Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
The American Express Community Stadium Sat, 21 Mar - 12:45 PM
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion BHA
2 Winner 1
Liverpool LIV
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 12:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Danny Welbeck - 14', 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Milos Kerkez - 30'

CONTEXT

The match has concluded with Brighton & Hove Albion securing a 1-0 full-time victory over Liverpool. This result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations. Liverpool entered the contest as the noticeably stronger team and pre-game favorites with a 43.7% implied win probability, while a Brighton victory stood at 30.3% and a draw at 25.9%. Consequently, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market. Despite seeing slightly less of the ball, with Brighton holding 47% possession to Liverpool's 53%, the hosts were vastly superior when it came to generating scoring opportunities. Brighton recorded a highly threatening 2.28 expected goals (xG) compared to a lackluster 0.87 xG from the visitors. Because the home side dominated the quality of chances, the actual outcome was entirely consistent with the underlying xG metrics. Additionally, the finishing efficiency for both clubs remained firmly in line with expected models. The match was contested without any major disciplinary disruptions, as zero red cards were issued to either side. Ultimately, Brighton successfully defied the market odds through a sharp, clinical attacking performance that thoroughly validated their victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brighton & Hove Albion showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Brighton & Hove Albion F. Hürzeler
F. Hürzeler
VS
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: 92 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 L
Everton Rank: 89 D
Fulham Rank: 87 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 D
Manchester City Rank: 97 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burnley Rank: 79 D
Arsenal Rank: 100 D
Fulham Rank: 87 D
Leeds United Rank: 86 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 82 W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 84 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brighton & Hove Albion
30.32%
Draw
25.94%
Away Liverpool
43.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.48
93.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
Power Score
73.48
93.78
League Position
10
5
Global Rank
14
6

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brighton & Hove Albion Liverpool

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brighton & Hove Albion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Liverpool

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brighton & Hove Albion ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Liverpool
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.21
27.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.36
40.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brighton & Hove Albion +1.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Liverpool -1.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brighton & Hove Albion
vs
Liverpool
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brighton & Hove Albion Liverpool
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brighton & Hove Albion Liverpool
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Brighton & Hove Albion
Liverpool
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brighton & Hove Albion BHA Home
22 matches
Liverpool LIV Away
Match Record
4
Wins
14
4
Draws
4
14
Losses
4
Goals
26
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
26
-23
Goal Difference
+23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:21:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
B. Verbruggen
Netherlands
1 B. Verbruggen
M. Wieffer
Netherlands
27 M. Wieffer
J. van Hecke
Netherlands
6 J. van Hecke
L. Dunk
England
5 (C) L. Dunk
F. Kadıoğlu
Turkey
24 F. Kadıoğlu
J. Milner
Substitution
England
20 J. Milner
P. Groß
Germany
30 P. Groß
D. Gómez Amarilla
Substitution
Paraguay
25 D. Gómez Amarilla
J. Hinshelwood
Substitution
England
13 J. Hinshelwood
Y. Minteh
Substitution
Gambia
11 Y. Minteh
D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
Substitution
England
18 D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck
G. Mamardashvili
Georgia
25 G. Mamardashvili
Milos Kerkez
Substitution
Hungary
6 Milos Kerkez
V. van Dijk
Netherlands
4 (C) V. van Dijk
I. Konaté
Substitution
France
5 I. Konaté
J. Frimpong
Substitution
Netherlands
30 J. Frimpong
F. Wirtz
Germany
7 F. Wirtz
R. Gravenberch
Netherlands
38 R. Gravenberch
D. Szoboszlai
Hungary
8 D. Szoboszlai
A. Mac Allister
Argentina
10 A. Mac Allister
C. Gakpo
Netherlands
18 C. Gakpo
H. Ekitike
Substitution
France
22 H. Ekitike

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
The American Express Community Stadium
Capacity
31876
Attendance
31680
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Darren England
Scott Ledger
Akil Howson
Tim Robinson

