Gil Vicente vs AVS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Fri, 3 Apr - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente GVFC
3 Winner 0
AVS AFS
Full Time Fri, 3 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela - 80', 11'
Murilo de Souza Costa - 34'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Gil Vicente and AVS has officially finished, concluding with a 1-0 full-time victory for the home side, Gil Vicente. This result perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the hosts with a dominant 68.1% win probability. AVS entered the contest as clear underdogs at just 10.5%, while the likelihood of a draw sat at 21.5%. Gil Vicente dictated the flow of the game, holding 59% of the possession compared to a 41% share for AVS. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the outcome was strictly consistent with the underlying shot quality. Furthermore, the match remained disciplined, with no red cards issued to either side to impact the flow of play. Despite securing the expected victory, the post-match data highlights a significant deviation level of 31.9% specifically concerning Gil Vicente's performance metrics relative to the market. Even with this variation, the overall efficiency shift was ultimately in line with baseline expectations. In the end, the stronger team successfully validated the pre-match market predictions by keeping the three points at home.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Gil Vicente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Mateus Filipe

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

H. Pires Ribeiro

1st Assistant

R. da Silva

2nd Assistant

F. Oliveira Melo

4th Official

Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
VS
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santa Clara Rank: 65 L
Alverca Rank: 64 D
Estrela Amadora Rank: 60 D
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Estoril Rank: 69 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 61 D
Santa Clara Rank: 65 L
Alverca Rank: 64 D
Estrela Amadora Rank: 60 D
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Estoril Rank: 69 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gil Vicente
68.09%
Draw
21.45%
Away AVS
10.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.52
55.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gil Vicente
AVS
Power Score
69.52
55.09
League Position
5
18
Global Rank
199
608

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gil Vicente AVS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gil Vicente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AVS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gil Vicente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AVS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.93
30.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.85
30.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gil Vicente +0.01 Efficiency Index
vs
AVS -0.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gil Vicente
AVS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gil Vicente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AVS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gil Vicente AVS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gil Vicente AVS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Gil Vicente
AVS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gil Vicente
vs
AVS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gil Vicente AVS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gil Vicente 0.36
AVS 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gil Vicente AVS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gil Vicente 0.00
AVS 0.07
Gil Vicente
AVS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gil Vicente GVFC Home
3 matches
AVS AFS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-04T00:02:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Leite Figueira
Portugal
99 D. Leite Figueira
J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
Portugal
2 J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
A. Espigares Morillas
Spain
48 A. Espigares Morillas
J. Buatu Mananga
Angola
39 J. Buatu Mananga
G. Konan
Substitution
Ivory Coast
3 G. Konan
F. Cáseres
Substitution
Argentina
5 F. Cáseres
L. Leite Esteves
Substitution
Portugal
10 L. Leite Esteves
M. De Souza Costa
Substitution
Brazil
77 M. De Souza Costa
S. Garcia Gonzalez
Spain
95 S. Garcia Gonzalez
A. Moreira Morales
Substitution
Uruguay
27 A. Moreira Morales
G. Pereira De Sousa
Portugal
89 G. Pereira De Sousa
Pitch
A. Vasconcelos Ramos
Brazil
1 A. Vasconcelos Ramos
L. Rivas
Substitution
Paraguay
12 L. Rivas
P. Leal Sousa Lima
Brazil
3 P. Leal Sousa Lima
A. de Jesus Santos
Brazil
33 A. de Jesus Santos
M. Cardoso Francisco
Brazil
97 M. Cardoso Francisco
G. Mendonça
Portugal
23 G. Mendonça
C. dos Santos Rodrigues
Substitution
Cape Verde
26 C. dos Santos Rodrigues
P. Lima Barros
Brazil
8 P. Lima Barros
A. Green
Substitution
England
25 A. Green
A. Fernandes Mendes
Substitution
Portugal
7 A. Fernandes Mendes
B. Akinsola
Substitution
Nigeria
11 B. Akinsola

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 03, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Capacity :
12046
Attendance :
6070
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Hugo André Pires Ribeiro
Rúben João Rodrigues da Silva
Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe
Fábio Oliveira Melo

Statistics

Possession
GVFC
57%
AFS
43%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
16 Shots 11
45 Dangerous attacks 33
59 Possession 41
3 Corners 1
15 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

18 Throwins 16
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
3 Goal Kicks 11
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 10
16 Successful Headers 17
16 Dribble Attempts 10
7 Successful Dribbles 1
11 Goal Attempts 4
93 Ball Safe 68

