FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Mewa Arena Sun, 22 Mar - 2:30 PM
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 M05
2 Winner 1
Eintracht Frankfurt SGE
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 2:30 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Paul Nebel - 6', 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Nathaniel Brown - 20'

CONTEXT

The match between FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt has officially concluded, finishing with a 1-0 victory for the home side. Going into the fixture, Eintracht Frankfurt were considered the stronger team overall, but the pre-match market actually favored Mainz with a 43.5% implied win probability, compared to 29.9% for the visitors and 26.5% for a draw. Consequently, the final result was fully aligned with the pre-match market, though it still represented a significant deviation level favoring FSV Mainz 05 against broader baseline expectations. The underlying metrics illustrate a clear clash of tactical styles. Eintracht Frankfurt heavily controlled the ball with 70% possession, forcing Mainz to operate on just 30%. Despite this severe territorial dominance from the visitors, the expected goals (xG) battle was remarkably even, with Mainz narrowly edging it 1.43 to 1.40. Because Mainz won and also produced the slightly higher attacking quality, the final outcome was completely consistent with the xG data. Both teams' overall finishing efficiency was entirely in line with their expected production, avoiding any massive statistical anomalies. Additionally, the match was played cleanly without any major disciplinary shifts, as neither team received a red card.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FSV Mainz 05 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FSV Mainz 05 U. Fischer
U. Fischer
VS
Eintracht Frankfurt A. Riera Ortega
A. Riera Ortega
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.39
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamburger SV Rank: 77 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 L
FC Augsburg Rank: 76 W
RB Leipzig Rank: 86 W
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 W
FC Köln Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rank: 76 W
FC Union Berlin Rank: 75 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: 89 L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 84 L
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 D
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 86 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 14 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FSV Mainz 05
43.53%
Draw
26.54%
Away Eintracht Frankfurt
29.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.64
81.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
Power Score
80.64
81.15
League Position
11
7
Global Rank
60
55

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FSV Mainz 05 — Opponent-weighted form score
Eintracht Frankfurt — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FSV Mainz 05 Eintracht Frankfurt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FSV Mainz 05

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Eintracht Frankfurt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FSV Mainz 05 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Eintracht Frankfurt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.00
19.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.71
33.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FSV Mainz 05 +1.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt -1.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FSV Mainz 05
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FSV Mainz 05 Eintracht Frankfurt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FSV Mainz 05 Eintracht Frankfurt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FSV Mainz 05 M05 Home
35 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt SGE Away
Match Record
10
Wins
11
14
Draws
14
11
Losses
10
Goals
44
Goals Scored
46
46
Goals Conceded
44
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Batz
Germany
33 D. Batz
D. Vieira da Costa
Germany
21 D. Vieira da Costa
S. Posch
Austria
4 S. Posch
D. Kohr
Germany
31 D. Kohr
S. Widmer
Switzerland
30 (C) S. Widmer
P. Nebel
Germany
8 P. Nebel
K. Sano
Japan
6 K. Sano
J. Lee
Substitution
South Korea
7 J. Lee
P. Mwene
Substitution
Austria
2 P. Mwene
S. Becker
Substitution
Suriname
23 S. Becker
P. Tietz
Substitution
Germany
20 P. Tietz
M. Zetterer
Germany
23 M. Zetterer
N. Brown
Substitution
Germany
21 N. Brown
A. Theate
Belgium
3 (C) A. Theate
A. Amenda
Switzerland
5 A. Amenda
N. Collins
Substitution
Germany
34 N. Collins
F. Chaïbi
Substitution
Algeria
8 F. Chaïbi
H. Larsson
Sweden
16 H. Larsson
R. Doan
Substitution
Japan
20 R. Doan
J. Bahoya
Substitution
France
19 J. Bahoya
J. Burkardt
Germany
9 J. Burkardt
A. Muinga
France
25 A. Muinga

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Mewa Arena
Capacity
34000
Attendance
33305
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tobias Stieler
Mark Borsch
Marco Achmüller
Lars Erbst

Statistics

Possession
M05
35%
SGE
65%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 4
38 Dangerous attacks 36
30 Possession 70
5 Corners 3
5 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
7 Goal Kicks 7
12 Throwins 28
6 Dribble Attempts 13
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 23
58 Ball Safe 82
6 Goal Attempts 6
4 Substitutions 5
2 Successful Dribbles 3
1 Injuries 3
9 Successful Headers 9
1 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

60 Attacks 111
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

18 Successful Long Passes 18
235 Passes 580
74 Successful Passes Percentage 90
40 Long Passes 37
7 Key Passes 12
173 Successful Passes 520
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

7 Interceptions 4
18 Tackles 8
3 Saves 3

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 15
0 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