Statistics

Possession
BHA
48%
LIV
52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
5 Big Chances Created 1
16 Shots 12
58 Dangerous attacks 50
47 Possession 53
4 Corners 8
13 Free kicks 14
5 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

65 Ball Safe 71
11 Goal Attempts 9
0 Injuries 2
8 Successful Headers 10
2 Assists 0
9 Goal Kicks 11
5 Substitutions 4
6 Successful Dribbles 10
22 Throwins 30
46 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
13 Dribble Attempts 18

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
100 Attacks 88

Possession

47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
10 Key Passes 8
78 Successful Passes Percentage 80
23 Successful Long Passes 24
49 Long Passes 61
380 Passes 431
297 Successful Passes 346

Defensive

4 Saves 4
7 Interceptions 12
11 Tackles 12
36 Duels Won 43

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 5
16 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Darren England

Starting XI ▼

1
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper
7.5
5
Lewis Dunk
Lewis Dunk (C) Defender
6.01
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender
7.21
24
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender
6.76
27
Mats Wieffer
Mats Wieffer Defender
6.8
11
Yankuba Minteh
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder
6.91
22
Kaoru Mitoma
Kaoru Mitoma
Midfielder76'
6.52
13
Jack Hinshelwood
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder
6.62
26
Yasin Ayari
Yasin Ayari
Midfielder83'
6.78
20
James Milner
James Milner Midfielder
6.96
17
Carlos Baleba
Carlos Baleba
Midfielder76'
6.46
25
Diego Gómez
Diego Gómez Midfielder
7.32
34
Joël Veltman
Joël Veltman
Defender90+1'
30
Pascal Groß
Pascal Groß Midfielder
6.62
18
Danny Welbeck
Danny Welbeck Attacker
2
8.74
10
Georginio Rutter
Georginio Rutter
Attacker83'
6.41
Referee : Darren England

Starting XI ▼

25
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Giorgi Mamardashvili Goalkeeper
6.47
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk (C) Defender
6.55
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Defender
6.5
14
Federico Chiesa
Federico Chiesa
Attacker77'
6.43
6
Milos Kerkez
Milos Kerkez Defender
6.88
26
Andrew Robertson
Andrew Robertson
Defender76'
6.54
30
Jeremie Frimpong
Jeremie Frimpong Defender
6.5
73
Rio Ngumoha
Rio Ngumoha
Attacker63'
6.68
7
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Midfielder
7.25
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder
7.45
10
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder
6.75
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder
7.16
18
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Attacker
6.54
22
Hugo Ekitiké
Hugo Ekitiké Attacker
6.53
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones
Midfielder8'
6.93