Attacking

85 Attacks 81
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

47 Long Passes 50
11 Key Passes 9
86 Successful Passes Percentage 81
420 Successful Passes 271
486 Passes 334
32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
15 Successful Long Passes 17

Defensive

12 Tackles 24
5 Interceptions 8
3 Saves 3
49 Duels Won 50

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 10
8 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

8 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves Defender
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
26
Weverson
Weverson
Defender64'
39
Buatu
Buatu Defender
48
Antonio Espigares Morillas
Antonio Espigares Morillas Defender
5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Facundo Agustín Cáseres Midfielder
6
Zé Carlos
Zé Carlos
Midfielder64'
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Midfielder
32
Martín Fernández Benítez
Martín Fernández Benítez
Midfielder76'
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales Midfielder
11
Joelson Fernandes
Joelson Fernandes
Attacker76'
77
Murilo de Souza Costa
Murilo de Souza Costa Midfielder
19
Gil Martins
Gil Martins
Midfielder88'
95
Santiago García González
Santiago García González Midfielder
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela Attacker
2
Referee : Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Starting XI ▼

1
Adriel
Adriel Goalkeeper
3
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor Defender
12
Leonardo Rivas
Leonardo Rivas Defender
14
Óscar Perea
Óscar Perea
Attacker71'
33
Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos
Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos Defender
97
Mateus Pivô
Mateus Pivô Defender
8
Pedro Lima Barros
Pedro Lima Barros Midfielder
23
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Midfielder
26
Carlos Ponck
Carlos Ponck Midfielder
20
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Attacker46'
7
Tomané
Tomané Attacker
18
Ânderson Miguel da Silva
Ânderson Miguel da Silva
Attacker82'
11
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola Attacker
21
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Attacker82'
25
Andre Green
Andre Green Attacker
24
Christian Neiva Afonso
Christian Neiva Afonso
Defender71'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gil Martins → Murilo de Souza Costa
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Zé Carlos
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
87'
82'
Event
Guilherme Neiva Silva → Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Ânderson Miguel da Silva → Tomané
9th Substitution
Event
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
80'
Event
Martín Fernández Benítez → Luís André Leite Esteves
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Joelson Fernandes → Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
6th Substitution
76'
71'
Event
Óscar Perea → Leonardo Rivas
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Christian Neiva Afonso → Andre Green
4th Substitution
Event
Zé Carlos → Facundo Agustín Cáseres
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Weverson → Ghislain Konan
3rd Substitution
64'
46'
Event
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete → Carlos Ponck
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Antonio Espigares Morillas
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Murilo de Souza Costa
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
34'
20'
Event
Tomané
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Foul committed by Santi García of Gil Vicente.
90
Update Update
Guilherme Neiva wins a free kick in the attacking half for AVS.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Varela of Gil Vicente.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Gil Vicente winning 3-0 against AVS.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Nenê's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Daniel Figueira.
90
Update Update
Kiki wins a free kick in the defensive half for AVS.
88
Update Update
Handball by Nenê.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Gil Martins comes on for Murilo de Souza.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Paulo Vitor of AVS.
87
Update Update
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zé Carlos of Gil Vicente receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
87
Attempt Attempt
Óscar Perea's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Diego Duarte provided the assist.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Mendonça of AVS.
85
Update Update
Santi García from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Lima of AVS.
84
Update Update
Zé Carlos of Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to AVS after a concession by Antonio Espigares.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Nenê comes on for Tomané.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Guilherme Neiva comes on for Tunde Akinsola.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gil Vicente leads AVS 3-0 as Gustavo Varela scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box into the center of the goal.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Kiki for AVS.
79
Update Update
Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
77
Update Update
Foul by Óscar Perea for AVS.
77
Update Update
Zé Carlos wins a free kick for Gil Vicente in the defensive half.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Martín Fernández comes on for Luís Esteves.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Joelson Fernandes comes on for Agustín Moreira.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Aderllan Santos of AVS.
75
Update Update
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Attempt Attempt
Kiki's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Tomané provided the assist.
73
Attempt Attempt
Diego Duarte misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, going too high. Kiki provided the assist.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Óscar Perea comes on for Daniel Rivas.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Kiki comes on for Andre Green.
70
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Santi García of Gil Vicente.
70
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Paulo Vitor of AVS.
69
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Adriel from AVS saves it in the center of the goal. Gustavo Varela provided the assist.
68
Update Update