4 Offsides 3
12 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Tobias Stieler

Starting XI ▼

33
Daniel Batz
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper
7.04
4
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch Defender
6.7
21
Danny da Costa
Danny da Costa Defender
6.52
31
Dominik Kohr
Dominik Kohr Defender
6.88
2
Phillipp Mwene
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder
6.59
22
Nikolas Veratschnig
Nikolas Veratschnig
Defender69'
6.52
6
Kaishu Sano
Kaishu Sano Midfielder
7.07
7
Jae-sung Lee
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder
6.82
24
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki
Midfielder81'
6.54
8
Paul Nebel
Paul Nebel Midfielder
2
8.61
30
Silvan Widmer
Silvan Widmer (C) Midfielder
6.31
20
Phillip Tietz
Phillip Tietz Attacker
6.39
44
Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper
Attacker69'
6.27
23
Sheraldo Becker
Sheraldo Becker Attacker
7.04
15
Lennard Maloney
Lennard Maloney
Midfielder90+1'
6.5
Referee : Tobias Stieler

Starting XI ▼

23
Michael Zetterer
Michael Zetterer Goalkeeper
6.96
3
Arthur Theate
Arthur Theate (C) Defender
6.88
5
Aurèle Amenda
Aurèle Amenda Defender
6.9
21
Nathaniel Brown
Nathaniel Brown Defender
7.17
15
Ellyes Skhiri
Ellyes Skhiri
Midfielder46'
6.42
34
Nnamdi Collins
Nnamdi Collins Defender
6.46
2
Elias Baum
Elias Baum
Defender64'
6.48
8
Farès Chaïbi
Farès Chaïbi Midfielder
7.02
7
Ansgar Knauff
Ansgar Knauff
Attacker79'
6.43
16
Hugo Larsson
Hugo Larsson Midfielder
6.66
20
Ritsu Doan
Ritsu Doan Midfielder
6.52
42
Can Uzun
Can Uzun
Midfielder79'
6.62
9
Jonathan Burkardt
Jonathan Burkardt Attacker
6.7
19
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya Attacker
7.44
29
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
Attacker58'
6.34
25
Arnaud Kalimuendo
Arnaud Kalimuendo Attacker
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lennard Maloney → Sheraldo Becker
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Paul Nebel
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
89'
Event
Sota Kawasaki → Jae-sung Lee
8th Substitution
81'
79'
Event
Ansgar Knauff → Farès Chaïbi
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Can Uzun → Ritsu Doan
7th Substitution
Event
Sheraldo Becker
Penalty cancelled
77'
Event
Nelson Weiper → Phillip Tietz
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Nikolas Veratschnig → Phillipp Mwene
4th Substitution
69'
64'
Event
Elias Baum → Nnamdi Collins
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab → Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ellyes Skhiri → Nathaniel Brown
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Phillipp Mwene
Handball / 3rd Yellowcard
45'
27'
Event
Ritsu Doan
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
20'
Event
Nathaniel Brown
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Paul Nebel
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'
Event
Phillip Tietz
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Lennard Maloney comes on to replace Sheraldo Becker.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Ansgar Knauff from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Elias Baum.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Eintracht Frankfurt. Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab has been caught in an offside position.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 8 minutes of stoppage time.
89
Update Update
Another offensive push! Nelson Weiper from 1. FSV Mainz 05 heads the ball from close range, but goalkeeper Michael Zetterer of Eintracht Frankfurt makes a crucial save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Silvan Widmer.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes the lead with a score of 2-1 against Eintracht Frankfurt. Paul Nebel scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing the ball into the bottom left corner.
86
Update Update
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
86
Update Update
Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05 was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Attempt Attempt
Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05 strikes the right post with a left-footed shot taken from the left side of the penalty area, assisted by Kaishu Sano.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Sota Kawasaki comes on to replace Lee Jae-Sung.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Uzun comes on to replace Ritsu Doan.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Ansgar Knauff comes on to replace Farès Chaïbi.
77
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
77
Update Update
VAR Review: No Penalty Awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05.
76
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Sheraldo Becker from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
75
Update Update
Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt earned a free kick on the left flank.
75
Update Update
Danny da Costa from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Arnaud Kalimuendo of Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after a play that resulted in a save by Daniel Batz.
70
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Ritsu Doan of Eintracht Frankfurt takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but Daniel Batz of 1. FSV Mainz 05 makes a save, pushing the ball away to the left corner. The assist came from Jonathan Burkardt.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nikolas Veratschnig is coming on to replace Phillipp Mwene.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nelson Weiper comes on to replace Phillip Tietz.
68
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab of Eintracht Frankfurt took a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The assist came from Hugo Larsson.
67
Update Update
Elias Baum from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Sheraldo Becker from 1. FSV Mainz 05 has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Hugo Larsson.
65
Update Update
Arnaud Kalimuendo from Eintracht Frankfurt earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
65
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Elias Baum replaces Nnamdi Collins due to an injury.
64
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
62
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Nnamdi Collins from Eintracht Frankfurt.
62
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
61
Update Update
Fouled by Silvan Widmer from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
61
Update Update
Farès Chaïbi of Eintracht Frankfurt strikes the crossbar with a header from the middle of the penalty area, following a cross from Ritsu Doan.
61
Update Update
Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
59
