Krylya Sovetov vs Rubin Kazan Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sun, 22 Mar - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
0 – 0
Rubin Kazan RKA
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 1:30 PM
Round 22 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Krylya Sovetov and Rubin Kazan has officially concluded, ending in a goalless 0-0 draw at full-time. The teams were completely deadlocked throughout, having also entered the halftime break tied at zero. While Rubin Kazan was viewed as the stronger side, the stalemate represented a significant deviation for them, as they failed to secure an expected victory on the road. On the pitch, Rubin Kazan controlled a slight majority of the ball with 54% possession, leaving Krylya Sovetov to operate with the remaining 46%. Expected goals (xG) data was unfortunately not available for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the scoreless outcome was strictly consistent with the underlying offensive chances created. However, the overall attacking efficiency shift was deemed perfectly in line with general performance metrics. The flow of the game was uninterrupted by any major disciplinary issues, as neither team received a red card. Interestingly, despite the pre-match market probabilities registering at zero across all outcomes, the final draw was ultimately considered aligned with the market. Both teams will have to settle for a single shared point following this tightly contested affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rubin Kazan showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Krylya Sovetov M. Adiev
M. Adiev
VS
Rubin Kazan F. Cebrián
F. Cebrián
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 50 L
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: 71 L
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 67 L
Krasnodar Rank: 77 L
Rostov Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: 72 W
Krasnodar Rank: 75 W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: 57 L
Rostov Rank: 60 L
Zenit Rank: 80 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 60 W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 10 - 16
16

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Rubin Kazan
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
55.55
62.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Rubin Kazan
Power Score
55.55
62.17
League Position
13
9
Global Rank
620
418

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
Rubin Kazan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Rubin Kazan

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Krylya Sovetov

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rubin Kazan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rubin Kazan
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.76
15.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.09
20.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Krylya Sovetov +0.63 Efficiency Index
vs
Rubin Kazan -0.63 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Rubin Kazan
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rubin Kazan
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Krylya Sovetov Rubin Kazan
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov Rubin Kazan
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
Rubin Kazan
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
35 matches
Rubin Kazan RKA Away
Match Record
9
Wins
16
10
Draws
10
16
Losses
9
Goals
35
Goals Scored
50
50
Goals Conceded
35
-15
Goal Difference
+15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
S. Pesyakov
Russia
30 (C) S. Pesyakov
N. Rasskazov
Substitution
Russia
15 N. Rasskazov
N. Chernov
Russia
23 N. Chernov
A. Oroz
Croatia
5 A. Oroz
S. Bozhin
Russia
47 S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin
Belarus
2 K. Pechenin
F. Peixoto Costanza
Brazil
22 F. Peixoto Costanza
S. Babkin
Russia
6 S. Babkin
I. Akhmetov
Substitution
Russia
77 I. Akhmetov
I. Oleynikov
Russia
19 I. Oleynikov
G. Charles
Substitution
Nigeria
99 G. Charles
E. Staver
Russia
38 E. Staver
I. Rozhkov
Russia
51 I. Rozhkov
E. Teslenko
Russia
2 E. Teslenko
I. Vujačić
Montenegro
5 (C) I. Vujačić
D. Maldonado Munguía
Honduras
3 D. Maldonado Munguía
A. Arroyo Córdoba
Colombia
12 A. Arroyo Córdoba
N. Gripshi
Substitution
Albania
11 N. Gripshi
D. Kuzyaev
Substitution
Russia
14 D. Kuzyaev
V. Hodža
Croatia
22 V. Hodža
R. Bezrukov
Substitution
Russia
23 R. Bezrukov
J. Siwe
Substitution
France
43 J. Siwe

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 22 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Maksim Gavrilin
Aleksey Stipidi
Yuri Matveev
Artem Chistyakov

Statistics

Possession
Krylya Sovetov
46%
RKA
54%

Top Statistics

4 Shots 3
31 Dangerous attacks 43
46 Possession 54
7 Corners 1
8 Free kicks 20
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Injuries 2
7 Goal Attempts 6
73 Ball Safe 82
3 Substitutions 4
7 Dribble Attempts 23
20 Throwins 31
13 Successful Headers 11
14 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
7 Goal Kicks 10
1 Successful Dribbles 12

Attacking

79 Attacks 87

Possession

27 Successful Long Passes 25
258 Successful Passes 329
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
75 Successful Passes Percentage 77
62 Long Passes 65
343 Passes 425

Defensive

9 Interceptions 7
15 Tackles 9
2 Saves 1

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 8
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

18 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Artem Chistyakov

Starting XI ▼

30
S. Pesyakov
S. Pesyakov (C) Goalkeeper
6.97
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Defender
7.08
5
D. Oroz
D. Oroz Defender
6.78
15
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov Defender
6.4
72
Dani Fernández
Dani Fernández
Defender65'
6.48
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Defender
6.66
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Defender
6.95
6
S. Babkin
S. Babkin Midfielder
7.03
22
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza Midfielder
6.81
77
I. Akhmetov
I. Akhmetov Midfielder
6.88
14
Mihajlo Banjac
Mihajlo Banjac
Midfielder75'
6.59
19
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov Attacker
6.64
99
Chinedu Geoffrey
Chinedu Geoffrey Attacker
6.61
70
Artem Shumansky
Artem Shumansky
Attacker82'
6.45
Referee : Artem Chistyakov

Starting XI ▼

38
Evgeniy Staver
Evgeniy Staver Goalkeeper
6.96
2
Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko Defender
7.15
3
Denil Maldonado
Denil Maldonado Defender
6.83
5
Igor Vujacic
Igor Vujacic (C) Defender
6.87
12
Anderson Arroyo
Anderson Arroyo Defender
6.99
51
Ilya Rozhkov
Ilya Rozhkov Defender
6.75
11
Nazmi Gripshi
Nazmi Gripshi Midfielder
6.97
44
Daniil Kuznetsov
Daniil Kuznetsov
Midfielder70'
6.29
14
Daler Kuzyaev
Daler Kuzyaev Midfielder
7.18
7
Ignacio Saavedra
Ignacio Saavedra
Midfielder70'
6.44
22
Veldin Hodza
Veldin Hodza Midfielder
7.1
23
Ruslan Bezrukov
Ruslan Bezrukov Midfielder
6.61
8
Bogdan Jocic
Bogdan Jocic
Midfielder80'
6.4
43
Jacques Siwe
Jacques Siwe Attacker
6.67
59
Daniil Motorin
Daniil Motorin
Midfielder88'

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Daniil Motorin → Jacques Siwe
7th Substitution
Event
Artem Shumansky → Chinedu Geoffrey
6th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Bogdan Jocic → Ruslan Bezrukov
5th Substitution
Event
Mihajlo Banjac → I. Akhmetov
4th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Ignacio Saavedra → Daler Kuzyaev
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Daniil Kuznetsov → Nazmi Gripshi
2nd Substitution
Event
Dani Fernández → N. Rasskazov
1st Substitution
65'
Event
N. Rasskazov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
62'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Rubin Kazan exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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