Gil Vicente vs AVS Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Liga Portugal
AVS
AVS
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Gil Vicente and AVS has officially finished, concluding with a 1-0 full-time victory for the home side, Gil Vicente. This result perfectly aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the hosts with a dominant 68.1% win probability. AVS entered the contest as clear underdogs at just 10.5%, while the likelihood of a draw sat at 21.5%. Gil Vicente dictated the flow of the game, holding 59% of the possession compared to a 41% share for AVS. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the outcome was strictly consistent with the underlying shot quality. Furthermore, the match remained disciplined, with no red cards issued to either side to impact the flow of play. Despite securing the expected victory, the post-match data highlights a significant deviation level of 31.9% specifically concerning Gil Vicente's performance metrics relative to the market. Even with this variation, the overall efficiency shift was ultimately in line with baseline expectations. In the end, the stronger team successfully validated the pre-match market predictions by keeping the three points at home.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Gil Vicente showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Gil Vicente
AVS
Team Power Ranking
i
69.52
55.09
Gil Vicente
AVS
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Gil Vicente
AVS
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Gil Vicente
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Gil Vicente
⚠ Proxy
Gil Vicente
AVS
Gil Vicente
AVS
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
AVS
Gil Vicente
AVS
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-04T00:02:51+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Gil Vicente
vs
Tondela
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Mon, 13 Apr - 7:15 PM
Venue: Away
AVS
vs
Vitória Guimarães
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Apr - 2:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary