Veres vs Kolos Kovalivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Avangard Sun, 22 Mar - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Veres Veres
0 Winner 1
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 1:30 PM
Round 21 Regular Season
|
Goal
Eduard Kozik - 83'

CONTEXT

The match between Veres and Kolos Kovalivka has officially finished, with the away side claiming a 1-0 victory at full-time. After a tightly contested first half that ended in a 0-0 deadlock, Kolos Kovalivka managed to find the sole breakthrough in the second period to secure the win. Pre-match expectations favored the visiting side, with Kolos Kovalivka holding a 43.5% implied probability of winning, compared to just 26.4% for Veres and 30.1% for a draw. Because the stronger team won, the final outcome was fully aligned with the pre-match market. However, the result still represented a significant deviation level of 56.5% for Kolos Kovalivka. On the pitch, ball possession was almost perfectly split, with Veres holding a marginal 51% of the ball compared to Kolos Kovalivka's 49%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the 1-0 outcome aligned with the underlying shot quality. Despite the lack of xG metrics, the teams' efficiency shifts were completely in line with expectations. Finally, the match proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither team received a red card to impact the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kolos Kovalivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Veres O. Shandruk
O. Shandruk
VS
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.07
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: 43 D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 54 L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 73 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 67 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 50 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 51 D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 42 L
Karpaty Rank: 52 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 73 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Veres
26.41%
Draw
30.07%
Away Kolos Kovalivka
43.52%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.23
52.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Veres
Kolos Kovalivka
Power Score
46.23
52.38
League Position
10
7
Global Rank
869
699

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Veres — Opponent-weighted form score
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Veres Kolos Kovalivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Veres

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Veres ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kolos Kovalivka
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.53
20.92
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.92
28.53
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Veres +0.74 Efficiency Index
vs
Kolos Kovalivka -0.74 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Veres
Kolos Kovalivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Veres ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kolos Kovalivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Veres Kolos Kovalivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Veres Kolos Kovalivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Veres
Kolos Kovalivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Veres Veres Home
9 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
2
Goals
3
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
3
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
V. Gorokh
Ukraine
91 V. Gorokh
K. Stamoulis
Greece
22 K. Stamoulis
K. Cipot
Slovenia
4 K. Cipot
R. Goncharenko
Ukraine
33 R. Goncharenko
S. Korniychuk
Substitution
Ukraine
5 S. Korniychuk
I. Kharatin
Ukraine
14 I. Kharatin
G. de Jesus Lima
Substitution
80 G. de Jesus Lima
V. Boyko
Ukraine
18 V. Boyko
F. Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira
Substitution
Brazil
7 F. Yan Peixoto Barros Limeira
V. Sharay
Substitution
Ukraine
77 V. Sharay
D. Ndukwe
Substitution
Ukraine
30 D. Ndukwe
I. Pakholyuk
Ukraine
31 I. Pakholyuk
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 (C) A. Tsurikov
M. Burda
Ukraine
6 M. Burda
E. Kozik
Ukraine
3 E. Kozik
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
T. Stepanenko
Substitution
Ukraine
27 T. Stepanenko
A. Salabay
Substitution
Ukraine
17 A. Salabay
O. Demchenko
Ukraine
7 O. Demchenko
N. Gagnidze
Substitution
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
H. Artem
Substitution
Ukraine
15 H. Artem
Y. Klymchuk
Substitution
Ukraine
70 Y. Klymchuk

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 21 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Avangard
Capacity
4500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Statistics

Possession
Veres
50%
Kolos Kovalivka
50%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
7 Shots 6
31 Dangerous attacks 25
51 Possession 49
10 Corners 4
6 Free kicks 5
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1
74 Successful Dribbles Percentage 80
27 Throwins 17
23 Dribble Attempts 5
17 Successful Dribbles 4
7 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

77 Attacks 60

Possession

16 Successful Long Passes 32
76 Successful Passes Percentage 78
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
305 Passes 320
41 Long Passes 57
232 Successful Passes 250

Defensive

4 Tackles 7
12 Interceptions 13
3 Saves 3

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 9
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Starting XI ▼

91
Valentyn Gorokh
Valentyn Gorokh Goalkeeper
6.6
4
K. Cipot
K. Cipot Defender
6.79
5
Sergiy Korniychuk
Sergiy Korniychuk Defender
6.74
2
Maksym Smiyan
Maksym Smiyan
Defender46'
6.23
22
Konstantinos Stamoulis
Konstantinos Stamoulis Defender
6.36
33
Roman Goncharenko
Roman Goncharenko Defender
6.71
7
Fabrício Yan
Fabrício Yan Midfielder
6.29
8
Dmytro Godya
Dmytro Godya
Midfielder46'
6.35
14
Igor Kharatin
Igor Kharatin Midfielder
7.07
18
Vitaliy Boyko
Vitaliy Boyko Midfielder
7.08
77
Vladyslav Sharay
Vladyslav Sharay Midfielder
7.13
19
André Gonçalves
André Gonçalves
Midfielder69'
6.6
80
Guilherme Bahia
Guilherme Bahia Midfielder
6.4
11
Wesley Pomba
Wesley Pomba
Midfielder52'
6.68
30
Denys Ndukve
Denys Ndukve Attacker
6.45
26
Sergey Sten
Sergey Sten
Attacker83'
6.43
Referee : Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Starting XI ▼

31
Ivan Pakholyuk
Ivan Pakholyuk Goalkeeper
7.4
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
8.02
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda Defender
7.27
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov (C) Defender
6.85
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
7.08
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
6.93
15
Artem Gusol
Artem Gusol Midfielder
7.09
19
Danyil Alefirenko
Danyil Alefirenko
Midfielder79'
6.67
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Midfielder
6.5
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane
Midfielder63'
6.92
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
6.51
10
Luka Stankovski
Luka Stankovski
Midfielder90+5'
27
Taras Stepanenko
Taras Stepanenko Midfielder
6.67
47
Daniil Denysenko
Daniil Denysenko
Midfielder63'
6.51
70
Yuriy Klymchuk
Yuriy Klymchuk Attacker
6.6
11
Ardit Tahiri
Ardit Tahiri
Attacker79'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Luka Stankovski → Nika Gagnidze
10th Substitution
Event
Sergey Sten → Denys Ndukve
9th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Eduard Kozik
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
79'
Event
Ardit Tahiri → Yuriy Klymchuk
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Danyil Alefirenko → Artem Gusol
7th Substitution
Event
6th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Dmytro Godya
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
André Gonçalves → Vladyslav Sharay
6th Substitution
69'
63'
Event
Ibrahim Kane → Anton Salabay
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Daniil Denysenko → Taras Stepanenko
4th Substitution
Event
Wesley Pomba → Guilherme Bahia
3rd Substitution
52'
47'
Event
Yuriy Klymchuk
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Maksym Smiyan → Sergiy Korniychuk
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Dmytro Godya → Fabrício Yan
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
6'
Event
Nika Gagnidze
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Sergiy Korniychuk
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Ruslan Kostyshyn
5th Yellowcard
5'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kolos Kovalivka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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