Gustavo Varela of Gil Vicente is caught offside.
66
Update Update
Foul committed by Zé Carlos of Gil Vicente.
66
Update Update
Andre Green wins a free kick for AVS on the left wing.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Weverson comes on for Ghislain Konan.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Gil Vicente: Zé Carlos II comes on for Facundo Cáseres.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Lima of AVS.
63
Update Update
Agustín Moreira from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the attacking half.
62
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente attempts a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it goes close and misses to the left.
62
Attempt Attempt
Murilo de Souza's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Adriel.
61
Update Update
Jonathan Buatu of Gil Vicente misses a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the right. The cross was provided by Zé Carlos I.
60
Attempt Attempt
Zé Carlos from Gil Vicente has a right-footed shot from the center of the box blocked. The attempt was assisted by Santi García's cross.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after a concession by Aderllan Santos.
55
Update Update
Foul by Zé Carlos for Gil Vicente.
55
Update Update
Andre Green wins a free kick for AVS in the attacking half.
54
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Pivô's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Pedro Lima provided the assist.
53
Attempt Attempt
Tomané's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Andre Green.
50
Attempt Attempt
Tunde Akinsola's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal. Diego Duarte provided the assist.
48
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente.
47
Attempt Attempt
Luís Esteves' right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Ghislain Konan provided the assist.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Carlos Ponck of AVS.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonio Espigares of Gil Vicente receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
45
Update Update
Foul by Antonio Espigares of Gil Vicente.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match score at Gil Vicente 2, AVS 0.
45
Update Update
Agustín Moreira of Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Gil Vicente leading 2-0 against AVS.
45
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Lima's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Tunde Akinsola provided the assist.
45
Update Update
Pedro Lima wins a free kick in the attacking half for AVS.
45
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Lima's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for AVS: Diego Duarte comes on for Carlos Ponck.
43
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Tomané from AVS.
42
Attempt Attempt
Santi García from Gil Vicente misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it to the right. Facundo Cáseres provided the assist.
41
Update Update
Jonathan Buatu of Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Foul by Gustavo Mendonça of AVS.
39
Update Update
Foul by Gustavo Mendonça of AVS.
39
Update Update
Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
38
Update Update
Gustavo Mendonça wins a free kick in the defensive half for AVS.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Santi García of Gil Vicente.
34
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente has a right-footed shot from very close range, but Adriel from AVS saves it in the center of the goal.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Murilo de Souza scores for Gil Vicente with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box into the bottom right corner. The score is now Gil Vicente 2, AVS 0.
31
Update Update
Foul by Santi García of Gil Vicente.
31
Update Update
Daniel Rivas from AVS wins a free kick on the left wing.
30
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ghislain Konan from Gil Vicente takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box that is close, but goes to the left.
28
Update Update
Foul committed by Tunde Akinsola of AVS.
28
Update Update
Ghislain Konan from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
26
Attempt Attempt
Andre Green's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Gustavo Mendonça provided the assist.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Carlos Ponck for AVS.
23
Update Update
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the attacking half.
22
Update Update
Murilo de Souza from Gil Vicente misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the right. The cross was assisted by Agustín Moreira.
20
Update Update
Facundo Cáseres from Gil Vicente wins a free kick in the defensive half.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Tomané for AVS.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tomané from AVS receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
17
Update Update
Tomané is caught offside for AVS.
15
Update Update
Foul committed by Luís Esteves of Gil Vicente.
15
Update Update
Matheus Pivô from AVS wins a free kick in the defensive half.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gil Vicente leads 1-0 against AVS. Gustavo Varela scores for Gil Vicente with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the high center of the goal, assisted by Luís Esteves with a cross.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Gil Vicente after Carlos Ponck concedes.
10
Attempt Attempt
Luís Esteves from Gil Vicente has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Facundo Cáseres.
7
Corner Corner
Andre Green's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Daniel Figueira. The attempt was assisted by Pedro Lima.
5
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Santi García from Gil Vicente takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes to the right after a corner.
5
Corner Corner
Gil Vicente wins a corner after Aderllan Santos concedes.
2
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Varela from Gil Vicente misses a left-footed shot from a tough angle on the left, just going wide to the left. Agustín Moreira provided the assist.
1
Update Update
Agustín Moreira of Gil Vicente wins a free kick on the left wing.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Matheus Pivô of AVS.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Gil Vicente exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.