São Paulo vs Athletico PR Prediction, Preview and Stats

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo Thu, 23 Jul - 12:30 AM
Serie A
São Paulo SAO
Versus
Athletico PR APR
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Jul - 12:30 AM
Round 19 Regular Season

CONTEXT

São Paulo hosts Athletico PR at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo during the 2026 Serie A regular season. The home side enters with a clear power advantage of twelve points and occupies eighth position in the domestic table. Athletico PR sits fourth overall yet carries a markedly higher form score into the contest. Venue familiarity could play a role for the hosts while the visitors seek to translate their standing into results on the road. Limited details exist around efficiency measures and transitional play for either outfit. Set piece analysis stays restricted because xG metrics remain unavailable at present. Both clubs bring distinct profiles that set up an engaging league encounter focused on positional battles and squad execution. The stronger team designation favors São Paulo on paper.

TL;DR

  • Structural: São Paulo holds a twelve-point power advantage and plays at home against fourth-placed Athletico PR.
  • Form: Athletico PR arrives with a superior form score of 23.83 compared to São Paulo's 10.44.
  • Squad: São Paulo fields the stronger designated side according to overall power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data stays unavailable for both São Paulo and Athletico PR.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no recorded values ahead of this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG information remains inaccessible due to missing underlying data.
  • xVariable: Power scores list São Paulo at 62.67 and Athletico PR at 50.67.
  • Market: Baseline split: São Paulo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Athletico PR 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
VS
Athletico PR O. Hellmann
O. Hellmann
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 67 D
Fluminense Rank: 68 L
Corinthians Rank: 66 L
Bahia Rank: 61 D
Mirassol Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirassol Rank: 64 W
Remo Rank: 57 W
Flamengo Rank: 75 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 L
Grêmio Rank: 63 D
Vitória Rank: 61 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home São Paulo
0%
Draw
0%
Away Athletico PR
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.67
50.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
São Paulo
Athletico PR
Power Score
62.67
50.67
League Position
8
4
Global Rank
443
424

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
São Paulo — Opponent-weighted form score
Athletico PR — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) São Paulo Athletico PR

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

São Paulo SAO Home
2 matches
Athletico PR APR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-07-16T00:22:03+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition :
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 19 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Capacity :
66795
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
Carlos Miguel Coronel
Carlos Miguel Coronel Goalkeeper
23
Rafael Pires Monteiro
Rafael Pires Monteiro Goalkeeper
50
Young Navarro Moraes
Young Navarro Moraes Goalkeeper
52
Felipe Gabriel Preis
Felipe Gabriel Preis Goalkeeper
21
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares Defender
18
Wendell Nascimento Borges
Wendell Nascimento Borges Defender
2
Rafael Tolói
Rafael Tolói Defender
19
Lucas Ramon Batista Silva
Lucas Ramon Batista Silva Defender
5
Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar Defender
13
Enzo Hernán Díaz
Enzo Hernán Díaz Defender
35
José Sabino Chagas Monteiro
José Sabino Chagas Monteiro Defender
15
João Moreira Souza
João Moreira Souza Defender
—
Matheus Souza
Matheus Souza Defender
53
Isac Silvestre da Silva
Isac Silvestre da Silva Defender
40
Igor Teixeira Felisberto
Igor Teixeira Felisberto Defender
54
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira Defender
42
Maik Gomes Viegas
Maik Gomes Viegas Defender
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
Nicolas Bosshardt Defender
80
Cauly Oliveira Souza
Cauly Oliveira Souza Midfielder
94
Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo Midfielder
8
Marcos Antonio Silva Santos
Marcos Antonio Silva Santos Midfielder
33
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos Midfielder
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder
29
Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato Midfielder
30
Felipe Negrucci Berdague
Felipe Negrucci Berdague Midfielder
46
Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira
Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira Midfielder
38
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos Midfielder
48
Djhordney Ferreira
Djhordney Ferreira Midfielder
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri Attacker
—
João Victor Santos Sa
João Victor Santos Sa Attacker
7
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva Attacker
10
Luciano da Rocha Neves
Luciano da Rocha Neves Attacker
37
Artur Victor Guimarães
Artur Victor Guimarães Attacker
17
André Oliveira Silva
André Oliveira Silva Attacker
11
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira Attacker
14
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais Attacker
49
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva Attacker
39
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra Attacker
45
Lucca Marques Alencar
Lucca Marques Alencar Attacker
34
Perivan dos Santos
Perivan dos Santos Attacker

