Kudrivka vs Polissya Zhytomyr Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Wed, 18 Mar - 4:00 PM
Premier League
Kudrivka Kudrivka
0 Winner 2
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
Full Time Wed, 18 Mar 4:00 PM
|
Goal
Oleksiy Gutsulyak - 18', 24'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kudrivka 0–2 Polissya Zhytomyr. The result saw Polissya Zhytomyr take the points. Polissya Zhytomyr showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 37%–63%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Polissya Zhytomyr showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: Kudrivka 10.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 22.2% (Δ+0%) | Polissya Zhytomyr 67.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
VS
Polissya Zhytomyr R. Rotan
R. Rotan
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.2
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: 46 D
Karpaty Rank: 49 D
SK Poltava Rank: 37 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 53 D
Oleksandria Rank: 47 D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 56 W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 51 W
Karpaty Rank: 50 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 45 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kudrivka
10.27%
Draw
22.2%
Away Polissya Zhytomyr
67.53%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
42.31
60.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kudrivka
Polissya Zhytomyr
Power Score
42.31
60.8
League Position
11
3
Global Rank
916
426

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Kudrivka Opponent-weighted form score
Polissya Zhytomyr Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kudrivka Polissya Zhytomyr

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
6.62
16.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.83
6.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kudrivka -0.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr +0.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Polissya Zhytomyr
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kudrivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kudrivka Polissya Zhytomyr
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kudrivka Polissya Zhytomyr
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kudrivka
Polissya Zhytomyr
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kudrivka Kudrivka Home
1 matches
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-19T00:03:00+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
A. Yashkov
Ukraine
37 A. Yashkov
O. Gusev
Ukraine
30 O. Gusev
B. Veklyak
Ukraine
22 B. Veklyak
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Substitution
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
A. Machelyuk
Ukraine
39 A. Machelyuk
A. Dumanyuk
Ukraine
19 A. Dumanyuk
O. Kozak
Substitution
Ukraine
10 O. Kozak
D. Nagnoynyi
Substitution
Ukraine
29 D. Nagnoynyi
O. Belyaev
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Belyaev
E. Morozko
Ukraine
33 E. Morozko
A. Taipi
Macedonia
9 A. Taipi
E. Volynets
Ukraine
23 E. Volynets
B. Krushynskyi
Ukraine
55 B. Krushynskyi
E. Sarapiy
Ukraine
5 E. Sarapiy
S. Chobotenko
Ukraine
44 S. Chobotenko
B. Mykhaylichenko
Ukraine
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
R. Babenko
Substitution
Ukraine
8 R. Babenko
M. Bragaru
Substitution
Ukraine
45 M. Bragaru
O. Fedor
Substitution
Ukraine
27 O. Fedor
L. Emërllahu
Kosovo
14 L. Emërllahu
O. Hutsuliak
Ukraine
11 O. Hutsuliak
M. Gayduchyk
Substitution
Ukraine
89 M. Gayduchyk

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 18, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Obolon' Arena
Capacity
5100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Statistics

Possession
Kudrivka
35%
Polissya Zhytomyr
65%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Shots 6
9 Dangerous attacks 52
37 Possession 63
1 Corners 7
6 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

12 Goal Kicks 5
0 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

35 Attacks 53

Discipline

10 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Starting XI

37
Anton Yashkov
Anton Yashkov Goalkeeper
22
Bogdan Veklyak
Bogdan Veklyak Defender
30
Oleksiy Gusev
Oleksiy Gusev Defender
39
Artem Machelyuk
Artem Machelyuk Defender
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
17
Myroslav Serdyuk
Myroslav Serdyuk
Defender76'
7
Oleksandr Belyaev
Oleksandr Belyaev Midfielder
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker46'
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
27
Oleg Pushkaryov
Oleg Pushkaryov
Midfielder69'
19
Artur Dumanyuk
Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
29
Denys Nagnoynyi
Denys Nagnoynyi Midfielder
16
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso
Midfielder38'
33
Yevgeniy Morozko
Yevgeniy Morozko Midfielder
9
Alban Taipi
Alban Taipi Attacker

Starting XI

23
Yevgen Volynets
Yevgen Volynets Goalkeeper
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy Defender
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
44
Sergiy Chobotenko
Sergiy Chobotenko Defender
8
Ruslan Babenko
Ruslan Babenko Midfielder
16
Ilir Krasniqi
Ilir Krasniqi
Defender70'
11
Oleksiy Gutsulyak
Oleksiy Gutsulyak Midfielder
2
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
27
Oleg Fedor
Oleg Fedor Midfielder
7
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Midfielder60'
45
Maksym Bragaru
Maksym Bragaru Midfielder
9
Oleksandr Filippov
Oleksandr Filippov
Attacker82'
55
Borys Krushynskyi
Borys Krushynskyi Midfielder
89
Mykola Gayduchyk
Mykola Gayduchyk Attacker
95
Igor Krasnopir
Igor Krasnopir
Attacker70'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Artur Dumanyuk
1st Yellowcard
85'
82'
Event
Oleksandr Filippov Maksym Bragaru
10th Substitution
Event
Myroslav Serdyuk Jair Collahuazo
9th Substitution
76'
70'
Event
Igor Krasnopir Mykola Gayduchyk
8th Substitution
70'
Event
Ilir Krasniqi Ruslan Babenko
7th Substitution
Event
Oleg Pushkaryov Oleksandr Kozak
5th Substitution
69'
Event
6th Substitution
69'
69'
Event
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Oleksandr Nazarenko Oleg Fedor
3rd Substitution
Event
Artem Liehostaiev Oleksandr Belyaev
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Kaya Makosso Denys Nagnoynyi
1st Substitution
38'
24'
Event
Oleksiy Gutsulyak
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
18'
Event
Oleksiy Gutsulyak
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Polissya Zhytomyr exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.