Wolfsberger AC vs Rheindorf Altach Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Lavanttal Arena Sat, 21 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC WAC
1 – 1
Rheindorf Altach ALT
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 4:00 PM
Round 2 Relegation Round
Nicolas Wimmer - 45+1'
Goal
|
Goal
Patrick Greil - 38'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished in a 0-0 draw between Wolfsberger AC and Rheindorf Altach. Pre-match expectations favored Wolfsberger AC, who held a 42.5% implied win probability compared to Altach's 28.3% and a 29.2% chance of a stalemate. Consequently, dropping points represents a significant deviation for the stronger home side, meaning the final outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market predictions. On the pitch, the game was a tightly contested affair. Rheindorf Altach narrowly edged the possession battle with 51% of the ball, leaving Wolfsberger AC with 49%. However, the hosts generated slightly better scoring opportunities, registering 1.14 expected goals (xG) against Altach's 0.95 xG. Despite the slight 0.19 xG advantage for Wolfsberger AC, the draw remained entirely consistent with the overall xG metrics. Both sides' offensive output was firmly in line with their underlying efficiency metrics, as neither team managed to find a breakthrough before the final whistle. The flow of the match proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, with zero red cards issued to either side. Ultimately, a lack of clinical finishing from both clubs ensured the points were shared in an evenly matched encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Wolfsberger AC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Wolfsberger AC I. Atalan
I. Atalan
VS
Rheindorf Altach O. Zaric
O. Zaric
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: 48 L
LASK Linz Rank: 63 L
Sturm Graz Rank: 69 D
SK Rapid Rank: 61 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 49 L
Grazer AK Rank: 52 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 48 W
Sturm Graz Rank: 66 L
SK Rapid Rank: 61 D
Austria Wien Rank: 66 W
Hartberg Rank: 60 D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 49 W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 10 - 14
14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wolfsberger AC
42.48%
Draw
29.2%
Away Rheindorf Altach
28.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.72
54.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wolfsberger AC
Rheindorf Altach
Power Score
60.72
54.43
League Position
10
8
Global Rank
465
650

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wolfsberger AC — Opponent-weighted form score
Rheindorf Altach — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wolfsberger AC Rheindorf Altach

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rheindorf Altach

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Wolfsberger AC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rheindorf Altach
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.76
25.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.00
37.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wolfsberger AC +0.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Rheindorf Altach -0.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wolfsberger AC
Rheindorf Altach
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Wolfsberger AC
vs
Rheindorf Altach
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wolfsberger AC Rheindorf Altach
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wolfsberger AC Rheindorf Altach
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Wolfsberger AC
Rheindorf Altach
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wolfsberger AC WAC Home
36 matches
Rheindorf Altach ALT Away
Match Record
12
Wins
14
10
Draws
10
14
Losses
12
Goals
38
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
38
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
N. Polster
Austria
12 N. Polster
B. Matić
Serbia
2 B. Matić
F. Wohlmuth
Austria
31 F. Wohlmuth
N. Wimmer
Austria
37 (C) N. Wimmer
R. Renner
Austria
77 R. Renner
M. Sulzner
Austria
30 M. Sulzner
E. Kujovic
Montenegro
23 E. Kujovic
A. Gattermayer
Austria
7 A. Gattermayer
D. Zukić
Serbia
20 D. Zukić
D. Avdijaj
Substitution
Kosovo
10 D. Avdijaj
J. Ngankam
Substitution
Germany
24 J. Ngankam
D. Stojanovic
Austria
1 D. Stojanovic
L. Jäger
Austria
17 (C) L. Jäger
B. Zech
Austria
23 B. Zech
F. Milojevic
Austria
27 F. Milojevic
E. Yalcin
Substitution
Austria
26 E. Yalcin
S. Hrstić
Substitution
Serbia
11 S. Hrstić
M. Bähre
Germany
8 M. Bähre
V. Demaku
Austria
6 V. Demaku
S. Ingolitsch
Substitution
Austria
25 S. Ingolitsch
P. Greil
Substitution
Austria
18 P. Greil
Y. Massombo Litawumba
Substitution
France
28 Y. Massombo Litawumba

