Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Fri, 20 Mar - 5:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
3 Winner 1
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Full Time Fri, 20 Mar 5:00 PM
Round 26 Regular Season
Jorge Félix - 7'
Ema Twumasi - 63'
Leandro Sanca - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Rafal Wolski - 61'

CONTEXT

The match between Piast Gliwice and Radomiak Radom has finished, with Piast Gliwice securing a 2-1 full-time victory. The home side established an early advantage, leading 1-0 at half-time, before doing enough in the second half to claim all three points. Pre-match expectations correctly favored the hosts. Piast Gliwice entered the contest with a 42.7% implied win probability, while Radomiak Radom sat at 29%, alongside a 28.3% likelihood of a draw. Because the stronger team won, the final outcome completely aligned with the pre-match market. However, achieving this result still required a significant deviation effort from Piast Gliwice, who registered a 57.3% deviation score to secure the victory. Despite the defeat, Radomiak Radom actually dictated much of the play, holding 55% of the possession compared to Piast Gliwice's 45%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, meaning alignment with underlying chance creation cannot be accurately assessed. Nevertheless, the match's efficiency shift was firmly in line with standard parameters. Finally, the fixture was contested smoothly, with no red cards issued to artificially impact the tactical landscape.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Piast Gliwice showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Piast Gliwice D. Myśliwiec
D. Myśliwiec
VS
Radomiak Radom F. Ramírez González
F. Ramírez González
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 64 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 62 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 61 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa Rank: 63 D
Katowice Rank: 62 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 W
Nieciecza Rank: 52 D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 D
Korona Kielce Rank: 62 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 5 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Piast Gliwice
42.67%
Draw
28.33%
Away Radomiak Radom
29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.38
59.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Power Score
62.38
59.87
League Position
11
14
Global Rank
410
490

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score
Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Piast Gliwice Radomiak Radom

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Piast Gliwice

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Radomiak Radom

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Radomiak Radom
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
54.11
16.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.09
54.11
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Piast Gliwice +3.58 Efficiency Index
vs
Radomiak Radom -3.58 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Radomiak Radom
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Piast Gliwice Radomiak Radom
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Piast Gliwice Radomiak Radom
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Home
9 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
5
Draws
5
3
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:20:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
K. Szymanski
Poland
33 K. Szymanski
E. Twumasi
Ghana
55 E. Twumasi
J. Czerwiński
Poland
4 (C) J. Czerwiński
I. Drapiński
Poland
29 I. Drapiński
E. Fikaj
Substitution
Albania
3 E. Fikaj
P. Dziczek
Poland
10 P. Dziczek
G. Tomasiewicz
Poland
20 G. Tomasiewicz
J. Eyenga-Lokilo
Substitution
DR Congo
98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo
J. Muñoz García
Substitution
Spain
7 J. Muñoz García
H. Vallejo Avilés
Spain
80 H. Vallejo Avilés
G. Barkovskiy
Belarus
63 G. Barkovskiy
F. Majchrowicz
Poland
1 F. Majchrowicz
J. Wilson-Esbrand
Substitution
England
3 J. Wilson-Esbrand
A. Diéguez Grande
Spain
26 A. Diéguez Grande
S. Kingue
Cameroon
14 S. Kingue
Z. Ouattara
Ivory Coast
24 Z. Ouattara
M. Kaput
Substitution
Poland
28 M. Kaput
E. Baldé
Substitution
Portugal
21 E. Baldé
C. Donis
Greece
77 C. Donis
R. Wolski
Substitution
Poland
27 (C) R. Wolski
L. Lima Linhares
Brazil
82 L. Lima Linhares
M. Roque Junior
Substitution
Brazil
25 M. Roque Junior

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
15139
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Bartosz Frankowski
Bartosz Kaszyński
Paweł Wrzeszczyński

Statistics

Possession
Piast Gliwice
48%
Radomiak Radom
52%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
20 Shots 6
87 Dangerous attacks 57
45 Possession 55
5 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 7
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

16 Throwins 23
5 Successful Dribbles 9
2 Assists 0
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
6 Goal Kicks 9
10 Dribble Attempts 15
1 Penalties 0
3 Substitutions 5
75 Ball Safe 94
13 Goal Attempts 4

Attacking

90 Attacks 88
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

66 Long Passes 57
25 Successful Long Passes 25
76 Successful Passes Percentage 80
279 Successful Passes 365
367 Passes 455
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
13 Key Passes 3

Defensive

12 Tackles 16
10 Interceptions 12
1 Saves 6

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 15
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

5 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Bartosz Frankowski

Starting XI ▼

33
Karol Szymanski
Karol Szymanski Goalkeeper
6.49
3
Elton Fikaj
Elton Fikaj Defender
6.64
28
Filip Borowski
Filip Borowski
Defender80'
6.43
4
Jakub Czerwinski
Jakub Czerwinski (C) Defender
6.62
29
Igor Drapinski
Igor Drapinski Defender
6.99
55
Ema Twumasi
Ema Twumasi Defender
6.91
7
Jorge Félix
Jorge Félix Midfielder
8.22
11
Leandro Sanca
Leandro Sanca
Midfielder72'
7.29
10
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Midfielder
7.15
20
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Midfielder
6.81
80
Hugo Vallejo
Hugo Vallejo Midfielder
7.2
98
Jason Lokilo
Jason Lokilo Midfielder
7.45
31
Oskar Lesniak
Oskar Lesniak
Midfielder66'
6.77
63
German Barkovskiy
German Barkovskiy Attacker
6.25
Referee : Bartosz Frankowski

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Majchrowicz
Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper
7.8
3
Josh Wilson-Esbrand
Josh Wilson-Esbrand Defender
6.44
13
Jan Grzesik
Jan Grzesik
Defender46'
6.5
14
Steve Kingue
Steve Kingue Defender
6.11
24
Zié Ouattara
Zié Ouattara Defender
5.72
26
Adrián Diéguez
Adrián Diéguez Defender
6.12
21
Elves Baldé
Elves Baldé Midfielder
6.57
19
Salifou Soumah
Salifou Soumah
Attacker59'
6.52
27
Rafal Wolski
Rafal Wolski (C) Midfielder
7.41
6
Romário Baró
Romário Baró
Midfielder78'
6.45
28
Michal Kaput
Michal Kaput Midfielder
6.8
7
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Attacker46'
7.02
77
Christos Donis
Christos Donis Midfielder
6.94
82
Luquinhas
Luquinhas Midfielder
6.2
25
Maurides Roque Junior
Maurides Roque Junior Attacker
6.66
15
Abdoul Tapsoba
Abdoul Tapsoba
Attacker74'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jakub Czerwinski
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Leandro Sanca
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
89'
Event
Filip Borowski → Elton Fikaj
8th Substitution
80'
78'
Event
Romário Baró → Rafal Wolski
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Abdoul Tapsoba → Maurides Roque Junior
6th Substitution
Event
Leandro Sanca → Jorge Félix
5th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Zié Ouattara
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Oskar Lesniak → Jason Lokilo
4th Substitution
66'
65'
Event
Luquinhas
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Ema Twumasi
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
63'
61'
Event
Rafal Wolski
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
59'
Event
Salifou Soumah → Elves Baldé
3rd Substitution
Event
Jason Lokilo
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
54'
Event
German Barkovskiy
GoalkeeperSave
52'
51'
Event
Steve Kingue
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
German Barkovskiy
Penalty awarded
50'
46'
Event
Jan Grzesik → Josh Wilson-Esbrand
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes → Michal Kaput
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ema Twumasi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
Event
Jorge Félix
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
7'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Piast Gliwice exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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