Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium Sun, 22 Mar - 2:15 PM
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur TOT
0 Winner 3
Nottingham Forest NFO
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 2:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
|
Goal
Igor Jesus - 45'
Morgan Gibbs-White - 62'
Taiwo Awoniyi  - 87'

CONTEXT

The match has finished with a full-time score of Tottenham Hotspur 0, Nottingham Forest 2. This away victory represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Entering the contest as the stronger team, Tottenham held a 40.4% market probability to win, compared to a 28.1% chance of a draw and a 31.5% chance for a Forest victory. Consequently, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market, as the visitors defied the odds to secure the win. Despite the defeat, Tottenham controlled the match with 59% possession, leaving Nottingham Forest with just 41% of the ball. The final result was not consistent with expected goals (xG), as the hosts generated a slightly superior 1.41 xG compared to the visitors' 1.24 xG. Even though Spurs edged the underlying offensive metrics, they trailed 1-0 at halftime and ultimately failed to convert their chances. The match featured an efficiency shift that was completely in line with standard expectations, highlighting Forest’s clinical finishing on the day. Additionally, the game proceeded without any severe disciplinary impacts, as zero red cards were shown to either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Nottingham Forest showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Tottenham Hotspur I. Tudor
I. Tudor
VS
Nottingham Forest V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 L
Sunderland Rank: 82 D
Brentford Rank: 89 D
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 W
Liverpool Rank: 94 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arsenal Rank: 100 D
West Ham United Rank: 83 W
Aston Villa Rank: 92 L
Everton Rank: 89 L
Manchester City Rank: 97 L
Fulham Rank: 87 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 0 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tottenham Hotspur
40.35%
Draw
28.13%
Away Nottingham Forest
31.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.17
70.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
Power Score
84.17
70.11
League Position
17
16
Global Rank
41
34

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tottenham Hotspur — Opponent-weighted form score
Nottingham Forest — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tottenham Hotspur Nottingham Forest

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Tottenham Hotspur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nottingham Forest

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Tottenham Hotspur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nottingham Forest
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.15
23.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.41
29.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Tottenham Hotspur +0.68 Efficiency Index
vs
Nottingham Forest -0.68 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tottenham Hotspur
vs
Nottingham Forest
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tottenham Hotspur Nottingham Forest
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tottenham Hotspur Nottingham Forest
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tottenham Hotspur TOT Home
9 matches
Nottingham Forest NFO Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
0
Draws
0
4
Losses
5
Goals
14
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
14
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Vicario
Italy
1 G. Vicario
D. Spence
Substitution
England
24 D. Spence
K. Danso
Austria
4 K. Danso
C. Romero
Argentina
17 (C) C. Romero
M. van de Ven
Substitution
Netherlands
37 M. van de Ven
P. Porro Sauceda
Spain
23 P. Porro Sauceda
A. Gray
Substitution
England
14 A. Gray
P. Sarr
Senegal
29 P. Sarr
M. Tel
Substitution
France
11 M. Tel
R. de Andrade
Substitution
Brazil
9 R. de Andrade
D. Solanke
England
19 D. Solanke
M. Sels
Belgium
26 M. Sels
N. Williams
Wales
3 N. Williams
M. Santiago Costa dos Santos
Brazil
5 M. Santiago Costa dos Santos
N. Milenković
Serbia
31 N. Milenković
T. Olaoluwa Aina
Nigeria
34 T. Olaoluwa Aina
E. Anderson
Substitution
England
8 E. Anderson
I. Sangaré
Ivory Coast
6 I. Sangaré
C. Hudson-Odoi
Substitution
England
7 C. Hudson-Odoi
M. Gibbs-White
Substitution
England
10 (C) M. Gibbs-White
O. Giraud-Hutchinson
Substitution
Jamaica
21 O. Giraud-Hutchinson
I. da Cruz
Substitution
Brazil
19 I. da Cruz

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Capacity
62850
Attendance
61519
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Oliver
Stuart Burt
James Mainwaring
Chris Kavanagh

Statistics

Possession
TOT
57%
NFO
43%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 2
64 Dangerous attacks 32
59 Possession 41
13 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
24 Dribble Attempts 15
0 Assists 3
5 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Attempts 7
5 Goal Kicks 11
1 Injuries 0
28 Successful Headers 18
16 Throwins 12
75 Ball Safe 77
13 Successful Dribbles 6

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 1
119 Attacks 82

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 75
459 Passes 336
365 Successful Passes 252
14 Successful Long Passes 21
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
42 Long Passes 68
10 Key Passes 7