Squad ▼

23
Aderbar Melo dos Santos Neto
Aderbar Melo dos Santos Neto Goalkeeper
1
Mycael Pontes Moreira
Mycael Pontes Moreira Goalkeeper
42
Matheus Soares Rocha
Matheus Soares Rocha Goalkeeper
—
Gilberto Moraes Junior
Gilberto Moraes Junior Defender
3
Leonardo Pinheiro da Conceição
Leonardo Pinheiro da Conceição Defender
—
Luís Eduardo Marques dos Santos
Luís Eduardo Marques dos Santos Defender
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre Tabares
Juan Felipe Aguirre Tabares Defender
29
Gastón Américo Benavídez
Gastón Américo Benavídez Defender
—
Hayen Santiago Palacios Sánchez
Hayen Santiago Palacios Sánchez Defender
22
Carlos Terán Díaz
Carlos Terán Díaz Defender
37
Lucas Ángel Esquivel
Lucas Ángel Esquivel Defender
6
Leonardo Derik Dias Gonçalves
Leonardo Derik Dias Gonçalves Defender
—
João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira
João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira Defender
4
Arthur dos Santos Barbosa Dias
Arthur dos Santos Barbosa Dias Defender
2
Gilberto Junior Leite dos Santos
Gilberto Junior Leite dos Santos Defender
14
Luiz Gustavo Dias
Luiz Gustavo Dias Midfielder
16
Jádson Alves dos Santos
Jádson Alves dos Santos Midfielder
27
Juan Camilo Portilla Orozco
Juan Camilo Portilla Orozco Midfielder
17
Alejandro García Castillo
Alejandro García Castillo Midfielder
5
Antonio Feliphe Costa
Antonio Feliphe Costa Midfielder
10
Bruno Zapelli
Bruno Zapelli Midfielder
53
Eduardo Kogitzki Anastacio
Eduardo Kogitzki Anastacio Midfielder
47
Felipe Chiqueti Bandeira
Felipe Chiqueti Bandeira Midfielder
8
João Victor Machado Cruz
João Victor Machado Cruz Midfielder
7
John Stiven Mendoza Valencia
John Stiven Mendoza Valencia Attacker
9
Kevin Stiben Viveros Rodallega
Kevin Stiben Viveros Rodallega Attacker
70
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno Attacker
50
Renan Rodrigues Fonseca Viana
Renan Rodrigues Fonseca Viana Attacker
—
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto Attacker
11
Isaac Rodrigues de Lima
Isaac Rodrigues de Lima Attacker
—
Daniel Felipe Aguilar Hoyos
Daniel Felipe Aguilar Hoyos Attacker
21
Leonardo Caetano Silva
Leonardo Caetano Silva Attacker
48
Bruno Braga Ramos
Bruno Braga Ramos Attacker

CONCLUSION

The upcoming clash pits a power-favored São Paulo side against an Athletico PR team that leads in league position and recent form. Home support at the venue may help bridge gaps in current momentum for the hosts. Athletico PR will aim to exploit their higher standing through disciplined execution across the pitch. Absence of detailed efficiency and set piece figures leaves certain tactical elements open to interpretation on the day. Both teams must navigate these unknowns while focusing on core strengths in possession and defensive organization. The encounter offers a test of whether positional advantage or raw power metrics prove more decisive in this regular season meeting.

São Paulo vs Athletico PR preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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