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mats Wieffer
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Joël Veltman → Diego Gómez
9th Substitution
90+1'
90'
Event
Federico Chiesa
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Lewis Dunk
Time wasting / 8th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Georginio Rutter → Danny Welbeck
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Yasin Ayari → Jack Hinshelwood
7th Substitution
83'
79'
Event
Dominik Szoboszlai
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Federico Chiesa → Ibrahima Konaté
6th Substitution
Event
Carlos Baleba → James Milner
3rd Substitution
76'
Event
Kaoru Mitoma → Yankuba Minteh
4th Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Andrew Robertson → Milos Kerkez
5th Substitution
Event
Argument / 11th Yellowcard
68'
68'
Event
Alexis Mac Allister
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Rio Ngumoha → Jeremie Frimpong
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Jeremie Frimpong
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Danny Welbeck
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
Event
Danny Welbeck
4th Yellowcard
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Diego Gómez
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+5'
45'
Event
Ibrahima Konaté
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
30'
Event
Milos Kerkez
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Yankuba Minteh
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
25'
Event
Danny Welbeck
Header / 1st Goal
14'
8'
Event
Curtis Jones → Hugo Ekitiké
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Kaoru Mitoma from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mats Wieffer of Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Federico Chiesa of Liverpool has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Ferdi Kadioglu from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
90
Update Update
Federico Chiesa commits a foul on a Liverpool player.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Joël Veltman replaces Diego Gómez.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has signaled that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Brighton and Hove Albion. Kaoru Mitoma takes a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left side, but the goalkeeper makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Yasin Ayari.
90
Update Update
Rio Ngumoha of Liverpool has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Pascal Groß from Brighton and Hove Albion earned a free kick in the offensive zone.
90
Update Update
Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Rio Ngumoha from Liverpool has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Brighton and Hove Albion. Kaoru Mitoma has been caught offside.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with Brighton and Hove Albion defeating Liverpool 2-1.
90
Update Update
Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Offside call against Brighton and Hove Albion. Georginio Rutter has been flagged for being offside.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after Diego Gómez allowed the ball to go out.
87
Update Update
Georginio Rutter committed a foul against a player from Brighton and Hove Albion.
87
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Yasin Ayari from Brighton and Hove Albion fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Liverpool. Cody Gakpo takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Bart Verbruggen, the goalkeeper for Brighton and Hove Albion, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Alexis Mac Allister.
86
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after Alexis Mac Allister allowed the ball to go out.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lewis Dunk from Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card.
83
Update Update
Dominik Szoboszlai of Liverpool has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Update Update
Kaoru Mitoma from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Yasin Ayari replaces Jack Hinshelwood.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Georginio Rutter replaces Danny Welbeck.
81
Update Update
Ferdi Kadioglu from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
81
Update Update
Rio Ngumoha from Liverpool committed a foul.
79
Update Update
Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool committed a foul.
79
Update Update
Kaoru Mitoma from Brighton and Hove Albion earned a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Szoboszlai of Liverpool has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
78
Update Update
Virgil van Dijk from Liverpool committed a foul.
78
Update Update
Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Federico Chiesa of Liverpool fires a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Cody Gakpo.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: Federico Chiesa comes on to replace Ibrahima Konaté.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: Andy Robertson comes on to replace Milos Kerkez.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Carlos Baleba comes on to replace James Milner.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Kaoru Mitoma replaces Yankuba Minteh.
73
Update Update
Rio Ngumoha of Liverpool has been awarded a free kick on the left flank.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Brighton and Hove Albion: Kaoru Mitoma comes on to replace Yankuba Minteh.
71
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. James Milner of Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area but sent it wide to the left following a corner kick.
71
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Danny Welbeck from Brighton and Hove Albion fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The setup for the shot came from James Milner.
71
Update Update
Rio Ngumoha of Liverpool was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after Ibrahima Konaté allowed the ball to go out.
68
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Yankuba Minteh from Brighton and Hove Albion takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. However, the effort is thwarted by goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, who makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist for this attempt comes from Danny Welbeck, who delivered a precise through ball.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alexis Mac Allister of Liverpool has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
68
Update Update
Jan Paul van Hecke from Brighton and Hove Albion earned a free kick in the attacking zone.
68
Update Update
Alexis Mac Allister from Liverpool committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Ryan Gravenberch from Liverpool has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
65
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Alexis Mac Allister of Liverpool attempted a header from the center of the penalty area but failed to convert. The chance was set up by Dominik Szoboszlai, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after a play that resulted in Bart Verbruggen giving it away.
64
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Liverpool. Curtis Jones takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Bart Verbruggen from Brighton and Hove Albion makes a save, diving to his left. The assist came from Florian Wirtz.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after Bart Verbruggen allowed the ball to go out.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: Rio Ngumoha comes on to replace Jeremie Frimpong.
