PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
MAC³PARK Stadion Sat, 21 Mar - 8:00 PM
Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle PEC
2 Winner 1
NAC Breda NAC
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 8:00 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Thijs Oosting - 22'
Odysseus Velanas - 24'
Goal
|
Goal
Mohamed Nassoh - 67'

CONTEXT

The match has concluded with PEC Zwolle defeating NAC Breda 2-1. PEC Zwolle established a commanding 2-0 advantage by halftime, which proved sufficient to claim the home victory. Pre-match betting markets favored the stronger home side, giving them a 41.6% implied win probability, compared to 30.4% for NAC Breda and 27.9% for a draw. Because of this, the final outcome was market aligned, though the result still represented a significant deviation for PEC Zwolle against the broader baseline expectations. Despite taking the win, PEC Zwolle's underlying performance metrics paint a contrasting picture. NAC Breda dictated the flow of the match, holding 57% possession while restricting the hosts to 43%. The visitors also created the more dangerous chances, accumulating 1.35 expected goals (xG) compared to just 0.84 xG for Zwolle. Consequently, the final result was not consistent with the expected goals data. Match efficiency shifts remained in line with standard expectations, highlighting that the hosts simply capitalized better on fewer opportunities. Furthermore, the match featured no red cards for either squad, ensuring the outcome was decided in an even 11-on-11 setting where NAC Breda ultimately failed to convert their statistical superiority into points.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: PEC Zwolle showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
PEC Zwolle Henry van der Vegt
Henry van der Vegt
VS
NAC Breda C. Hoefkens
C. Hoefkens
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.76
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Groningen Rank: 63 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 66 D
Ajax Rank: 76 D
FC Utrecht Rank: 72 D
SC Heerenveen Rank: 70 L
FC Volendam Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 64 L
Feyenoord Rank: 74 D
Telstar Rank: 62 L
FC Volendam Rank: 59 W
Heracles Almelo Rank: 58 W
Excelsior Rank: 59 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home PEC Zwolle
41.63%
Draw
27.93%
Away NAC Breda
30.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.72
54.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
Power Score
64.72
54.53
League Position
12
17
Global Rank
334
644

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
PEC Zwolle — Opponent-weighted form score
NAC Breda — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) PEC Zwolle NAC Breda

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

PEC Zwolle

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

NAC Breda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

PEC Zwolle ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NAC Breda
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.33
40.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.61
22.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
PEC Zwolle -1.98 Efficiency Index
vs
NAC Breda +1.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

PEC Zwolle
vs
NAC Breda
Created Set-piece attacking threat
PEC Zwolle NAC Breda
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
PEC Zwolle NAC Breda
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

PEC Zwolle PEC Home
13 matches
NAC Breda NAC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
18
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:23:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. de Graaff
Netherlands
16 T. de Graaff
T. Gooijer
Netherlands
6 T. Gooijer
T. Velthuis
Netherlands
5 T. Velthuis
A. McNulty
Republic of Ireland
4 A. McNulty
S. Floranus
Substitution
Curaçao
2 S. Floranus
R. Thomas
Substitution
New Zealand
30 (C) R. Thomas
Z. Buurmeester
Netherlands
8 Z. Buurmeester
Y. Namli
Denmark
9 Y. Namli
T. Oosting
Substitution
Netherlands
25 T. Oosting
O. Velanas
Substitution
Netherlands
18 O. Velanas
K. Kostons
Netherlands
10 K. Kostons
D. Bielica
Poland
99 D. Bielica
B. Kemper
Netherlands
4 (C) B. Kemper
R. Hillen
Substitution
Netherlands
22 R. Hillen
F. Oldrup Jensen
Norway
20 F. Oldrup Jensen
D. Odoi
Ghana
3 D. Odoi
C. Leemans
Netherlands
8 C. Leemans
M. Balard
Substitution
Australia
16 M. Balard
M. Nassoh
Netherlands
10 M. Nassoh
R. Paula
Substitution
Germany
11 R. Paula
C. Brym
Substitution
Canada
7 C. Brym
S. Salama
Substitution
France
19 S. Salama

