Dila vs Virtus Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadioni Tengiz Burjanadze Today - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Dila Dila
3 Winner 1
Virtus Virtus
Full Time Today 4:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Mohamed Kanté - 68'
Blankson Anoff - 14'
Shota Shekiladze - 8'
Goal
|
Goal
Simone Benincasa - 3'

CONTEXT

In the opening leg of their knockout encounter, Dila faced Virtus and claimed a 3-1 win on home soil. The match saw Dila take a 2-1 lead into the halftime break. Throughout the ninety minutes, Dila maintained a possession advantage of 55 percent to 45 percent. Both teams avoided any dismissals as no red cards were shown. As the pre-designated stronger side, Dila's victory aligned with their favored status. The deviation from expected patterns reached a significant level of 19.4 percent attributed to Dila. Efficiency metrics remained consistent with anticipated levels. Without available expected goals figures, certain alignments could not be verified. The absence of disciplinary incidents ensured the contest proceeded without additional distortions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Dila 3-1 Virtus. Dila showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: No xG metrics were available to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No major events such as red cards altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards resulted in no distortion to the game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Bošković

Montenegro 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

M. Paunović

1st Assistant

Montenegro

M. Gojković

2nd Assistant

Montenegro

M. Bešović

4th Official

Montenegro

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Dila L. Korghalidze
L. Korghalidze
VS
Virtus Virtus
Virtus
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dila
80.55%
Draw
14.52%
Away Virtus
4.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dila
-16.58%
Draw
+12.62%
Virtus
+3.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dila
Virtus
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Dila Opponent-weighted form score
Virtus Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dila Virtus

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Dila

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Virtus

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dila ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Virtus
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dila Virtus
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dila Virtus
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dila
Virtus
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Dila
vs
Virtus
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dila Virtus
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dila Virtus
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Dila
Virtus
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Dila had peak pressure around 14'.
  • Dila started the game with stronger pressure.
Dila Pressure Virtus Pressure
Pressure Index: Dila reached the top pressure at 14' (53.04).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dila Dila Home
0 matches
Virtus Virtus Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:03:49+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Stadioni Tengiz Burjanadze
Capacity :
8230
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Miloš Bošković
Marjan Paunović
M. Gojković
Miloš Bešović

Statistics

Possession
Dila
56%
Virtus
44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
5 Shots 5
49 Dangerous attacks 35
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 62
6 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 5
27 Throwins 30
2 Assists 1

Attacking

131 Attacks 101

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 7

Squad

Referee : Miloš Bošković

Squad

12
Luka Sanikidze
Luka Sanikidze Goalkeeper
1
Davit Kereselidze
Davit Kereselidze Goalkeeper
23
Nikoloz Mali
Nikoloz Mali Defender
33
Romaric Presley Etou-Thomaso
Romaric Presley Etou-Thomaso Defender
2
Tedo Kikabidze
Tedo Kikabidze Defender
Lamar Yarbrough
Lamar Yarbrough Defender
14
Giorgi Jalaghonia
Giorgi Jalaghonia Defender
13
João Victor de Araujo Costa
João Victor de Araujo Costa Defender
Maik Nelson Poeketie
Maik Nelson Poeketie Defender
3
Ruben Alexandre Compaoré
Ruben Alexandre Compaoré Defender
17
Blankson Anoff
Blankson Anoff Midfielder
8
Lasha Menteshashvili
Lasha Menteshashvili Midfielder
19
Badri Gogoberishvili
Badri Gogoberishvili Midfielder
15
Georgii Kobakhidze
Georgii Kobakhidze Midfielder
29
Abdulmalik Ayomide Olatunji
Abdulmalik Ayomide Olatunji Midfielder
6
Kouadio Louis-Claude Kouakou
Kouadio Louis-Claude Kouakou Midfielder
27
Alioune Oumar Tall
Alioune Oumar Tall Midfielder
21
Zurab Museliani
Zurab Museliani Attacker
22
Shota Shekiladze
Shota Shekiladze Attacker
Ibrahima Drame
Ibrahima Drame Attacker
Franklin Nyenetue
Franklin Nyenetue Attacker
16
Mamin Sanyang
Mamin Sanyang Attacker
10
Otar Parulava
Otar Parulava Attacker
9
Kanté Kefing
Kanté Kefing Attacker
11
Davit Gotsiridze
Davit Gotsiridze Attacker
30
Emmanuel Kofi Boansi
Emmanuel Kofi Boansi Attacker
37
Nana-Kofi Donkor
Nana-Kofi Donkor Attacker
Referee : Miloš Bošković