Defensive

19 Tackles 21
4 Saves 3
7 Interceptions 9
72 Duels Won 57

Build-up

31 Total Crosses 11
6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

1
Guglielmo Vicario
Guglielmo Vicario Goalkeeper
6.55
4
Kevin Danso
Kevin Danso Defender
6.88
17
Cristian Romero
Cristian Romero (C) Defender
6.94
24
Djed Spence
Djed Spence Defender
6.21
15
Lucas Bergvall
Lucas Bergvall
Midfielder46'
6.42
37
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven Defender
6.32
13
Destiny Udogie
Destiny Udogie
Defender46'
6.02
11
Mathys Tel
Mathys Tel Midfielder
6.99
39
Randal Kolo Muani
Randal Kolo Muani
Attacker67'
6.02
14
Archie Gray
Archie Gray Midfielder
6.66
22
Conor Gallagher
Conor Gallagher
Midfielder84'
6.29
23
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro Midfielder
6.98
29
Pape Matar Sarr
Pape Matar Sarr Midfielder
7.09
9
Richarlison
Richarlison Attacker
6.21
7
Xavi Simons
Xavi Simons
Midfielder67'
6.92
19
Dominic Solanke
Dominic Solanke Attacker
6.5
Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

26
Matz Sels
Matz Sels Goalkeeper
7
3
Neco Williams
Neco Williams Defender
8.15
5
Murillo
Murillo Defender
7.12
31
Nikola Milenković
Nikola Milenković Defender
7.39
34
Ola Aina
Ola Aina Defender
6.81
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder
6.6
7
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Callum Hudson-Odoi Midfielder
7.22
22
Ryan Yates
Ryan Yates
Midfielder70'
6.7
8
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson Midfielder
6.81
16
Nicolás Domínguez
Nicolás Domínguez
Midfielder90+1'
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White (C) Midfielder
6.97
24
James McAtee
James McAtee
Midfielder90+2'
21
Omari Hutchinson
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder
7.08
14
Dan Ndoye
Dan Ndoye
Attacker80'
6.64
19
Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus Attacker
7.19
9
Taiwo Awoniyi
Taiwo Awoniyi
Attacker71'
7.01

