Sheriff vs Aluminij Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Sheriff Stadium Today - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Sheriff Sheriff
0 – 0
Aluminij Aluminij
Full Time Today 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Sheriff hosted Aluminij in the first leg of their two-legged tie and played out a goalless draw. Sheriff controlled the majority of possession with 63 percent but could not break down the visitors. Both sides registered no goals at halftime or full time. No red cards were shown to either team. The stronger side according to pre-match indicators failed to convert territorial dominance into a lead. The match remained level throughout and produced a scoreline of 0-0. Aluminij defended compactly and limited clear opportunities. The result leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 10.2 percent was recorded for Sheriff.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: The 0-0 draw outcome proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data was unavailable for both teams.
  • Event impact: No decisive events altered the 0-0 scoreline in either half.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued and no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Talic

Austria 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

M. Hartl

1st Assistant

Austria

A. Rekik

2nd Assistant

Austria

F. Jäger

4th Official

Austria

League averages

Europa League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 21.86
Yellow cards / match 3.6
Red cards / match 0.23
Penalties / match 0.26
Sheriff Victor Mihailov
Victor Mihailov
VS
Aluminij J. Arsic
J. Arsic
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sheriff
5.39%
Draw
89.79%
Away Aluminij
4.82%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sheriff
-4.66%
Draw
+6.8%
Aluminij
-2.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sheriff
Aluminij
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sheriff — Opponent-weighted form score
Aluminij — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sheriff Aluminij

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sheriff

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aluminij

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sheriff ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aluminij
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sheriff Aluminij
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sheriff Aluminij
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sheriff
Aluminij
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sheriff
vs
Aluminij
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sheriff Aluminij
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sheriff 0.00
Aluminij 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sheriff Aluminij
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sheriff 0.00
Aluminij 0.00
Sheriff
Aluminij
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Sheriff had peak pressure around 78'.
  • Sheriff started the game with stronger pressure.
Sheriff Pressure Aluminij Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Sheriff reached the top pressure at 78' (62.42).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sheriff Sheriff Home
0 matches
Aluminij Aluminij Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:03:59+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Sheriff Stadium
Capacity :
18636
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Arnes Talic
Mattias Hartl
Amar Rekik
Florian Jäger

Statistics

Possession
Sheriff
61%
Aluminij
39%

Top Statistics

11 Shots 5
90 Dangerous attacks 48
63 Possession 37
7 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 4
26 Throwins 21

Attacking

146 Attacks 100

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 5

Squad

Referee : Arnes Talic

Squad ▼

21
Ivan Dyulgerov
Ivan Dyulgerov Goalkeeper
1
Emil Tîmbur
Emil Tîmbur Goalkeeper
25
Serghei Obîscalov
Serghei Obîscalov Goalkeeper
6
Rai Lopes de Oliveira
Rai Lopes de Oliveira Defender
35
Fomba Bourama
Fomba Bourama Defender
24
Danila Forov
Danila Forov Defender
—
Yahir Modelo
Yahir Modelo Defender
4
Natus Jamel Swen
Natus Jamel Swen Defender
45
Baye Assane Ciss
Baye Assane Ciss Defender
29
Soumaila Magassouba
Soumaila Magassouba Defender
20
Riis Opoku Twumasi
Riis Opoku Twumasi Defender
17
Vsevolod Nihaev
Vsevolod Nihaev Midfielder
26
Dhoraso Moreo Klas
Dhoraso Moreo Klas Midfielder
16
Daniel Danu
Daniel Danu Midfielder
99
Samba Koné
Samba Koné Midfielder
80
Ion Ciobanu
Ion Ciobanu Midfielder
33
Mihail Corotcov
Mihail Corotcov Midfielder
—
Luis Phelipe de Souza Figueiredo
Luis Phelipe de Souza Figueiredo Attacker
77
Juan Carlos Pineda Torres
Juan Carlos Pineda Torres Attacker
7
Vladimir Fratea
Vladimir Fratea Attacker
19
Jayder Asprilla Moreno
Jayder Asprilla Moreno Attacker
11
Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira
Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira Attacker
42
Konan Jaures-Ulrich Loukou
Konan Jaures-Ulrich Loukou Attacker
—
Veaceslav Cozma
Veaceslav Cozma Attacker
Referee : Arnes Talic

Squad ▼

22
Matjaž Rožman
Matjaž Rožman Goalkeeper
97
Florijan Raduha
Florijan Raduha Goalkeeper
—
Matija Boben
Matija Boben Defender
—
Hanus Sørensen
Hanus Sørensen Defender
33
Domen Zajšek
Domen Zajšek Defender
42
Vid Koderman
Vid Koderman Defender
—
Vito Težak
Vito Težak Defender
—
Tjan Kolednik
Tjan Kolednik Defender
13
Matic Vrbanec
Matic Vrbanec Midfielder
14
Tomislav Jagić
Tomislav Jagić Midfielder
—
Eric Taylor
Eric Taylor Midfielder
—
Maj Blazic
Maj Blazic Midfielder
—
Bede Amarachi Osuji
Bede Amarachi Osuji Attacker
20
Ivijan Svržnjak
Ivijan Svržnjak Attacker
10
Emir Saitoski
Emir Saitoski Attacker
45
Bamba Susso
Bamba Susso Attacker
—
Jaka Domjan
Jaka Domjan Attacker
—
Petar Petriško
Petar Petriško Attacker
77
Josip Pejic
Josip Pejic Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Zé Flores
Roughing / 3rd Yellowcard
90+2'
87'
Event
Domen Zajsek → Vito Težak
7th Substitution
Event
Zé Flores → Miguel Mota
6th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Hanus Sørensen → Vid Koderman
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Blaž Petriško → Tomislav Jagić
5th Substitution
Event
Sapata → Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Vladimir Fratea → Dhoraso Klas
2nd Substitution
68'
61'
Event
Bede Amarachi Osuji → Murat Bajraj
1st Substitution
Event
Bourama Fomba
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
46'
Event
Matic Vrbanec
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ze Flores.
87
Update Update
Domen Zajsek comes on for Vito Tezak.
81
Update Update
On comes Ze Flores, off goes Miguel Angelo Sousa Leao Mota.
78
Update Update
Blaz Petrisko is on, and Tomislav Jagic is off.
77
Update Update
On Hanus Sörensen, off Vid Koderman.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Update Update
On comes Vladimir Fratea, and Dhoraso Moreo Klas goes off.
68
Update Update
On comes Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira, and Loukou Jaures Ulrich goes off.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Bede Osuji Amarachi comes on for Murat Bajraj.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bourama Fomba receives a yellow card.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Arnes Talic.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw in leg one leaves both teams with work to do in the return fixture. Sheriff held the majority of the ball yet lacked the clinical edge required to secure an advantage. Aluminij remained organized and restricted meaningful chances while avoiding any disciplinary setbacks. The absence of goals and cards ensured a straightforward contest that produced no major swings. With the aggregate still level the second leg will determine which side advances. Sheriff will likely need to be more incisive at home in the reverse fixture while Aluminij must maintain their defensive structure to progress.

Sheriff vs Aluminij preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Europa League, Europe View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Ronny Breivik

Read ronnyB’s Best Previews posts for matchday analysis, odds movement insights, football previews, and value-focused fixture coverage.