Squad

12
Samuel Guddo
Samuel Guddo Goalkeeper
Mattia Manzaroli
Mattia Manzaroli Goalkeeper
Matteo Renzetti
Matteo Renzetti Goalkeeper
Alberto Sebastiani
Alberto Sebastiani Goalkeeper
Mirco De Angelis
Mirco De Angelis Goalkeeper
39
Alex Passaniti
Alex Passaniti Goalkeeper
5
Michele Rinaldi
Michele Rinaldi Defender
Matteo Legittimo
Matteo Legittimo Defender
7
Manuel Battistini
Manuel Battistini Defender
6
Roberto Sabato
Roberto Sabato Defender
34
Umberto De Lucia
Umberto De Lucia Defender
3
Daniel Piscaglia
Daniel Piscaglia Defender
26
Aron Giacomoni
Aron Giacomoni Defender
15
Nicola Gori
Nicola Gori Defender
30
Mirco De Santis
Mirco De Santis Defender
4
Andrea Montanari
Andrea Montanari Midfielder
17
Alessandro Golinucci
Alessandro Golinucci Midfielder
10
Ivan Buonocunto
Ivan Buonocunto Midfielder
21
Armando Amati
Armando Amati Midfielder
16
Jacopo Muggeo
Jacopo Muggeo Midfielder
45
Elia Ciacci
Elia Ciacci Midfielder
Nicolò Biral
Nicolò Biral Midfielder
33
Matteo Zenoni
Matteo Zenoni Midfielder
93
Giammario Piscitella
Giammario Piscitella Attacker
90
Stefano Scappini
Stefano Scappini Attacker
Marco Villanova
Marco Villanova Attacker
Riccardo Zulli
Riccardo Zulli Attacker
25
Simone Benincasa
Simone Benincasa Attacker
Gabriel Capicchioni
Gabriel Capicchioni Attacker
11
Thomas Lombardi
Thomas Lombardi Attacker
Abdoul Aziz Niang
Abdoul Aziz Niang Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Georgii Kobakhidze Shota Shekiladze
8th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Marco Gasperoni Armando Amati
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Vittorio Satalino Ivan Buonocunto
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Nicola Gori M. De Santis
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Umberto De Lucia Alessandro Golinucci
5th Substitution
Event
Mohamed Kanté
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
68'
Event
Nana-Kofi Donkor Otar Parulava
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Claude Kouakou Alioune Oumar Tall
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Otar Parulava
3rd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Mohamed Kanté Badri Gogoberishvili
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
S. Santi Simone Benincasa
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Alioune Oumar Tall
2nd Yellowcard
30'
Event
Blankson Anoff
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
14'
Event
Shota Shekiladze
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
8'
6'
Event
Armando Amati
1st Yellowcard
3'
Event
Simone Benincasa
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
Marco Gasperoni replaces Armando Amati.
84
Attempt Attempt
Georgii Kobakhidze is on, and Shota Shekiladze is off.
84
Substitution Substitution
Vittorio Satalino is substituted off for Ivan Buonocunto.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Nicola Gori replaces Mirco De Santis.
75
Update Update
Umberto De Lucia is on, and Alessandro Golinucci is off.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
65
Substitution Substitution
Donkor Nana is substituted on for Otar Parulava.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Substitution Substitution
Claude Kouakou is substituted off for Aliune Tali.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Simone Benincasa is replaced by Simone Santi.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohamed Kante comes on for Badri Gogoberishvili.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Aliune Tali.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
6
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Armando Amati.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Milos Boskovic.

CONCLUSION

Dila's performance in this first leg provides them with a solid advantage heading into the return fixture. The 3-1 scoreline reflects their dominance in key areas including possession and goal conversion. With the halftime score at 2-1, they managed to maintain control in the second period despite Virtus's efforts. The lack of red cards allowed for a full-strength contest that highlighted the efficiency alignment observed. Significant deviation noted does not detract from the overall consistency in market alignment. Future analysis would benefit from xG data to better understand the underlying performance metrics. This result sets a clear platform for the second leg.

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Author

Jesper GK

Jesper GK contributes football previews covering key fixtures, league context, team news, and matchday talking points.