Leicester City vs Preston North End Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Preston North End
PNE
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Leicester City and Preston North End has finished with a full-time score of 1-2. All the scoring occurred in the first half, as Preston took a 1-2 lead into the break and held on to secure the victory. Leicester City controlled the overall tempo with 59% possession compared to Preston's 41%, but the hosts failed to find an equalizer. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Leicester City entered the fixture as clear favorites with a 49.6% implied probability to win, while Preston North End held just a 23.6% chance and the draw sat at 26.9%. Consequently, the away victory was not aligned with the pre-match market, resulting in a steep 76.4% deviation generated by Preston. With no expected goals (xG) data available for either side, it cannot be determined if the final outcome was consistent with the quality of chances created. However, the match's overall
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Preston North End showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Leicester City
Preston North End
Team Power Ranking
i
62.07
66
Leicester City
Preston North End
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Leicester City
Preston North End
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Leicester City
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Leicester City
⚠ Proxy
Leicester City
Preston North End
Leicester City
Preston North End
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Leicester City
Leicester City
Preston North End
Leicester City
Preston North End
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-04T00:01:31+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Leicester City
vs
Sheffield Wednesday
League: Championship
Kickoff: Mon, 6 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Away
Preston North End
vs
Queens Park Rangers
League: Championship
Kickoff: Mon, 6 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary