Blau-Weiß Linz vs Ried Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Linzer Stadion
Sat, 21 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Blau-Weiß Linz
BWL
3
2
2
Ried
Ried
Full Time
Sat, 21 Mar
4:00 PM
Round 2 ·
Relegation Round
Ronivaldo - 83' (P)
Simon Seidl - 64'
Alexander Briedl - 54'
|
Peter Kiedl - 18', 3' (P)
|
Nicolas Bajlicz 30'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 10
CONTEXT
Match is finished. Blau-Weiß Linz 3–0 Ried. The result saw Blau-Weiß Linz take the points. Blau-Weiß Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Blau-Weiß Linz 4.3 – 1.4 Ried. Possession was 61%–39%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Blau-Weiß Linz showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
-
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
M. Köllner
VS
M. Senft
0.65
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rheindorf Altach
Rank: 52
L
Hartberg
Rank: 60
D
WSG Tirol
Rank: 53
L
Sturm Graz
Rank: 69
L
Wolfsberger AC
Rank: 61
W
Rheindorf Altach
Rank: 54
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
WSG Tirol
Rank: 55
W
Austria Wien
Rank: 65
L
Grazer AK
Rank: 52
L
WSG Tirol
Rank: 53
D
LASK Linz
Rank: 64
D
Sturm Graz
Rank: 69
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Blau-Weiß Linz
39.57%
Draw
29.24%
Ried
31.19%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.08
45.65
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Blau-Weiß Linz
Ried
Power Score
49.08
45.65
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
801
724
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Blau-Weiß Linz
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Ried
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Blau-Weiß Linz Ried
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Blau-Weiß Linz
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Ried
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Blau-Weiß Linz
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Ried
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
58.52
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.21
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Blau-Weiß Linz
+3.85
Efficiency Index
vs
Ried
-3.85
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Blau-Weiß Linz
Ried
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Blau-Weiß Linz
vs
Ried
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Blau-Weiß Linz
Ried
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+1.00
vs
+1.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Blau-Weiß Linz
Ried
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
Blau-Weiß Linz
Ried
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Blau-Weiß Linz
BWL
Home
2
matches
Ried
Ried
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:39+00:00
STARTING XI
Blau-Weiß Linz
Ried
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
Match Formation
3-4-1-2
58 N. Mantl
17 A. Pasic
15 M. Maranda
T. Goiginger
#2776'
2 (C) F. Strauss
S. Pirkl
#6090+3'
29 D. Reiter
R. Sales
#940'
14 C. Cvetko
19 A. Briedl
D. Riegler
#2276'
23 D. Bumberger
30 N. Maier
20 S. Seidl
18 S. Weissman
1 (C) A. Leitner
30 O. Steurer
5 N. Havenaar
25 D. Kirnbauer
J. Scherzer
#346'
19 Y. Nasrawe
M. Maart
#658'
8 M. Rasner
26 J. Mayer
A. Bajic
#1257'
18 F. Rossdorfer
28 N. Bajlicz
A. Van Wyk
#2980'
15 J. Boguo
2
K. Mutandwa
#771'
13 P. Kiedl
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Mar 21, 2026, 04:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 2 · Relegation Round
🏟️
Stadium :
Linzer Stadion
👥
Capacity :
21005
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Maximilian Weiss
Michael Obritzberger
Manuel Baumann
Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca
Next Match
Blau-Weiß Linz
vs
Grazer AK
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Apr - 3:00 PM
Venue: Away
Ried
vs
Rheindorf Altach
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Apr - 5:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Possession
BWL
59%
Ried
41%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
2
5
Big Chances Created
3
11
Shots
0
54
Dangerous attacks
23
61
Possession
39
12
Corners
0
13
Free kicks
6
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
1
Injuries
1
1
Hit Woodwork
0
2
Goal Kicks
15
47
Successful Dribbles Percentage
40
1
Penalties
1
24
Throwins
22
19
Dribble Attempts
10
19
Goal Attempts
4
58
Ball Safe
87
0
Assists
1
5
Substitutions
5
9
Successful Dribbles
4
Attacking
99
Attacks
54
3
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
273
Successful Passes
152
41
Long Passes
67
17
Key Passes
2
17
Successful Long Passes
25
367
Passes
250
74
Successful Passes Percentage
61
41
Successful Long Passes Percentage
37
Defensive
10
Interceptions
12
12
Tackles
15
0
Saves
5
Build-up
26
Total Crosses
2
8
Accurate Crosses
1
Discipline
5
Fouls
13
Lineup
Blau-Weiß Linz
Referee :
Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca
Manager ▼
M. Köllner
Coach
Starting XI ▼
58
Nico Mantl
Goalkeeper
6.13 2
Fabio Varesi-Strauss (C)
Defender
7.15 27Thomas Goiginger
6.96Attacker76'
15
Manuel Maranda
Defender
6.96 17
Alem Pasic
Defender
7.54 14
Christopher Cvetko
Midfielder
6.52 9Ronivaldo
Attacker40'
19
Alexander Briedl
Midfielder
23
David Bumberger
Midfielder
6.65 22David Riegler
6.64Defender76'
29
Dominik Reiter
Midfielder
6.69
60Simon Pirkl
Defender90+3'
18
Shon Weissman
Attacker
7.16 20
Simon Seidl
Attacker
30
Nico Maier
Attacker
6.9 Substitutes ▼
9Ronivaldo
Attacker40'
27Thomas Goiginger
6.96Attacker76'
22David Riegler
6.64Defender76'
6
Mamadou Fofana
Midfielder90+2'
60Simon Pirkl
Defender90+3'
Bench ▼
24
Thomas Turner
Goalkeeper
16
Martin Moormann
Defender
26
Cheick Condé
Midfielder
10
Paul Mensah
Attacker
Ried
Referee :
Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca
Manager ▼
M. Senft
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Andreas Leitner (C)
Goalkeeper
6.89 5
Benjamin Garcia
Defender
6.86 25
Dominik Kirnbauer
Defender
6.55 30
Oliver Steurer
Defender
6.56 8
Martin Rasner
Midfielder
6.35
6Yusuf Maart
6.51Midfielder58'
18
Fabian Rossdorfer
Midfielder
7.49 12Ante Bajic
6.42Attacker57'
19
Yussef Nasrawe
Midfielder
6.56 3Jonathan Scherzer
6.06Defender46'
26
Jonas Mayer
Midfielder
6.57 13
Peter Kiedl
Attacker
2
8.15 7Kingstone Mutandwa
6.45Attacker71'
15
Joris Boguo
Attacker
6.19
29Antonio Van Wyk
6.46Attacker80'
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Attacker
5.99
Substitutes ▼
3Jonathan Scherzer
6.06Defender46'
12Ante Bajic
6.42Attacker57'
6Yusuf Maart
6.51Midfielder58'
7Kingstone Mutandwa
6.45Attacker71'
29Antonio Van Wyk
6.46Attacker80'
Bench ▼
34
Dominik Stöger
Goalkeeper
17
Philipp Pomer
Midfielder
24
Mark Jackson
Midfielder
9
Saliou Sané
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Simon Pirkl → Dominik Reiter
10th Substitution
90+3'
Mamadou Fofana → Thomas Goiginger
9th Substitution
90+2'
Ronivaldo
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
83'
80'
Antonio Van Wyk → Joris Boguo
8th Substitution
Thomas Goiginger → Fabio Varesi-Strauss
6th Substitution
76'
David Riegler → David Bumberger
7th Substitution
76'
76'
Joris Boguo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Kingstone Mutandwa → Peter Kiedl
5th Substitution
Simon Seidl
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
64'
58'
Yusuf Maart → Martin Rasner
4th Substitution
57'
Ante Bajic → Fabian Rossdorfer
3rd Substitution
Alexander Briedl
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
54'
46'
Jonathan Scherzer → Yussef Nasrawe
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+3'
Peter Kiedl
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Ronivaldo → Christopher Cvetko
1st Substitution
40'
Alexander Briedl
Penalty disallowed
32'
30'
Nicolas Bajlicz
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
23'
Martin Rasner
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Dominik Reiter
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'
18'
Peter Kiedl
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
3'
Peter Kiedl
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Blau-Weiß Linz exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
Blau-Weiß Linz vs Ried preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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