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 2 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Lavanttal Arena
Capacity
7300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Julian Schnur
Manuel Undesser
Jakob Bogner
Isa Simsek

Statistics

Possession
WAC
50%
ALT
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 8
50 Dangerous attacks 35
49 Possession 51
12 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Substitutions 5
2 Hit Woodwork 0
23 Throwins 17
1 Injuries 1
10 Goal Kicks 12
8 Successful Dribbles 8
19 Dribble Attempts 11
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73
14 Goal Attempts 8
97 Ball Safe 95
1 Assists 1

Attacking

87 Attacks 79
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 78
60 Long Passes 57
35 Successful Long Passes 31
11 Key Passes 7
382 Passes 422
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54
287 Successful Passes 330

Defensive

11 Tackles 19
10 Interceptions 5
0 Saves 5

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 12
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

5 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Isa Simsek

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikolas Polster
Nikolas Polster Goalkeeper
6.4
2
Boris Matic
Boris Matic Defender
6.64
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
Fabian Wohlmuth Defender
6.96
37
Nicolas Wimmer
Nicolas Wimmer (C) Defender
7.77
77
Rene Renner
Rene Renner Defender
6.45
7
Angelo Gattermayer
Angelo Gattermayer Midfielder
6.94
10
Donis Avdijaj
Donis Avdijaj Midfielder
6.5
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
Emmanuel Agyemang
Midfielder63'
6.49
20
Dejan Zukic
Dejan Zukic Midfielder
7.54
23
Emin Kujovic
Emin Kujovic Midfielder
7.11
30
Marco Sulzner
Marco Sulzner Midfielder
6.81
24
Jessic Ngankam
Jessic Ngankam Attacker
7.43
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek
Attacker74'
6.52
Referee : Isa Simsek

Starting XI ▼

1
Dejan Stojanovic
Dejan Stojanovic Goalkeeper
7.34
17
Lukas Jäger
Lukas Jäger (C) Defender
6.8
23
Benedikt Zech
Benedikt Zech Defender
6.74
27
Filip Milojevic
Filip Milojevic Defender
6.72
6
Vesel Demaku
Vesel Demaku Midfielder
6.79
8
Mike-Steven Bähre
Mike-Steven Bähre Midfielder
7
11
Srdjan Hrstic
Srdjan Hrstic Midfielder
6.6
10
Ousmane Diawara
Ousmane Diawara
Attacker61'
6.74
25
Sandro Ingolitsch
Sandro Ingolitsch Midfielder
7.29
16
Rassa Rahmani
Rassa Rahmani
Defender82'
6.8
26
Erkin Yalcin
Erkin Yalcin Midfielder
6.49
14
Moritz Oswald
Moritz Oswald
Defender46'
6.81
18
Patrick Greil
Patrick Greil Attacker
7.81
20
Alexander Gorgon
Alexander Gorgon
Midfielder82'
6.84
28
Yann Massombo
Yann Massombo Attacker
6.36
9
Marlon Mustapha
Marlon Mustapha
Attacker61'
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nicolas Wimmer
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90'
82'
Event
Rassa Rahmani → Sandro Ingolitsch
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Alexander Gorgon → Patrick Greil
6th Substitution
Event
Erik Kojzek → Jessic Ngankam
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Emmanuel Agyemang → Donis Avdijaj
4th Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Marlon Mustapha → Yann Massombo
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Ousmane Diawara → Srdjan Hrstic
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Moritz Oswald
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Moritz Oswald → Erkin Yalcin
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Nicolas Wimmer
Header / 2nd Goal
45+1'
38'
Event
Patrick Greil
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Donis Avdijaj
Goal disallowed
24'
Event
Jessic Ngankam
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
18'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Wolfsberger AC exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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