Viborg FF vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Energi Viborg Arena Sun, 22 Mar - 7:00 PM
Superliga
Viborg FF Viborg FF
1 – 1
FC Midtjylland FCM
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 7:00 PM
Round 2 Championship Round
Dorian Hanza - 70'
Goal
|
Goal
Valdemar Byskov - 53'

CONTEXT

The match between Viborg FF and FC Midtjylland has officially finished in a 1-1 draw. After a goalless first half, both teams found the back of the net to share the points. This result represents a significant deviation for FC Midtjylland, who entered the contest as the stronger team. Pre-match market expectations gave the visitors a 44.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Midtjylland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Viborg FF Nickolai Lund
Nickolai Lund
VS
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 W
AGF Rank: 71 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 59 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 63 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 D
Silkeborg IF Rank: 59 W
Odense BK Rank: 58 W
FC København Rank: 67 W
Viborg FF Rank: 65 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 10 - 15
15

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Viborg FF
29.69%
Draw
25.79%
Away FC Midtjylland
44.52%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.5
79.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Viborg FF
FC Midtjylland
Power Score
64.5
79.55
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
344
65

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Viborg FF — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Viborg FF FC Midtjylland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Viborg FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Viborg FF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Midtjylland
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.24
38.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.43
22.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Viborg FF -1.57 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Midtjylland +1.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Viborg FF
FC Midtjylland
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Viborg FF
vs
FC Midtjylland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Viborg FF FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Viborg FF FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Viborg FF
FC Midtjylland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 28 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Viborg FF Viborg FF Home
28 matches
FC Midtjylland FCM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
15
10
Draws
10
15
Losses
3
Goals
25
Goals Scored
50
50
Goals Conceded
25
-25
Goal Difference
+25
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
L. Pedersen
Denmark
1 L. Pedersen
H. Bidstrup
Substitution
Denmark
26 H. Bidstrup
L. Kirkegaard
Denmark
32 L. Kirkegaard
D. Anyembe
Kenya
24 D. Anyembe
S. Kuzmic
Slovenia
30 S. Kuzmic
T. Jørgensen
Substitution
Denmark
10 T. Jørgensen
J. Grønning
Denmark
13 (C) J. Grønning
M. Clausen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Clausen
S. Jalal Karchoud
Substitution
Denmark
29 S. Jalal Karchoud
D. Hanza Meha
Equatorial Guinea
19 D. Hanza Meha
C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
Substitution
Denmark
11 C. Ngos Nouck Horneman
E. Olafsson
Iceland
16 E. Olafsson
M. Bech Sørensen
Denmark
22 (C) M. Bech Sørensen
M. Erlić
Croatia
6 M. Erlić
H. Lee
South Korea
3 H. Lee
V. Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
55 V. Jensen
P. Bravo Landazuri
Colombia
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
V. Byskov Andreasen
Substitution
Denmark
20 V. Byskov Andreasen
D. Osorio Osorio
Substitution
Chile
11 D. Osorio Osorio
D. Simsir
Substitution
Denmark
58 D. Simsir
K. Cho
Substitution
South Korea
10 K. Cho
J. dos Santos Júnior
Brazil
74 J. dos Santos Júnior

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 2 · Championship Round
Stadium
Energi Viborg Arena
Capacity
9566
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Tykgaard
Troels Christensen
Steffen Beck Bramsen
Patrick Remon Gammelholm

Statistics

Possession
Viborg FF
48%
FCM
52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 9
38 Dangerous attacks 52
49 Possession 51
5 Corners 6
20 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

24 Throwins 24
5 Substitutions 5
10 Goal Kicks 4
9 Successful Dribbles 7
16 Dribble Attempts 20
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35
82 Ball Safe 89
8 Goal Attempts 14
1 Assists 1

Attacking

90 Attacks 107
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

181 Successful Passes 186
17 Successful Long Passes 23
63 Successful Passes Percentage 63
289 Passes 297
25 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29
6 Key Passes 14
69 Long Passes 80

Defensive

27 Tackles 27
3 Saves 1
3 Interceptions 9

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 23
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

13 Fouls 20
6 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Lund
Lucas Lund Goalkeeper
6.85
24
Daniel Anyembe
Daniel Anyembe Defender
6.98
26
Hjalte Bidstrup
Hjalte Bidstrup Defender
6.65
23
Oliver Bundgaard
Oliver Bundgaard
Defender76'
6.63
30
Srdjan Kuzmic
Srdjan Kuzmic Defender
6.71
32
Lukas Kirkegaard
Lukas Kirkegaard Defender
6.35
6
Mads Søndergaard
Mads Søndergaard Midfielder
7.02
8
Asker Beck
Asker Beck
Midfielder76'
6.6
10
Thomas Jørgensen
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder
6.45
4
Mees Hoedemakers
Mees Hoedemakers
Midfielder76'
6.65
13
Jeppe Grønning
Jeppe Grønning (C) Midfielder
6.94
11
Charly Nouck
Charly Nouck Attacker
6.61
17
Osman Addo
Osman Addo
Attacker61'
6.58
19
Dorian Hanza
Dorian Hanza Attacker
7.33
29
Sami Jalal
Sami Jalal Attacker
6.88
9
Tim Freriks
Tim Freriks
Attacker90+5'
Referee : Michael Tykgaard

Starting XI ▼

16
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
6.7
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee Defender
6.75
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Defender
6.64
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen (C) Defender
6.98
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio Midfielder
6.36
13
Adam Gabriel
Adam Gabriel
Defender67'
5.87
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
6.83
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder
7.55
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao
Defender86'
6.66
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Midfielder
6.49
29
Paulinho
Paulinho
Defender80'
6.79
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho Attacker
6.94
41
Mikel Gogorza
Mikel Gogorza
Attacker80'
6.77
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir Attacker
6.64
17
Mikael Uhre
Mikael Uhre
Attacker46'
6.32
74
Júnior Brumado
Júnior Brumado Attacker
7.81

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tim Freriks → Sami Jalal
10th Substitution
90+5'
90+1'
Event
Mads Bech Sørensen
Goal disallowed
86'
Event
Ousmane Diao → Valdemar Byskov
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Mikel Gogorza → Gue-sung Cho
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Paulinho → Victor Bak
8th Substitution
Event
Asker Beck → Mads Søndergaard
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Oliver Bundgaard → Hjalte Bidstrup
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Mees Hoedemakers → Thomas Jørgensen
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Dorian Hanza
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
70'
67'
Event
Adam Gabriel → Darío Osorio
3rd Substitution
Event
Mads Søndergaard
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
66'
64'
Event
Darío Osorio
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Osman Addo → Charly Nouck
2nd Substitution
61'
53'
Event
Valdemar Byskov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
46'
Event
Mikael Uhre → Aral Şimşir
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Srdjan Kuzmic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
7'
Event
Gue-sung Cho
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Midtjylland exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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