62
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Diego Gómez from Brighton and Hove Albion takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Giorgi Mamardashvili of Liverpool makes a fantastic save, reaching up to deny the attempt in the top right corner.
61
Update Update
Jeremie Frimpong committed a foul on a Liverpool player.
61
Update Update
Yankuba Minteh from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jeremie Frimpong of Liverpool has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
60
Update Update
Ryan Gravenberch from Liverpool committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brighton and Hove Albion takes the lead with a score of 2-1 against Liverpool. Danny Welbeck finds the back of the net with a left-footed shot from close range, placing it right in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Jack Hinshelwood.
55
Update Update
Offside call against Liverpool. Cody Gakpo is caught in an offside position.
54
Update Update
Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
54
Update Update
Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
53
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Mats Wieffer of Brighton and Hove Albion headed the ball from the center of the box but failed to find the target. The assist came from Pascal Groß, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
52
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion, following a deflection off Giorgi Mamardashvili.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after a deflection off Giorgi Mamardashvili.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Danny Welbeck from Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card.
47
Update Update
James Milner commits a foul against Brighton and Hove Albion.
47
Update Update
Curtis Jones from Liverpool earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Alexis Mac Allister from Liverpool was awarded a free kick on the left flank.
45
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push from Liverpool as Florian Wirtz takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Bart Verbruggen, the Brighton and Hove Albion goalkeeper, makes a save right in the middle of the goal.
45
Update Update
Yankuba Minteh from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Diego Gómez committed a foul against a player from Brighton and Hove Albion.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Alexis Mac Allister from Liverpool takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist comes from Jeremie Frimpong.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ibrahima Konaté of Liverpool has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
45
Update Update
Ibrahima Konaté from Liverpool committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Danny Welbeck from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. James Milner of Brighton and Hove Albion took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that came close, but ultimately went wide following a corner kick.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Gómez of Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
45
Update Update
Jeremie Frimpong of Liverpool has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Brighton and Hove Albion after Jeremie Frimpong allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 1-1 between Brighton and Hove Albion and Liverpool.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score tied at 1-1 between Brighton and Hove Albion and Liverpool.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after a deflection off Bart Verbruggen.
39
Update Update
Milos Kerkez committed a foul against a Liverpool player.
39
Update Update
Mats Wieffer from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Mats Wieffer from Brighton and Hove Albion took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right.
32
Update Update
Mats Wieffer from Brighton and Hove Albion has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
32
Update Update
Cody Gakpo from Liverpool committed a foul.
32
Attempt Attempt
Close call! Jack Hinshelwood from Brighton and Hove Albion took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, and it narrowly missed the target. The assist came from Danny Welbeck.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's Brighton and Hove Albion 1, Liverpool 1. Milos Kerkez scores for Liverpool with a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, placing it right into the center of the net.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after Ferdi Kadioglu allowed the ball to go out.
27
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Jeremie Frimpong from Liverpool.
27
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after Lewis Dunk allowed the ball to go out.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yankuba Minteh of Brighton and Hove Albion has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
25
Update Update
Yankuba Minteh of Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
25
Update Update
Cody Gakpo of Liverpool earned a free kick in an offensive position.
24
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Dominik Szoboszlai of Liverpool takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick, but it narrowly misses the target.
23
Update Update
Ryan Gravenberch from Liverpool earned a free kick in an offensive position.
23
Update Update
Diego Gómez from Brighton and Hove Albion committed a foul.
22
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Alexis Mac Allister of Liverpool heads the ball from the center of the box, but Bart Verbruggen of Brighton and Hove Albion makes a save in the right corner. The assist comes from Dominik Szoboszlai, who delivered a precise cross.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after Bart Verbruggen allowed the ball to go out.
21
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Diego Gómez from Brighton and Hove Albion attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed high and to the right. The cross was delivered by Yankuba Minteh.
16
Attempt Attempt
Cody Gakpo attempts a shot from the center of the box with his right foot, but it gets deflected. The assist came from Florian Wirtz.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brighton and Hove Albion takes the lead, 1-0 against Liverpool. Danny Welbeck scores with a header from close range, directing the ball into the top left corner. The assist comes from Diego Gómez, who also delivered a header.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Liverpool after Mats Wieffer allowed the ball to go out.
10
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards during a quick counterattack, but it went wide.
10
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar. The assist came from Jeremie Frimpong.
8
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
8
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: Curtis Jones comes on to replace Hugo Ekitiké due to an injury.
7
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Hugo Ekitiké from Liverpool.
6
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
4
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Hugo Ekitiké from Liverpool.
2
Update Update
Dominik Szoboszlai from Liverpool commits a handball.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Brighton & Hove Albion exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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