Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva Sat, 21 Mar - 11:00 AM
Premier League
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
2 Winner 1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 11:00 AM
Round 21 Regular Season
Yaroslav Shevchenko - 29'
Carlos Paraco - 39'
Goal
|
Goal
Vadym Sydun - 8'

CONTEXT

The match is now finished, with Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih securing a 2-0 full-time victory over Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Coming into the fixture, the home side was favored with a 41% pre-match market probability of winning, compared to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's 31.9% and a 27.1% chance of a draw. The final result ultimately aligned with these pre-match market expectations, though the exact outcome still represented a significant positive deviation for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih. Despite trailing on the ball with just 41% home possession compared to the visitors' 59%, Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih effectively controlled the scoreboard. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to directly evaluate if the final score was mathematically consistent with the underlying quality of chances created by either side. The fixture proceeded cleanly without any red cards to dramatically disrupt either team's tactical setup. Ultimately,

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
VS
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi S. Nahornyak
S. Nahornyak
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 60 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 43 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 52 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 50 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 52 D
Oleksandria Rank: 47 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 47 W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 53 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 67 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 73 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
40.97%
Draw
27.11%
Away Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
31.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.85
44.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Power Score
56.85
44.8
League Position
5
13
Global Rank
580
868

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
49.88
31.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.36
49.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih +1.80 Efficiency Index
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi -1.80 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home
1 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
5
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:21:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-1-3
Pitch
O. Kemkin
Ukraine
12 O. Kemkin
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 V. Volodymyr
J. Jones
Panama
15 J. Jones
J. Nyabeye Dibango
Cameroon
55 J. Nyabeye Dibango
M. Zaderaka
Substitution
Ukraine
94 M. Zaderaka
A. Araujo Araque
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
Y. Shevchenko
Substitution
8 Y. Shevchenko
B. Lin
Israel
18 B. Lin
C. Paraco González
Venezuela
9 C. Paraco González
G. Mendoza Barrios
Substitution
Venezuela
7 G. Mendoza Barrios
O. Bilyk
Ukraine
31 O. Bilyk
O. Klymets
Ukraine
97 O. Klymets
N. Coch Montaña
Spain
77 N. Coch Montaña
V. Moroz
Ukraine
4 (C) V. Moroz
V. Luchkevych
Substitution
Ukraine
67 V. Luchkevych
E. Zaporozhets
Substitution
Ukraine
5 E. Zaporozhets
M. Myronyuk
Ukraine
8 M. Myronyuk
E. Demchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
17 E. Demchenko
J. Cifuentes Xalmet
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Cifuentes Xalmet
V. Sydun
Ukraine
20 V. Sydun
C. Rojas Mosquera
Substitution
Spain
99 C. Rojas Mosquera

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 21 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva
Capacity
29783
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mykhailo Yukhymenko
Oleg Kogut
Dmytro Osaulenko
Petro Kotubey

Statistics

Possession
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
46%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
5 Shots 5
49 Dangerous attacks 50
41 Possession 59
2 Corners 8
4 Free kicks 3
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 10
6 Substitutions 4
21 Successful Dribbles 25
20 Throwins 17
30 Dribble Attempts 29
1 Hit Woodwork 0
70 Successful Dribbles Percentage 86

Attacking

76 Attacks 88

Possession

299 Passes 371
59 Long Passes 72
23 Successful Long Passes 33
71 Successful Passes Percentage 75
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
211 Successful Passes 280

Defensive

6 Saves 8
0 Tackles 2
19 Interceptions 17

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 19
9 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

5 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Oleg Kogut

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksandr Kemkin
Oleksandr Kemkin Goalkeeper
7.36
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
6.06
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald Defender
6.94
15
Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones Defender
6.97
55
Yvan Dibango
Yvan Dibango Defender
7.07
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.58
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko Midfielder
6.55
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Midfielder75'
6.65
94
Maksym Zaderaka
Maksym Zaderaka Midfielder
5.84
3
Carlos Rojas
Carlos Rojas
Midfielder86'
7
Gleiker Mendoza
Gleiker Mendoza Attacker
7.08
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk
Attacker75'
6.5
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco Attacker
7.28
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Attacker
8.19
Referee : Oleg Kogut

Starting XI ▼

31
Oleg Bilyk
Oleg Bilyk Goalkeeper
8.22
4
Vladyslav Moroz
Vladyslav Moroz (C) Defender
6.75
67
Valeriy Luchkevych
Valeriy Luchkevych Defender
6.42
11
Stanislav Krystin
Stanislav Krystin
Defender90'
6.44
77
Nil Coch
Nil Coch Defender
6.44
97
Oleksandr Klymets
Oleksandr Klymets Defender
6.13
5
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Yevhen Zaporozhets Midfielder
6.5
28
Andriy Lipovuz
Andriy Lipovuz
Midfielder45+3'
6.72
8
Mykola Myronyuk
Mykola Myronyuk Midfielder
6.14
17
Yehor Demchenko
Yehor Demchenko Midfielder
6.12
6
Kyrylo Kovalets
Kyrylo Kovalets
Midfielder45+3'
6.76
9
Joaquinete
Joaquinete Attacker
7.96
21
Vladyslav Supryaga
Vladyslav Supryaga
Attacker70'
6.67
20
Vadym Sydun
Vadym Sydun Attacker
7.81
99
Carlos Rojas
Carlos Rojas Attacker
6.41
7
Andriy Matkevych
Andriy Matkevych
Attacker60'
6.81

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Stanislav Krystin → Valeriy Luchkevych
8th Substitution
Event
Carlos Rojas → Maksym Zaderaka
7th Substitution
86'
81'
Event
Nil Coch
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Jan Jurcec
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Oleksandr Kamenskyi → Yaroslav Shevchenko
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Volodymyr Mulyk → Gleiker Mendoza
6th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Vladyslav Supryaga → Joaquinete
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Andriy Matkevych → Carlos Rojas
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Vladyslav Moroz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Mykola Myronyuk
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Event
Andriy Lipovuz → Yevhen Zaporozhets
2nd Substitution
45+3'
Event
Kyrylo Kovalets → Yehor Demchenko
1st Substitution
Event
Carlos Paraco
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
39'
Event
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
29'
Event
Andrusw Araujo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
8'
Event
Vadym Sydun
Field Goal / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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