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion
Capacity
14000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erwin Blank
Yorick Weterings
Rob van de Ven
Joshua Kuipers

Statistics

Possession
PEC
44%
NAC
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 6
32 Dangerous attacks 63
43 Possession 57
2 Corners 5
14 Free kicks 20
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

14 Throwins 23
14 Dribble Attempts 21
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
1 Assists 1
9 Goal Kicks 5
25 Successful Headers 18
10 Successful Dribbles 11
4 Substitutions 5
71 Ball Safe 63
3 Goal Attempts 13

Attacking

88 Attacks 119

Possession

73 Successful Passes Percentage 80
361 Passes 448
263 Successful Passes 360
70 Long Passes 67
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
25 Successful Long Passes 32
7 Key Passes 15

Defensive

24 Tackles 8
5 Saves 0
8 Interceptions 11

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 33
5 Accurate Crosses 12

Discipline

20 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Erwin Blank

Starting XI ▼

16
Tom de Graaff
Tom de Graaff Goalkeeper
7
2
Sherel Floranus
Sherel Floranus Defender
6.74
33
Damian van der Haar
Damian van der Haar
Defender87'
4
Anselmo García MacNulty
Anselmo García MacNulty Defender
6.91
5
Tijs Velthuis
Tijs Velthuis Defender
6.61
6
Tristan Gooijer
Tristan Gooijer Defender
6.97
8
Zico Buurmeester
Zico Buurmeester Midfielder
6.52
9
Younes Namli
Younes Namli Midfielder
6.97
18
Odysseus Velanas
Odysseus Velanas Midfielder
8.81
22
Kaj de Rooij
Kaj de Rooij
Attacker58'
6.3
25
Thijs Oosting
Thijs Oosting Midfielder
6.98
3
Olivier Aertssen
Olivier Aertssen
Defender79'
6.51
30
Ryan Thomas
Ryan Thomas (C) Midfielder
7.25
34
Nick Fichtinger
Nick Fichtinger
Midfielder58'
6.55
10
Koen Kostons
Koen Kostons Attacker
6.87
Referee : Erwin Blank

Starting XI ▼

99
Daniel Bielica
Daniel Bielica Goalkeeper
6.09
3
Denis Odoi
Denis Odoi Defender
6.98
4
Boy Kemper
Boy Kemper (C) Defender
6.78
20
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen Defender
6.59
22
Rio Hillen
Rio Hillen Defender
6.98
26
Pepijn Reulen
Pepijn Reulen
Attacker81'
6.59
7
Charles-Andreas Brym
Charles-Andreas Brym Midfielder
6.38
32
Juho Talvitie
Juho Talvitie
Attacker68'
7.05
8
Clint Leemans
Clint Leemans Midfielder
6.99
10
Mohamed Nassoh
Mohamed Nassoh Midfielder
7.37
11
Raul Paula
Raul Paula Midfielder
6.67
55
Brahim Ghalidi
Brahim Ghalidi
Attacker68'
7.16
16
Max Balard
Max Balard Midfielder
6.38
15
Enes Mahmutovic
Enes Mahmutovic
Defender87'
6.44
19
Amine Salama
Amine Salama Attacker
6.7
24
André Ayew
André Ayew
Attacker68'
6.92

