Tromsø vs Vålerenga Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Alfheim Stadion Tomorrow - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Tromsø Tromsø
Versus
Vålerenga Vålerenga
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tromsø welcome Vålerenga to Alfheim Stadion for an Eliteserien regular season fixture in 2026. The hosts occupy second place in the domestic standings while the visitors sit ninth. Tromsø carry an 8.8-point power advantage and are identified as the stronger side overall. Form scores sit almost level at 14.5 for Tromsø and 14.61 for Vålerenga. Both teams enter the match with limited recent outing data available. Set-piece metrics carry low confidence and rely on proxy calculations. Efficiency figures are not supplied for either side. The encounter offers a clear test of Tromsø home strength against a mid-table Vålerenga outfit.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Tromsø sit second in the league while Vålerenga occupy ninth place.
  • Form: Form scores are nearly identical with Tromsø on 14.5 and Vålerenga on 14.61.
  • Squad: No detailed squad composition data is available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition phase data is not provided ahead of the match.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and uses proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: Tromsø hold an 8.8-point power advantage over Vålerenga.
  • Market: Tromsø 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Vålerenga 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Tromsø G. Holme
G. Holme
VS
Vålerenga J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
1.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: 57 D
Aalesund Rank: 46 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Molde Rank: 66 W
Start Rank: 50 D
Brann Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 55 W
Start Rank: 50 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
HamKam Rank: 60 L
KFUM Rank: 57 D
Molde Rank: 66 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Tromsø
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vålerenga
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.63
58.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tromsø
Vålerenga
Power Score
67.63
58.81
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
258
515

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Tromsø — Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tromsø Vålerenga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Tromsø Tromsø Home
2 matches
Vålerenga Vålerenga Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:07:19+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 11, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Alfheim Stadion
Capacity :
6687
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Jakob Haugaard
Jakob Haugaard Goalkeeper
12
Ole Kristian Gjefle Lauvli
Ole Kristian Gjefle Lauvli Goalkeeper
50
Abderrahmane Sarr
Abderrahmane Sarr Goalkeeper
24
Jens Berland Husebø
Jens Berland Husebø Defender
2
Leo Erik Jean Cornic
Leo Erik Jean Cornic Defender
4
Vetle Skjærvik
Vetle Skjærvik Defender
30
Isak Vådebu
Isak Vådebu Defender
21
Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal
Tobias Kvalvågnes Guddal Defender
37
Sander Håvik Innvær
Sander Håvik Innvær Defender
3
Mathias Tønnessen
Mathias Tønnessen Defender
29
Alexander Warneryd
Alexander Warneryd Defender
25
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh
Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh Defender
27
Mads Mikkelsen
Mads Mikkelsen Defender
11
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen
Ruben Yttergård Jenssen Midfielder
5
David Edvardsson
David Edvardsson Midfielder
8
Jesper Andreas Grundt
Jesper Andreas Grundt Midfielder
22
Heine Larsen
Heine Larsen Midfielder
6
Jens Hjertø-Dahl
Jens Hjertø-Dahl Midfielder
10
Troy Engseth Nyhammer
Troy Engseth Nyhammer Midfielder
7
Lars Olden Larsen
Lars Olden Larsen Attacker
15
Viktor Ekblom
Viktor Ekblom Attacker
9
Daniel Braut
Daniel Braut Attacker
—
Frederik Rasmus Christensen
Frederik Rasmus Christensen Attacker
—
Ieltsin Jerónimo Semedo Camões
Ieltsin Jerónimo Semedo Camões Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Oscar Thore Hedvall
Oscar Thore Hedvall Goalkeeper
21
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng Goalkeeper
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad Defender
2
Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson
Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson Defender
39
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Defender
5
Kevin Tshiembe
Kevin Tshiembe Defender
55
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl Defender
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender
3
Håkon Sjåtil
Håkon Sjåtil Defender
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand Midfielder
8
Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal
Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal Midfielder
28
Magnus Hee Westergaard
Magnus Hee Westergaard Midfielder
—
Adam Thorstensen
Adam Thorstensen Midfielder
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
15
Odin Thiago Holm
Odin Thiago Holm Midfielder
31
Omar Bully Drammeh
Omar Bully Drammeh Midfielder
29
Fidèle Brice Ambina
Fidèle Brice Ambina Midfielder
18
Evenezer Awasum Forcha
Evenezer Awasum Forcha Midfielder
7
Mohamed Ofkir
Mohamed Ofkir Attacker
77
Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren
Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren Attacker
17
Mathias Grundetjern
Mathias Grundetjern Attacker
80
Ole Christian Saeter
Ole Christian Saeter Attacker
26
Filip Erik Thorvaldsen
Filip Erik Thorvaldsen Attacker
9
Gabriel Rajkovic
Gabriel Rajkovic Attacker

CONCLUSION

Tromsø enter the contest with superior league standing and a measurable power edge that should shape their approach at Alfheim Stadion. Vålerenga remain competitive on recent form indicators yet face a difficult task against a side positioned near the top of the table. Limited efficiency and transition information leaves emphasis on overall squad organisation and set-piece execution. Both teams will look to exploit any structural weaknesses while maintaining defensive discipline. The fixture represents an important marker for Tromsø ambitions and a chance for Vålerenga to close the gap on higher-placed opponents through disciplined performance.

Tromsø vs Vålerenga preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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