Silkeborg IF vs Vejle Boldklub Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
JYSK park Mon, 16 Mar - 6:00 PM
Superliga
Silkeborg IF SIL
1 – 1
Vejle Boldklub Vejle Boldklub
Full Time Mon, 16 Mar 6:00 PM
Tonni Adamsen - 79'
Goal
|
Goal
T. Bach - 7'

CONTEXT

The match between Silkeborg IF and Vejle Boldklub has finished, resulting in a 1-0 full-time victory for Silkeborg. Oddly, match data indicates Vejle Boldklub held a 1-0 advantage at half-time, yet Silkeborg IF ultimately emerged as the overall winner by the final whistle. Pre-match market expectations leaned toward the home side, giving Silkeborg IF a 39.8% implied win probability, while a draw sat at 26.9%

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Silkeborg IF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Kehlet
J. Kehlet
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
D. Cortzen
D. Cortzen
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
L. Graagaard
L. Graagaard
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
L. Hummelgaard
L. Hummelgaard
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.43
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.29
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
Silkeborg IF K. Nielsen
K. Nielsen
VS
Vejle Boldklub C. Nørgaard
C. Nørgaard
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.64
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredericia Rank: 51 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 L
Viborg FF Rank: 63 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 65 L
Randers FC Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 70 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 65 D
Randers FC Rank: 62 L
Fredericia Rank: 51 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 66 W
Odense BK Rank: 57 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 3 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Silkeborg IF
39.76%
Draw
26.88%
Away Vejle Boldklub
33.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.87
49.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Silkeborg IF
Vejle Boldklub
Power Score
55.87
49.71
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
581
740

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Silkeborg IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Vejle Boldklub — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Silkeborg IF Vejle Boldklub

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Silkeborg IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vejle Boldklub

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Silkeborg IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vejle Boldklub
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.88
41.03
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.03
37.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Silkeborg IF -0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Vejle Boldklub +0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Silkeborg IF
Vejle Boldklub
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Silkeborg IF
vs
Vejle Boldklub
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Silkeborg IF Vejle Boldklub
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Silkeborg IF Vejle Boldklub
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Silkeborg IF
Vejle Boldklub
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Silkeborg IF SIL Home
13 matches
Vejle Boldklub Vejle Boldklub Away
Match Record
8
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
8
Goals
27
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
27
+14
Goal Difference
-14
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-17T12:54:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
N. Larsen
Denmark
1 (C) N. Larsen
J. Gammelby
Denmark
19 J. Gammelby
R. Østrøm
Norway
3 R. Østrøm
P. Machado Ganchas
Portugal
4 P. Machado Ganchas
A. Poulsen
Denmark
2 A. Poulsen
W. Kirk
Denmark
27 W. Kirk
A. Vikman
Substitution
Sweden
6 A. Vikman
V. Westh
Substitution
Denmark
7 V. Westh
S. Brix
Substitution
Denmark
14 S. Brix
T. Adamsen
Denmark
23 T. Adamsen
C. McCowatt
New Zealand
17 C. McCowatt
I. Vekič
Slovenia
1 I. Vekič
C. Sørensen
Denmark
3 C. Sørensen
V. Jensen
Denmark
5 V. Jensen
L. Ladegaard Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
4 (C) L. Ladegaard Nielsen
L. Flø Borregaard
Denmark
23 L. Flø Borregaard
M. Vestergård
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Vestergård
T. Gundelund
Denmark
2 T. Gundelund
T. Bach
Denmark
16 T. Bach
M. Enggård
Denmark
30 M. Enggård
C. Gammelgaard
Denmark
7 C. Gammelgaard
M. Duelund
Substitution
Denmark
10 M. Duelund

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 16, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Stadium
JYSK park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jakob Kehlet
Daniel Cortzen
Lasse Læbel Graagaard
Lars Hummelgaard

Statistics

Possession
SIL
63%
Vejle Boldklub
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 2
21 Shots 12
80 Dangerous attacks 39
66 Possession 34
7 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

25 Throwins 5
7 Successful Dribbles 6
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
0 Assists 1
92 Ball Safe 74
9 Goal Kicks 14
13 Dribble Attempts 12
11 Goal Attempts 7
3 Substitutions 3
1 Injuries 3

Attacking

137 Attacks 76
4 Big Chances Missed 1
1 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

90 Successful Passes Percentage 81
659 Successful Passes 291
733 Passes 359
45 Long Passes 72
24 Successful Long Passes 34
15 Key Passes 8
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

10 Tackles 15
6 Interceptions 5
3 Saves 7

Build-up

28 Total Crosses 20
7 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

6 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicolai Larsen
Nicolai Larsen (C) Goalkeeper
6.96
2
Andreas Poulsen
Andreas Poulsen Defender
7.73
3
Robin Østrøm
Robin Østrøm Defender
6.95
4
Pedro Ganchas
Pedro Ganchas Defender
7.5
19
Jens Martin Gammelby
Jens Martin Gammelby Defender
7.51
6
Adam Wikman
Adam Wikman Midfielder
6.93
20
Mads Larsen
Mads Larsen
Midfielder72'
6.75
7
Villads Westh
Villads Westh Midfielder
6.5
10
Younes Bakiz
Younes Bakiz
Midfielder46'
7.26
27
William Kirk
William Kirk Midfielder
6.98
14
Sofus Berger
Sofus Berger Attacker
6.95
11
Oliver Ross
Oliver Ross
Attacker72'
6.56
17
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Attacker
7.02
23
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Attacker
7.29
Referee : Jakob Kehlet

Starting XI ▼

1
Igor Vekic
Igor Vekic Goalkeeper
8.57
3
Christian Sørensen
Christian Sørensen Defender
6.87
4
Lasse Nielsen
Lasse Nielsen (C) Defender
6.39
17
Andrew Hjulsager
Andrew Hjulsager
Midfielder84'
6.76
5
Valdemar Lund
Valdemar Lund Defender
7.05
23
Lasse Flø
Lasse Flø Defender
7.52
2
Thomas Gundelund
Thomas Gundelund Midfielder
6.77
6
Mike Vestergård
Mike Vestergård Midfielder
6.71
36
Max Jensen
Max Jensen
Midfielder79'
6.43
7
Christian Gammelgaard
Christian Gammelgaard Midfielder
6.37
16
T. Bach
T. Bach Midfielder
7.25
30
Mads Enggård
Mads Enggård Midfielder
6.68
10
Mikkel Duelund
Mikkel Duelund Attacker
6.9
20
Abdoulaye Camara
Abdoulaye Camara
Attacker79'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Oliver Ross
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
84'
Event
Andrew Hjulsager → Lasse Nielsen
6th Substitution
Event
William Kirk
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
83'
Event
5th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Tonni Adamsen
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
79'
79'
Event
Abdoulaye Camara → Mikkel Duelund
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Max Jensen → Mike Vestergård
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Christian Sørensen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Mads Larsen → Adam Wikman
2nd Substitution
72'
Event
Oliver Ross → Sofus Berger
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Younes Bakiz → Villads Westh
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Christian Gammelgaard
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'
Event
T. Bach
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Silkeborg IF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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