Oleksandria vs Dynamo Kyiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Thu, 19 Mar - 11:00 AM
Premier League
Oleksandria Oleksandria
0 Winner 5
Dynamo Kyiv DYN
Full Time Thu, 19 Mar 11:00 AM
|
Goal
Andriy Yarmolenko - 4'
Oleksandr Yatsyk - 20'
Nazar Voloshyn - 68'
Bogdan Redushko - 72'
Matviy Ponomarenko - 83'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Oleksandria 0–5 Dynamo Kyiv. The result saw Dynamo Kyiv take the points. Dynamo Kyiv showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Dynamo Kyiv showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: Oleksandria 12.7% | Draw 20.5% | Dynamo Kyiv 66.8%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Oleksandria K. Nesterenko
K. Nesterenko
VS
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 56 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 72 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 47 L
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 43 D
Kudrivka Rank: 43 D
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 55 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 43 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 60 W
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 44 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 45 W
Veres Rank: 46 W
Kudrivka Rank: 43 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 6 - 21
21

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Oleksandria
12.69%
Draw
20.52%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
66.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
45.94
66.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
45.94
66.33
League Position
15
4
Global Rank
852
259

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oleksandria Dynamo Kyiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Oleksandria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Oleksandria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
6.84
24.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.22
6.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Oleksandria -1.69 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Kyiv +1.69 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Oleksandria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Oleksandria Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Oleksandria Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 28 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Oleksandria Oleksandria Home
28 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
21
6
Draws
6
21
Losses
1
Goals
18
Goals Scored
69
69
Goals Conceded
18
-51
Goal Difference
+51
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-20T00:03:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
N. Makarenko
72 N. Makarenko
D. Vashchenko
Ukraine
20 D. Vashchenko
M. Ferreira Campos
Portugal
26 M. Ferreira Campos
J. Behiratche
Ivory Coast
50 J. Behiratche
M. Ogarkov
Substitution
Ukraine
23 M. Ogarkov
F. do Nascimento Pereira
Substitution
Brazil
5 F. do Nascimento Pereira
P. Yade
Substitution
Senegal
37 P. Yade
D. Myshnov
Ukraine
9 D. Myshnov
D. Shostak
Substitution
Ukraine
71 D. Shostak
T. Cara
Albania
27 T. Cara
M. Rodrigues Teixeira
Substitution
Portugal
67 M. Rodrigues Teixeira
R. Neshcheret
Ukraine
35 R. Neshcheret
K. Vivcharenko
Ukraine
2 K. Vivcharenko
V. Zakharchenko
Ukraine
34 V. Zakharchenko
D. Popov
Ukraine
4 D. Popov
O. Tymchyk
Substitution
Ukraine
18 O. Tymchyk
V. Brazhko
Substitution
Ukraine
6 V. Brazhko
B. Redushko
70 B. Redushko
O. Yatsyk
Substitution
Ukraine
5 O. Yatsyk
M. Shaparenko
Substitution
Ukraine
10 M. Shaparenko
A. Yarmolenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 A. Yarmolenko
M. Ponomarenko
Ukraine
11 M. Ponomarenko

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 19, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
KSK Nika
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Oleksandr Shandor
Denys Marchenko
Denis Reznikov
Stanislav Marulin

Statistics

Possession
Oleksandria
43%
DYN
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 5
1 Shots 1
27 Dangerous attacks 47
49 Possession 51
6 Corners 3
8 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Goal Kicks 7
0 Assists 3
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

75 Attacks 93

Defensive

4 Saves 1

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Oleksandr Shandor

Starting XI ▼

72
Nazar Makarenko
Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
23
Mykola Ogarkov
Mykola Ogarkov Defender
17
Artur Andreichyk
Artur Andreichyk
Defender84'
26
Miguel Campos
Miguel Campos Defender
50
Jocelin Behiratche
Jocelin Behiratche Defender
5
Fernando Henrique
Fernando Henrique Midfielder
91
Bogdan Butko
Bogdan Butko
Defender79'
9
Dmytro Myshnyov
Dmytro Myshnyov Midfielder
20
Daniil Vashchenko
Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
27
Tedi Cara
Tedi Cara Midfielder
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Papa Ndiaga Yade Midfielder
44
Jhonnatan Silva
Jhonnatan Silva
Midfielder79'
67
Mauro Rodrigues
Mauro Rodrigues Midfielder
40
Dmytro Chernysh
Dmytro Chernysh
Midfielder79'
71
Denys Shostak
Denys Shostak Midfielder
49
Mateus Amaral
Mateus Amaral
Attacker54'
Referee : Oleksandr Shandor

Starting XI ▼

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
2
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko
Kostyantyn Vivcharenko Defender
4
Denys Popov
Denys Popov Defender
18
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Oleksandr Tymchyk Defender
20
Oleksandr Karavaev
Oleksandr Karavaev
Defender81'
34
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
Vladyslav Zakharchenko Defender
5
Oleksandr Yatsyk
Oleksandr Yatsyk Midfielder
91
Mykola Mykhaylenko
Mykola Mykhaylenko
Midfielder61'
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Midfielder76'
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko Midfielder
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn
Midfielder61'
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Midfielder61'
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Artur Andreichyk → Mykola Ogarkov
10th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Matviy Ponomarenko
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
81'
Event
Oleksandr Karavaev → Oleksandr Tymchyk
9th Substitution
Event
Bogdan Butko → Fernando Henrique
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Dmytro Chernysh → Mauro Rodrigues
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Jhonnatan Silva → Papa Ndiaga Yade
8th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Vitaliy Buyalskyi   → Volodymyr Brazhko 
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Bogdan Redushko
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
68'
Event
Nazar Voloshyn
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
61'
Event
Mykola Mykhaylenko → Oleksandr Yatsyk
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Nazar Voloshyn → Andriy Yarmolenko
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok → Mykola Shaparenko
3rd Substitution
Event
Mateus Amaral → Denys Shostak
1st Substitution
54'
47'
Event
Vladyslav Zakharchenko
3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Jocelin Behiratche
2nd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Denys Shostak
1st Yellowcard
37'
20'
Event
Oleksandr Yatsyk
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
4'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Dynamo Kyiv exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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