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
James McAtee → Morgan Gibbs-White
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Nicolás Domínguez → Elliot Anderson
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Taiwo Awoniyi 
3rd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Taiwo Awoniyi 
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Conor Gallagher → Archie Gray
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Destiny Udogie 
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
82'
80'
Event
Dan Ndoye → Omari Hutchinson 
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Taiwo Awoniyi  → Igor Jesus
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Ryan Yates  → Callum Hudson-Odoi
5th Substitution
Event
Randal Kolo Muani → Mathys Tel
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Xavi Simons → Richarlison 
4th Substitution
67'
62'
Event
Morgan Gibbs-White
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
53'
Event
Ibrahim Sangaré
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Lucas Bergvall  → Djed Spence
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Destiny Udogie  → Micky van de Ven
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Igor Jesus
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Dan Ndoye from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score being Tottenham Hotspur 0, Nottingham Forest 3.
90
Update Update
Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
90
Update Update
Conor Gallagher from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Nicolás Domínguez is coming on to replace Elliot Anderson.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: James McAtee comes on to replace Morgan Gibbs-White.
90
Update Update
Xavi Simons from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick on the left flank.
90
Update Update
Elliot Anderson committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
90
Update Update
Destiny Udogie from Tottenham Hotspur was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Randal Kolo Muani committed a foul against a player from Tottenham Hotspur.
90
Update Update
Dan Ndoye committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur, following a save by Matz Sels.
89
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive push from Tottenham Hotspur. Dominic Solanke takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Matz Sels of Nottingham Forest makes a save in the bottom right corner. The assist came from Pape Matar Sarr.
89
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort underway. Dominic Solanke of Tottenham Hotspur heads the ball from the center of the box, but Matz Sels from Nottingham Forest makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Pedro Porro, who delivered a cross.
89
Corner Corner
Opportunity missed! Randal Kolo Muani of Tottenham Hotspur had a chance to score with a header from within the six-yard box. He aimed to the left, but it narrowly went wide. This came after a corner kick.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Taiwo Awoniyi of Nottingham Forest has been shown a yellow card for celebrating too exuberantly.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest takes a commanding lead with a score of 3-0 against Tottenham Hotspur. Taiwo Awoniyi finds the back of the net, firing a right-footed shot from close range into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Neco Williams, who delivered a precise cross.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after a foul by Kevin Danso.
85
Update Update
Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Bergvall of Tottenham Hotspur.
85
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Guglielmo Vicario, the goalkeeper for Tottenham Hotspur, makes a save right in the middle of the goal.
84
Update Update
Dan Ndoye of Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in an attacking position.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Conor Gallagher replaces Archie Gray.
84
Update Update
Destiny Udogie from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Destiny Udogie of Tottenham Hotspur has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
82
Update Update
Destiny Udogie from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
82
Update Update
Dan Ndoye from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick on the right flank.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Dan Ndoye comes on to replace Omari Hutchinson.
79
Update Update
Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
79
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Ibrahim Sangaré allowed the ball to go out.
77
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after a play by Elliot Anderson results in a defensive error.
77
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Pape Matar Sarr of Tottenham Hotspur takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Lucas Bergvall from Tottenham Hotspur attempted a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
74
Update Update
Taiwo Awoniyi of Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Taiwo Awoniyi from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Taiwo Awoniyi comes on to replace Igor Jesus.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Ryan Yates comes on to replace Callum Hudson-Odoi.
68
Update Update
Xavi Simons from Tottenham Hotspur has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
68
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
68
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Kevin Danso of Tottenham Hotspur heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but his shot is blocked. The cross was delivered by Pedro Porro.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Xavi Simons replaces Richarlison.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Randal Kolo Muani comes on to replace Mathys Tel due to an injury.
66
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
66
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur.
65
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Nikola Milenkovic allowed the ball to go out of play.
64
Update Update
Ola Aina commits a handball for Nottingham Forest.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest takes a 2-0 lead over Tottenham Hotspur. Morgan Gibbs-White scores with a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, finding the center of the net. The assist comes from Callum Hudson-Odoi.
60
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest attempts a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
59
Update Update
Lucas Bergvall from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive area.
59
Update Update
Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
57
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in an offensive position.
57
Update Update
Mathys Tel of Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
56
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Archie Gray from Tottenham Hotspur takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Mathys Tel.
56
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Archie Gray from Tottenham Hotspur attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar and to the left.
54
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Cristian Romero of Tottenham Hotspur attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but failed to convert. The assist came from Pedro Porro, who delivered a cross.
53
Update Update
Cristian Romero from Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick on the right flank.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahim Sangaré of Nottingham Forest has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
53
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré commits a foul for Nottingham Forest.
52
Update Update
Ola Aina commits a foul against Nottingham Forest.
52
Update Update
Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
51
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
51
Update Update
Pape Matar Sarr from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Nikola Milenkovic allowed the ball to go out of play.
50
Update Update
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest heads the ball from the left side of the penalty area. However, Guglielmo Vicario, the goalkeeper for Tottenham Hotspur, makes a crucial save right in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Elliot Anderson, who delivered a precise cross.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Callum Hudson-Odoi of Nottingham Forest has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the scoreline reading Tottenham Hotspur 0, Nottingham Forest 1.
45
Update Update
Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Nottingham Forest after Guglielmo Vicario allowed the ball to go out.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Destiny Udogie replaces Micky van de Ven.
45
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Igor Jesus from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area. However, Guglielmo Vicario of Tottenham Hotspur makes a fantastic save, denying the effort in the top left corner. The assist came from Elliot Anderson, who set it up with a header.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nottingham Forest takes the lead against Tottenham Hotspur, 1-0. Igor Jesus scores with a header from the right side of the six-yard box, directing it into the left corner of the net. The assist goes to Neco Williams, who delivered a precise cross following a corner kick.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Pape Matar Sarr of Tottenham Hotspur takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Lucas Bergvall comes on to replace Djed Spence.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham Hotspur: Destiny Udogie replaces Micky van de Ven.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Archie Gray allowed the ball to go out.
41
Update Update
Djed Spence from Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
41
Update Update
Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
38
Update Update
Cristian Romero of Tottenham Hotspur committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
36
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
36
Update Update
Dominic Solanke of Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Murillo allowed the ball to go out.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after a defensive play by Igor Jesus.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after a defensive play by Ola Aina.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after a defensive play by Elliot Anderson.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after a deflection off Neco Williams.
28
Update Update
Offside call against Tottenham Hotspur. Richarlison has been caught in an offside position.
27
Update Update
Elliot Anderson committed a foul against Nottingham Forest.
27
Update Update
Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive area.
24
Update Update
Neco Williams committed a foul for Nottingham Forest.
24
Update Update
Pedro Porro of Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré from Nottingham Forest was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Archie Gray committed a foul on a Tottenham Hotspur player.
20
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Pape Matar Sarr of Tottenham Hotspur fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
16
Update Update
Offside call against Tottenham Hotspur. Cristian Romero has been caught offside.
15
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur had a header from close range inside the six-yard box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Mathys Tel, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Murillo allowed the ball to go out of play.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Ibrahim Sangaré allowed the ball to go out.
13
Attempt Attempt
A shot was deflected. Mathys Tel from Tottenham Hotspur attempted a right-footed strike from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Archie Gray.
12
Update Update
Kevin Danso from Tottenham Hotspur was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
12
Update Update
Kevin Danso of Tottenham Hotspur has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Tottenham Hotspur after Ola Aina allowed the ball to go out.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Porro of Tottenham Hotspur.
6
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
5
Update Update
Richarlison of Tottenham Hotspur earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
5
Update Update
Neco Williams committed a foul for Nottingham Forest.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Nottingham Forest exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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