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Damian van der Haar → Sherel Floranus
8th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Enes Mahmutovic → Max Balard
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Pepijn Reulen → Rio Hillen
7th Substitution
Event
Olivier Aertssen → Thijs Oosting
6th Substitution
79'
68'
Event
André Ayew → Amine Salama
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Brahim Ghalidi → Raul Paula
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Juho Talvitie → Charles-Andreas Brym
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Mohamed Nassoh
Header / 3rd Goal
62'
Event
Denis Odoi
Persistent fouling / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Nick Fichtinger
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Kaj de Rooij → Odysseus Velanas
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Nick Fichtinger → Ryan Thomas
1st Substitution
58'
1ST-HALF
Event
Tristan Gooijer
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
Event
Odysseus Velanas
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
Event
Thijs Oosting
Header / 1st Goal
22'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: PEC Zwolle 2, NAC Breda 1.
90
Update Update
Tristan Gooijer from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
90
Update Update
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as André Ayew from NAC Breda heads the ball from the center of the box, but it’s expertly stopped by goalkeeper Tom de Graaff of PEC Zwolle, who is positioned centrally. The assist comes from Mohamed Nassoh, who delivered a precise cross.
90
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Enes Mahmutovic from NAC Breda attempted a header from the center of the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar. The assist came from Juho Talvitie, who delivered a well-placed cross.
90
Update Update
Brahim Ghalidi from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. André Ayew of NAC Breda attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed high and to the left. The cross was delivered by Brahim Ghalidi.
89
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle commits a handball.
89
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Brahim Ghalidi from NAC Breda took a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Boy Kemper, who set him up with a header.
88
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Damian van der Haar replaces Sherel Floranus.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Enes Mahmutovic comes on to replace Max Balard.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after a foul by Koen Kostons.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after a play that resulted in a deflection off Tristan Gooijer.
86
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Pepijn Reulen from NAC Breda attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
86
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Clint Leemans from NAC Breda takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
85
Update Update
Boy Kemper from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
85
Update Update
Olivier Aertssen from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
84
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
84
Update Update
Fouled by Fredrik Oldrup Jensen of NAC Breda.
82
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Mohamed Nassoh from NAC Breda fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets intercepted. The assist came from Pepijn Reulen.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Pepijn Reulen comes on to replace Rio Hillen.
81
Update Update
Fouled by Fredrik Oldrup Jensen of NAC Breda.
81
Update Update
Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after a play that resulted in a foul by Tom de Graaff.
80
Corner Corner
A new offensive play is underway. Mohamed Nassoh of NAC Breda takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Tom de Graaff of PEC Zwolle makes a save in the right corner. The assist came from Rio Hillen.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Olivier Aertssen comes on to replace Thijs Oosting.
77
Update Update
Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
77
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! André Ayew from NAC Breda attempted a header from close range but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Denis Odoi, who delivered a well-placed cross.
77
Update Update
Brahim Ghalidi from NAC Breda earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
75
Update Update
Offside call against NAC Breda. André Ayew has been caught offside.
73
Update Update
Sherel Floranus from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
73
Update Update
André Ayew from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
71
Update Update
Sherel Floranus from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
71
Update Update
Juho Talvitie from NAC Breda committed a foul.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Brahim Ghalidi comes on to replace Raul Paula.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: Juho Talvitie replaces Charles-Andreas Brym.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for NAC Breda: André Ayew comes on to replace Amine Salama.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! PEC Zwolle takes the lead with a score of 2-1 against NAC Breda. Mohamed Nassoh scores for NAC Breda, heading the ball from the center of the box into the top right corner of the net. The assist came from Raul Paula, who delivered a precise cross.
66
Update Update
Boy Kemper from NAC Breda committed a handball foul.
64
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Thijs Oosting.
63
Update Update
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
63
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
62
Update Update
Kaj de Rooij from PEC Zwolle earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
62
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda committed a foul.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda has been shown a yellow card.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nick Fichtinger from PEC Zwolle has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
60
Update Update
Nick Fichtinger from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Clint Leemans from NAC Breda has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
58
Update Update
Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda committed a handball foul.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Nick Fichtinger comes on to replace Odysseus Velanas.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Nick Fichtinger replaces Ryan Thomas.
55
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Kemper from NAC Breda took a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it sailed high and wide to the left. The assist came from Raul Paula during a quick counterattack.
