On the pitch, Lausanne Sport slightly edged the possession battle, controlling 53% of the ball to Winterthur's 47%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this clash, making it impossible to evaluate if the 2-0 outcome was consistent with the underlying chances created. However, the overall efficiency shift for the match was directly in line with baseline projections. Finally, the match concluded with no red cards issued to either side, ensuring a clean contest with no major disciplinary impact on the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lausanne Sport showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Müller
N. Müller
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.22
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
D. Huwiler
D. Huwiler
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.22
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
Z. Prskalo
Z. Prskalo
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.22
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
A. Dudic
A. Dudic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.22
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.5
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.38
Lausanne Sport P. Zeidler
P. Zeidler
VS
Winterthur P. Rahmen
P. Rahmen
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.71
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Luzern Rank: 57 L
Young Boys Rank: 61 L
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Zürich Rank: 52 W
Basel Rank: 64 L
Lugano Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Basel Rank: 64 L
Luzern Rank: 58 W
Sion Rank: 59 D
Servette Rank: 60 D
St. Gallen Rank: 64 L
Thun Rank: 65 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lausanne Sport
62.6%
Draw
21.46%
Away Winterthur
15.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.87
44.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lausanne Sport
Winterthur
Power Score
56.87
44.86
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
568
886

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Winterthur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lausanne Sport Winterthur

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Winterthur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lausanne Sport ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Winterthur
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
51.13
28.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.51
51.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lausanne Sport +2.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Winterthur -2.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lausanne Sport
Winterthur
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lausanne Sport ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Winterthur
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lausanne Sport Winterthur
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lausanne Sport Winterthur
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lausanne Sport
Winterthur
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lausanne Sport
vs
Winterthur
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lausanne Sport Winterthur
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lausanne Sport 0.39
Winterthur 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lausanne Sport Winterthur
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lausanne Sport 0.02
Winterthur 0.03
Lausanne Sport
Winterthur
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lausanne Sport LAU Home
8 matches
Winterthur Winterthur Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
9
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:05:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
K. Letica
Croatia
25 K. Letica
T. Bergvall
Sweden
6 T. Bergvall
K. Mouanga
France
14 K. Mouanga
M. Poaty
France
18 M. Poaty
S. Fofana
Substitution
France
93 S. Fofana
G. Sigua
Substitution
Georgia
38 G. Sigua
J. Roche
Sweden
8 J. Roche
N. Beloko
Switzerland
16 N. Beloko
S. Traore
Substitution
Ivory Coast
17 S. Traore
T. Bair
Canada
9 T. Bair
O. Janneh Susso
Spain
78 O. Janneh Susso
S. Kapino
Greece
1 S. Kapino
L. Lüthi
Switzerland
21 L. Lüthi
L. Mühl
Germany
5 L. Mühl
T. Citherlet
Switzerland
33 T. Citherlet
N. Burkart
Substitution
Switzerland
99 N. Burkart
L. Zuffi
Switzerland
7 L. Zuffi
P. Kasami
Substitution
Switzerland
23 P. Kasami
S. Sidler
Substitution
Switzerland
24 S. Sidler
A. Jankewitz
Substitution
Switzerland
45 A. Jankewitz
A. Hunziker
Switzerland
17 A. Hunziker
T. Golliard
Substitution
Switzerland
8 T. Golliard

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 04, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de la Tuilière (Lausanne)
Capacity
12500
Attendance
5830
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nicolas Müller
David Huwiler
Zrinko Prskalo
Alessandro Dudic

Statistics

Possession
LAU
54%
Winterthur
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 6
62 Dangerous attacks 48
53 Possession 47
3 Corners 8
6 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 13
20 Dribble Attempts 13
12 Successful Dribbles 4
0 Injuries 2
0 Penalties 1
2 Assists 0
3 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 22
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
100 Ball Safe 112
19 Goal Attempts 9

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
127 Attacks 75

Possession

31 Successful Long Passes 39
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
457 Passes 403
60 Long Passes 75
83 Successful Passes Percentage 74
18 Key Passes 5
380 Successful Passes 298

Defensive

6 Saves 6
50 Duels Won 55
17 Interceptions 10
16 Tackles 17

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 20
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

17 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Alessandro Dudic

Starting XI ▼

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
6
Theo Bergvall
Theo Bergvall Defender
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Defender
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty Defender
93
Sékou Fofana
Sékou Fofana Defender
2
Brandon Soppy
Brandon Soppy
Defender81'
8
Jamie Roche
Jamie Roche Midfielder
16
Nicky Beloko
Nicky Beloko Midfielder
38
Gabriel Sigua
Gabriel Sigua Midfielder
27
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Midfielder46'
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair Attacker
17
Seydou Traoré
Seydou Traoré Attacker
11
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
Attacker75'
78
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh Attacker
Referee : Alessandro Dudic

Starting XI ▼

1
Stefanos Kapino
Stefanos Kapino Goalkeeper
5
Lukas Mühl
Lukas Mühl Defender
21
Loïc Lüthi
Loïc Lüthi Defender
33
Tibault Citherlet
Tibault Citherlet Defender
7
Luca Zuffi
Luca Zuffi Midfielder
23
Pajtim Kasami
Pajtim Kasami Midfielder
37
Elias Maluvunu
Elias Maluvunu
Midfielder80'
24
Silvan Sidler
Silvan Sidler Midfielder
9
Roman Buess
Roman Buess
Attacker80'
99
Nishan Burkart
Nishan Burkart Midfielder
11
Bafode Dansoko
Bafode Dansoko
Attacker62'
8
Théo Golliard
Théo Golliard Attacker
14
Francis Momoh
Francis Momoh
Attacker85'
17
Andrin Hunziker
Andrin Hunziker Attacker
45
Alexandre Jankewitz
Alexandre Jankewitz Attacker
10
Randy Schneider
Randy Schneider
Midfielder62'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Peter Zeidler
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
88'
85'
Event
Francis Momoh → Théo Golliard
8th Substitution
Event
Brandon Soppy → Sékou Fofana
7th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Roman Buess → Silvan Sidler
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Elias Maluvunu → Pajtim Kasami
6th Substitution
Event
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji → Seydou Traoré
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Sékou Fofana
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
62'
Event
Randy Schneider → Alexandre Jankewitz
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Bafode Dansoko → Nishan Burkart
2nd Substitution
Event
Sékou Fofana
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
55'
Event
Beyatt Lekoueiry → Gabriel Sigua
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Omar Janneh
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
45+1'
39'
Event
Luca Zuffi
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Lausanne Sport exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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