SD Eibar vs Las Palmas Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Sun, 29 Mar - 12:00 PM
La Liga 2
SD Eibar
EIB
3
1
1
Las Palmas
LPA
Full Time
Sun, 29 Mar
12:00 PM
Round 32 ·
Regular Season
Javi Martón - 43', 31'
Ander Madariaga - 16'
|
Manu Fuster - 17'
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 12
CONTEXT
Match is finished. SD Eibar 3–1 Las Palmas. The result saw SD Eibar take the points. SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 31%–69%.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
B. San José Gil
VS
L. García Fernández
1.36
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.67
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés
Rank: 66
W
Cádiz
Rank: 60
W
Deportivo La Coruña
Rank: 67
L
Racing Santander
Rank: 69
W
Real Zaragoza
Rank: 60
D
Sporting Gijón
Rank: 65
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón
Rank: 65
W
Albacete
Rank: 63
L
Ceuta
Rank: 63
W
Cultural Leonesa
Rank: 57
W
Castellón
Rank: 65
D
Mirandés
Rank: 58
D
6
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 9
9
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
SD Eibar
39.07%
Draw
31.29%
Las Palmas
29.64%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.89
62.28
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
Power Score
67.89
62.28
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
227
203
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
SD Eibar
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Las Palmas
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
SD Eibar Las Palmas
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
SD Eibar
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Las Palmas
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
SD Eibar
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Las Palmas
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.06
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.00
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
SD Eibar
-0.19
Efficiency Index
vs
Las Palmas
+0.19
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
SD Eibar
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Las Palmas
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
SD Eibar
EIB
Home
19
matches
Las Palmas
LPA
Away
Match Record
6
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
22
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Data last updated: 2026-03-30T00:00:38+00:00
STARTING XI
SD Eibar
Las Palmas
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
15 J. Amador Silos
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
L. Olaetxea Ibaibarriaga
#1466'
30 A. Garrido Cañizares
Á. Rodríguez Pérez
#2287'
17 J. Corpas Serna
J. Martínez Calvo
#575'
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
M. Ares Djalo
#1887'
10 J. Guruzeta
2
J. Bautista Orgilles
#966'
20 J. Martón Ansó
1 D. Horkaš
5 E. Clemente Maza
3 M. Marmol Medina
Á. Suárez
#484'
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
F. Crespo García
#2468'
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
12 E. Loiodice
E. Pedrola Fortuny
#3958'
22 P. García Mejías
I. Gil Calero
#884'
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
18 T. Miyashiro
I. Bravo Solanilla
#4968'
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Mar 29, 2026, 12:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
👥
Capacity :
8164
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Germán Cid Camacho
Sergi López Freixa
Daniel Pescador Hernández
Pol Arenas Mora
Next Match
SD Eibar
vs
Real Sociedad II
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Thu, 2 Apr - 6:00 PM
Venue: Away
Las Palmas
vs
Granada
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Thu, 2 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Possession
EIB
35%
LPA
65%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
1
5
Big Chances Created
5
7
Shots
4
25
Dangerous attacks
63
31
Possession
69
2
Corners
10
7
Free kicks
15
4
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
12
Dribble Attempts
10
10
Throwins
26
6
Successful Dribbles
4
0
Hit Woodwork
2
2
Assists
1
12
Goal Kicks
6
50
Successful Dribbles Percentage
40
5
Substitutions
5
Attacking
55
Attacks
123
2
Big Chances Missed
4
Possession
217
Successful Passes
574
301
Passes
658
44
Long Passes
23
34
Successful Long Passes Percentage
22
4
Key Passes
14
15
Successful Long Passes
5
72
Successful Passes Percentage
87
Defensive
3
Saves
4
13
Interceptions
13
19
Tackles
12
Build-up
13
Total Crosses
32
4
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
6
Lineup
SD Eibar
Referee :
Germán Cid Camacho
Manager ▼
B. San José Gil
Coach
Starting XI ▼
13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Goalkeeper
2
Sergio Cubero
Defender
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Defender
15
Jair Amador
Defender
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Defender
6
Sergio Álvarez
Midfielder
10
Jon Guruzeta
Midfielder
18Adu Ares
Attacker87'
16
Ander Madariaga
Midfielder
5Javi Martínez
Midfielder75'
17
José Corpas
Midfielder
22Álvaro Rodríguez
Defender87'
30
Aleix Garrido
Midfielder
14Lander Olaetxea
Midfielder66'
20
Javi Martón
Attacker
2
9Jon Bautista
Attacker66'
Substitutes ▼
9Jon Bautista
Attacker66'
14Lander Olaetxea
Midfielder66'
5Javi Martínez
Midfielder75'
22Álvaro Rodríguez
Defender87'
18Adu Ares
Attacker87'
Bench ▼
1
Luis López
Goalkeeper
3
Hodei Arrillaga
Defender
4
Aritz Arambarri
Defender
11
Jon Magunazelaia
Midfielder
27
Hugo García
Attacker
Las Palmas
Referee :
Germán Cid Camacho
Manager ▼
L. García Fernández
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Dinko Horkas
Goalkeeper
3
Mika Mármol
Defender
5
Enrique Clemente
Defender
6
Sergio Barcia
Defender
4Álex Suárez
Defender84'
17
Viti Rozada
Defender
12
Enzo Loiodice
Midfielder
14
Manu Fuster
Midfielder
8Iván Gil
Midfielder84'
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Midfielder
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Midfielder
24Pejiño
Attacker68'
22
Ale García
Midfielder
39Estanis Pedrola
Attacker58'
10
Jesé
Attacker
49Iker Bravo
Attacker68'
Substitutes ▼
39Estanis Pedrola
Attacker58'
49Iker Bravo
Attacker68'
24Pejiño
Attacker68'
8Iván Gil
Midfielder84'
4Álex Suárez
Defender84'
Bench ▼
13
José Antonio Caro
Goalkeeper
35
Adri Suárez
Goalkeeper
27
Valentín Pezzolesi
Defender
42
Víctor Víctor
Defender
7
Nicolás Benedetti
Midfielder
26
Iñaki González
Midfielder
19
Sandro Ramírez
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
90+2'
Álex Suárez
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Álvaro Rodríguez → José Corpas
10th Substitution
87'
Adu Ares → Jon Guruzeta
9th Substitution
87'
Jon Bautista
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
87'
84'
Iván Gil → Manu Fuster
7th Substitution
84'
Álex Suárez → Sergio Barcia
8th Substitution
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
81'
7th Yellowcard
81'
80'
Mika Mármol
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Javi Martínez → Ander Madariaga
6th Substitution
75'
Lander Olaetxea
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
71'
68'
Iker Bravo → Jesé
4th Substitution
68'
Pejiño → Kirian Rodríguez
5th Substitution
Jon Bautista → Javi Martón
2nd Substitution
66'
Lander Olaetxea → Aleix Garrido
3rd Substitution
66'
58'
Estanis Pedrola → Ale García
1st Substitution
José Corpas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
1ST-HALF
Javi Martón
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
43'
Javi Martón
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
31'
Javi Martón
Goal disallowed
21'
17'
Manu Fuster
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Ander Madariaga
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
16'
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
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