53
Update Update
Clint Leemans from NAC Breda has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
53
Update Update
Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
53
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Tristan Gooijer of PEC Zwolle heads the ball from close range, but it's blocked. The assist came from Odysseus Velanas, who delivered a cross.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after Fredrik Oldrup Jensen allowed the ball to go out.
52
Update Update
Odysseus Velanas of PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after Fredrik Oldrup Jensen allowed the ball to go out.
51
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda committed a foul.
51
Update Update
Odysseus Velanas of PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
50
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda committed a foul.
50
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Clint Leemans from NAC Breda attempted a header from the center of the box, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Rio Hillen, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after a foul by Tom de Graaff.
49
Corner Corner
Another offensive push! Amine Salama from NAC Breda takes a long-range shot with his left foot, aiming to the right side, but Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a fantastic save, reaching up to the top left corner. The assist came from Denis Odoi.
47
Update Update
Ryan Thomas from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
46
Update Update
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda earned a free kick in the defensive area.
46
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with PEC Zwolle leading NAC Breda 2-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with PEC Zwolle leading NAC Breda 2-0.
41
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push unfolds as Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Tom de Graaff from PEC Zwolle makes a great save, diving to his right. The assist came from Amine Salama.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tristan Gooijer of PEC Zwolle has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
39
Update Update
Tristan Gooijer from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
39
Update Update
Mohamed Nassoh from NAC Breda earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
37
Update Update
Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda committed a foul.
37
Update Update
Zico Buurmeester from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
37
Update Update
Charles-Andreas Brym of NAC Breda earned a free kick in an offensive position.
37
Update Update
Odysseus Velanas of PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
36
Update Update
Raul Paula from NAC Breda has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
36
Update Update
Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
36
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Clint Leemans from NAC Breda takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
35
Update Update
Fouled by Boy Kemper of NAC Breda.
35
Update Update
Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Update Update
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
33
Update Update
Rio Hillen from NAC Breda has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
33
Update Update
Thijs Oosting from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to PEC Zwolle after Rio Hillen allowed the ball to go out.
30
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
30
Update Update
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
29
Update Update
Offside call against NAC Breda. Fredrik Oldrup Jensen has been flagged for being offside.
28
Update Update
Boy Kemper from NAC Breda earned a free kick in an offensive position.
28
Update Update
Ryan Thomas from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
27
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Raul Paula from NAC Breda took a shot with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Mohamed Nassoh.
24
Update Update
Tristan Gooijer from PEC Zwolle earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
24
Update Update
Raul Paula from NAC Breda committed a foul.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! PEC Zwolle leads NAC Breda 2-0. Odysseus Velanas scores for PEC Zwolle with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending the ball straight into the middle of the goal.
24
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Anselmo MacNulty of PEC Zwolle fired a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The setup for the shot came from Younes Namli, who delivered a cross.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! PEC Zwolle takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against NAC Breda. Thijs Oosting scores with a header from the center of the box, directing it into the left corner of the net. The assist came from Odysseus Velanas, who delivered a perfect cross.
19
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Younes Namli from PEC Zwolle attempts a left-footed strike from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Odysseus Velanas.
18
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Clint Leemans from NAC Breda takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it’s expertly saved in the top right corner. The assist came from Charles-Andreas Brym.
17
Update Update
The pause has ended, and they are set to resume play.
17
Update Update
Match interruption - PEC Zwolle.
12
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Fredrik Oldrup Jensen from NAC Breda heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but his shot is blocked. The assist came from Clint Leemans, who delivered a cross.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to NAC Breda after Ryan Thomas allowed the ball to go out.
10
Update Update
Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Update Update
Anselmo MacNulty from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Anselmo MacNulty from PEC Zwolle committed a foul.
9
Update Update
Fouled by Max Balard of NAC Breda.
9
Update Update
Koen Kostons from PEC Zwolle earned a free kick in the defensive area.
7
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area but failed to convert.
6
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Younes Namli of PEC Zwolle attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
4
Update Update
Anselmo MacNulty from PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
4
Update Update
Charles-Andreas Brym from NAC Breda committed a foul.
3
Update Update
Denis Odoi from NAC Breda committed a foul.
3
Update Update
Odysseus Velanas of PEC Zwolle has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: PEC Zwolle exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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