Deportivo La Coruña vs Córdoba Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Abanca-Riazor Tue, 31 Mar - 6:00 PM
La Liga 2
Deportivo La Coruña COR
2 Winner 0
Córdoba Córdoba
Full Time Tue, 31 Mar 6:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Lucas Noubi - 19'
Giacomo Quagliata - 30'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, resulting in a 0-0 full-time draw between Deportivo La Coruña and Córdoba. Deportivo La Coruña entered the fixture as the explicitly stronger team and the clear pre-match favorites, carrying a 49.4% implied probability of victory. By contrast, Córdoba held a 23.8% chance of winning outright, with the draw sitting at

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deportivo La Coruña showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
VS
Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
1.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 W
Castellón Rank: 65 L
Albacete Rank: 66 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 W
Racing Santander Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burgos Rank: 66 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
FC Andorra Rank: 61 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Almería Rank: 71 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 6 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Deportivo La Coruña
49.41%
Draw
26.82%
Away Córdoba
23.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.2
60.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
Power Score
68.2
60.33
League Position
2
14
Global Rank
220
458

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Deportivo La Coruña Córdoba

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Deportivo La Coruña

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Deportivo La Coruña ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Córdoba
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.88
27.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.54
29.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Deportivo La Coruña +0.24 Efficiency Index
vs
Córdoba -0.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Deportivo La Coruña ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Córdoba
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Deportivo La Coruña Córdoba
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Deportivo La Coruña Córdoba
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Deportivo La Coruña
Córdoba
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Deportivo La Coruña COR Home
14 matches
Córdoba Córdoba Away
Match Record
6
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
6
Goals
19
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
19
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-01T00:00:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
Á. Fernández Llorente
Spain
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
M. Loureiro Ameijeda
Spain
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
L. Noubi Ngnokam
Belgium
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
D. Barcia Rama
Spain
5 D. Barcia Rama
G. Quagliata
Italy
12 G. Quagliata
A. Altimira Reynaldos
Spain
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
M. Soriano Carreño
Substitution
Spain
21 M. Soriano Carreño
R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
Substitution
Spain
14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
C. Patino
Substitution
England
6 C. Patino
S. Mulattieri
Substitution
Italy
7 S. Mulattieri
J. Molina Martínez
Substitution
Spain
22 J. Molina Martínez
I. Iker
Andorra
1 I. Iker
D. Bri Carrazoni
Substitution
Spain
5 D. Bri Carrazoni
R. González Alves
Brazil
16 R. González Alves
J. Martín Valerón
Spain
4 J. Martín Valerón
C. Albarrán Sanz
Spain
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
I. Ruiz Sánchez
Spain
8 I. Ruiz Sánchez
A. Del Moral Saelices
Substitution
Spain
20 A. Del Moral Saelices
M. Goti López
Substitution
Spain
25 M. Goti López
J. González Rodrigañez
Substitution
Spain
10 J. González Rodrigañez
A. Fuentes González
Substitution
Spain
18 A. Fuentes González
C. Carracedo García
Spain
23 C. Carracedo García

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 31, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Capacity
32490
Attendance
25632
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Alejandro Morilla Turrión
Alaiz Gutiérrez Martino
Manuel Herrera Ruiz
Manuel García Gómez

Statistics

Possession
COR
44%
Córdoba
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 2
37 Dangerous attacks 54
43 Possession 57
2 Corners 8
18 Free kicks 23
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 1
17 Throwins 21
9 Successful Dribbles 14
22 Dribble Attempts 20
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 70
8 Goal Kicks 6
81 Ball Safe 91
2 Assists 0
9 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

95 Attacks 109

Possession

266 Successful Passes 382
335 Passes 448
51 Long Passes 32
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
79 Successful Passes Percentage 85
20 Successful Long Passes 17
6 Key Passes 8

Defensive

52 Duels Won 71
5 Interceptions 10
13 Tackles 20
2 Saves 2

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 23
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

23 Fouls 18
5 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Morilla Turrión

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Defender
5
Dani Barcia
Dani Barcia Defender
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Defender
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Defender
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
6
Charlie Patiño
Charlie Patiño Midfielder
20
José Ángel Jurado
José Ángel Jurado
Midfielder72'
14
Riki Rodríguez
Riki Rodríguez Midfielder
37
Noé Carrillo
Noé Carrillo
Midfielder86'
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Midfielder
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz
Attacker72'
7
Samuele Mulattieri
Samuele Mulattieri Attacker
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Attacker65'
22
Stoichkov
Stoichkov Attacker
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández
Attacker65'
Referee : Alejandro Morilla Turrión

Starting XI ▼

1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper
4
Álex Martín
Álex Martín Defender
5
Diego Bri
Diego Bri Defender
2
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Defender46'
16
Rubén Alves
Rubén Alves Defender
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán Defender
8
Isma Ruiz
Isma Ruiz Midfielder
20
Alberto del Moral
Alberto del Moral Midfielder
19
Dalisson de Almeida
Dalisson de Almeida
Midfielder60'
25
Mikel Goti
Mikel Goti Midfielder
7
Théo Zidane
Théo Zidane
Midfielder60'
10
Jacobo González
Jacobo González Attacker
11
Kevin Medina
Kevin Medina
Attacker46'
18
Adrián Fuentes
Adrián Fuentes Attacker
14
Sergi Guardiola
Sergi Guardiola
Attacker46'
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Noé Carrillo → Riki Rodríguez
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Riki Rodríguez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Luismi Cruz → Mario Soriano
8th Substitution
72'
Event
José Ángel Jurado → Charlie Patiño
9th Substitution
72'
Event
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack → Samuele Mulattieri
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Yeremay Hernández → Stoichkov
6th Substitution
65'
60'
Event
Théo Zidane → Mikel Goti
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Dalisson de Almeida → Alberto del Moral
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Sergi Guardiola → Adrián Fuentes
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Kevin Medina → Jacobo González
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ignasi Vilarrasa → Diego Bri
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Jacobo González
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Giacomo Quagliata
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
30'
Event
Lucas Noubi
Header / 1st Goal
19'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Deportivo La Coruña exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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