Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijón Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Wed, 1 Apr - 7:30 PM
La Liga 2
Racing Santander RAC
3 Winner 1
Sporting Gijón SPO
Full Time Wed, 1 Apr 7:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Giorgi Guliashvili - 10'
Asier Villalibre - 90+1', 90+5'
Goal
|
Goal
Jonathan Dubasin - 68' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Racing Santander and Sporting Gijón has finished, with the home side securing a decisive 3-1 full-time victory. Racing Santander went into the half-time break with a 1-0 lead and successfully extended their advantage in the second half to claim the win. Pre-match market expectations favored Racing Santander, who entered the contest with a 50.7% win probability. Sporting Gijón held a 23.8% chance of victory, with the draw set at 25.6%. The final result aligned perfectly with the pre-match market. However, the performance metrics generated a significant deviation in favor of Racing Santander. Despite suffering the defeat, Sporting Gijón actually controlled the ball for long stretches, finishing the match with 56% possession compared to Racing Santander's 44%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be quantitatively determined if the outcome was consistent with the underlying shot quality. The overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with standard expectations. Finally, it was a disciplined affair with zero red cards issued to either team, ensuring that disciplinary events did not impact the final outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Racing Santander showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Palencia Caballero
D. Palencia Caballero
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
J. Méndez Mateo
J. Méndez Mateo
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
M. Ortuño Sierra
M. Ortuño Sierra
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
R. Ruipérez Marín
R. Ruipérez Marín
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
VS
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: 65 W
Burgos Rank: 67 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 L
Mirandés Rank: 58 W
Granada Rank: 67 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: 59 L
Leganés Rank: 66 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 D
Albacete Rank: 66 D
Huesca Rank: 58 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 7 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
50.65%
Draw
25.57%
Away Sporting Gijón
23.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.25
64.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijón
Power Score
70.25
64.06
League Position
1
10
Global Rank
183
336

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Sporting Gijón

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.39
31.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.88
27.39
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Racing Santander -0.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting Gijón +0.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijón
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Racing Santander Sporting Gijón
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Racing Santander Sporting Gijón
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Sporting Gijón
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
22 matches
Sporting Gijón SPO Away
Match Record
11
Wins
4
7
Draws
7
4
Losses
11
Goals
28
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
28
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-02T00:01:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
Spain
1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
J. Castro Urdín
Spain
5 J. Castro Urdín
J. Hernando Riol
Spain
4 J. Hernando Riol
F. González Molino
Substitution
Uruguay
16 F. González Molino
M. García Alvear
Substitution
Spain
3 M. García Alvear
M. Gueye
Substitution
Senegal
14 M. Gueye
G. Puerta Molano
Colombia
19 G. Puerta Molano
A. Martín García
Spain
11 A. Martín García
I. Vicente Elorduy
Spain
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
S. Camara Sanneh
Substitution
Spain
20 S. Camara Sanneh
G. Guliashvili
Substitution
Georgia
7 G. Guliashvili
O. Yáñez Alabart
Spain
1 O. Yáñez Alabart
D. Sánchez Pérez
Spain
5 D. Sánchez Pérez
P. Vázquez Pérez
Spain
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
É. Curbelo de la Fe
Spain
23 É. Curbelo de la Fe
K. Vázquez Comesaña
Substitution
Spain
20 K. Vázquez Comesaña
A. Corredera Alardi
Spain
14 A. Corredera Alardi
J. Smith
Substitution
British Virgin Islands
24 J. Smith
G. Campos Ansó Fernández
Substitution
Spain
7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández
C. Gelabert Pina
Spain
10 C. Gelabert Pina
J. Dubasin
Substitution
Belgium
17 J. Dubasin
J. Otero Tovar
Colombia
19 J. Otero Tovar

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 01, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity
22308
Attendance
22086
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniel Palencia Caballero
Joan Méndez Mateo
Miguel Ortuño Sierra
Rubén Ruipérez Marín

Statistics

Possession
RAC
45%
SPO
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 13
41 Dangerous attacks 57
44 Possession 56
3 Corners 7
12 Free kicks 15
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
3 Assists 0
18 Throwins 24
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
5 Substitutions 4
4 Successful Dribbles 5
15 Dribble Attempts 11
76 Ball Safe 78
1 Injuries 1
5 Goal Kicks 5
0 Penalties 1
8 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

79 Attacks 123
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

366 Passes 458
39 Long Passes 60
17 Successful Long Passes 19
79 Successful Passes Percentage 78
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
290 Successful Passes 359
8 Key Passes 12

Defensive

3 Saves 3
6 Interceptions 6
15 Tackles 16
52 Duels Won 48

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 19
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

16 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero

Starting XI ▼

1
Jokin Ezkieta
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
3
Mario García
Mario García Defender
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas
Defender80'
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Defender
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Defender
16
Facundo González
Facundo González Defender
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón
Defender60'
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Midfielder
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Midfielder
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez
Midfielder57'
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
20
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara Midfielder
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales
Midfielder57'
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
12
Asier Villalibre
Asier Villalibre
Attacker80'
2
Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero

Starting XI ▼

1
Rubén Yáñez
Rubén Yáñez Goalkeeper
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez Defender
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Defender
20
Kevin Vázquez
Kevin Vázquez Defender
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas
Defender10'
23
Eric Curbelo
Eric Curbelo Defender
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos Midfielder
11
Dani Queipo
Dani Queipo
Attacker76'
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Midfielder
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Midfielder
17
Jonathan Dubasin
Jonathan Dubasin Midfielder
47
Miguel Conde
Miguel Conde
Attacker85'
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith Midfielder
8
Jesús Bernal
Jesús Bernal
Midfielder76'
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Iñigo Vicente
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Asier Villalibre
Goal awarded
90+7'
Event
Asier Villalibre
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+5'
Event
Gustavo Puerta
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Asier Villalibre
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+1'
90'
Event
Àlex Corredera
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Miguel Conde → Jonathan Dubasin
9th Substitution
Event
Jorge Salinas → Mario García
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Asier Villalibre → Giorgi Guliashvili
8th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Dani Queipo → Gaspar Campos
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Jesús Bernal → Justin Smith
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Jonathan Dubasin
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Pablo Ramón → Facundo González
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Peio Canales → Suleiman Camara
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Damián Rodríguez → Maguette Gueye
3rd Substitution
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Andrés Martín
Persistent fouling / 3rd Yellowcard
41'
35'
Event
Jonathan Dubasin
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Suleiman Camara
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'
Event
Giorgi Guliashvili
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'
10'
Event
Guille Rosas → Kevin Vázquez
1st Substitution

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Racing Santander exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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