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Sheraldo Becker has been caught in an offside position.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab comes on to replace Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
52
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Silvan Widmer has been flagged for being in an offside position.
52
Update Update
Offside call against Eintracht Frankfurt. Farès Chaïbi has been caught in an offside position.
51
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Arnaud Kalimuendo of Eintracht Frankfurt takes a shot with his right foot from the middle of the penalty area. However, the effort is thwarted by goalkeeper Daniel Batz of 1. FSV Mainz 05, who makes a save right in front of the goal. The assist for this attempt comes from Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
48
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
48
Update Update
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya from Eintracht Frankfurt was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
46
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive play unfolds as Sheraldo Becker from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, the attempt is thwarted by goalkeeper Michael Zetterer, who makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist for this play comes from Lee Jae-Sung of Eintracht Frankfurt.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Nnamdi Collins of Eintracht Frankfurt attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed high and to the left. The assist came from Farès Chaïbi, who delivered a cross.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Phillipp Mwene of 1. FSV Mainz 05 has been shown a yellow card for handling the ball.
45
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a handball.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Farès Chaïbi allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 1-1 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt.
45
Update Update
Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Nathaniel Brown allowed the ball to go out.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Eintracht Frankfurt: Ellyes Skhiri comes on to replace Nathaniel Brown.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score tied at 1-1 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after Dominik Kohr allowed the ball to go out.
43
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Arthur Theate of Eintracht Frankfurt heads the ball from the center of the penalty area. However, his attempt is expertly denied by Daniel Batz of 1. FSV Mainz 05, who makes a save to the left corner. The assist comes from Farès Chaïbi, who delivered a precise cross.
42
Update Update
Ritsu Doan from Eintracht Frankfurt has earned a free kick in an attacking position.
42
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
40
Update Update
Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Hugo Larsson was deemed to have conceded it.
40
Update Update
Lee Jae-Sung commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
37
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Sheraldo Becker from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box. However, Michael Zetterer from Eintracht Frankfurt makes a great save, denying the attempt at the top center of the goal. The assist for this play came from Kaishu Sano.
35
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Sheraldo Becker.
34
Update Update
Ritsu Doan from Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
33
Update Update
Sheraldo Becker of 1. FSV Mainz 05 has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
33
Update Update
Aurèle Amenda from Eintracht Frankfurt committed a foul.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Nnamdi Collins allowed the ball to go out.
27
Update Update
Ritsu Doan commits a foul against Eintracht Frankfurt.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ritsu Doan of Eintracht Frankfurt has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
27
Update Update
Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Update Update
Sheraldo Becker from 1. FSV Mainz 05 has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Update Update
Arthur Theate committed a foul on an Eintracht Frankfurt player.
25
Update Update
Nathaniel Brown of Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Update Update
Nathaniel Brown from Eintracht Frankfurt was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
24
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Farès Chaïbi from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
23
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Kaishu Sano of 1. FSV Mainz 05 attempts a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area that goes just wide to the left. The assist came from Lee Jae-Sung following a corner kick.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Hugo Larsson allowed the ball to go out.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now 1-1 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt. Nathaniel Brown scores for Eintracht Frankfurt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the bottom right corner. The assist came from Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
19
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jonathan Burkardt from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Ritsu Doan, who delivered a cross.
18
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Dominik Kohr has been caught offside.
15
Update Update
Offside call against Eintracht Frankfurt. Arthur Theate has been caught in an offside position.
13
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
12
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Nathaniel Brown from Eintracht Frankfurt.
11
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Farès Chaïbi from Eintracht Frankfurt takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Jean-Mattéo Bahoya.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes the lead against Eintracht Frankfurt, 1-0. Paul Nebel scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, sending the ball into the upper center of the net. The assist comes from Sheraldo Becker.
4
Update Update
Offside alert - 1. FSV Mainz 05. Sheraldo Becker has been caught offside.
2
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
2
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Eintracht Frankfurt after a deflection off Dominik Kohr.
1
Update Update
Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 committed a foul.
1
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Farès Chaïbi from Eintracht Frankfurt.
1
Update Update
Farès Chaïbi of Eintracht Frankfurt has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Phillip Tietz of 1. FSV Mainz 05 has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FSV Mainz 05 exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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