Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
MFA Centenary Stadium Today - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk
0 Winner 3
Pyunik Pyunik
Full Time Today 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Mikhail Kovalenko - 65'
Artak Dashyan - 51'
Momo Yansane - 41' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Marsaxlokk 0–3 Pyunik. The result saw Pyunik take the points. Pyunik showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Marsaxlokk 0-3 Pyunik. Pyunik showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Gigović

Bosnia and Herzegovina 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

A. Kadić

1st Assistant

Bosnia and Herzegovina

D. Lazić

2nd Assistant

Bosnia and Herzegovina

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk
Marsaxlokk
VS
Pyunik Pyunik
Pyunik
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Marsaxlokk
25.18%
Draw
27.66%
Away Pyunik
47.16%

Movement

Changes since opening
Marsaxlokk
+23.74%
Draw
+25.76%
Pyunik
-49.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Marsaxlokk
Pyunik
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Marsaxlokk — Opponent-weighted form score
Pyunik — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Marsaxlokk Pyunik

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Marsaxlokk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Pyunik

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Marsaxlokk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Pyunik
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Marsaxlokk Pyunik
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Marsaxlokk Pyunik
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Marsaxlokk
Pyunik
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Marsaxlokk
vs
Pyunik
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Marsaxlokk Pyunik
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Marsaxlokk 0.00
Pyunik 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Marsaxlokk Pyunik
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Marsaxlokk 0.00
Pyunik 0.00
Marsaxlokk
Pyunik
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Pyunik had peak pressure around 41'.
  • Pyunik started the game with stronger pressure.
Marsaxlokk Pressure Pyunik Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Pyunik reached the top pressure at 41' (42.09).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Marsaxlokk Marsaxlokk Home
0 matches
Pyunik Pyunik Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:04:40+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
MFA Centenary Stadium
Capacity :
2000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Miloš Gigović
Amir Kadić
Damir Lazić

Statistics

Possession
Marsaxlokk
42%
Pyunik
58%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
2 Shots 6
38 Dangerous attacks 76
45 Possession 55
4 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

78 Ball Safe 62
0 Penalties 1
2 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 15
0 Assists 2

Attacking

84 Attacks 121

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
4 Fouls 8

Squad

Referee : Miloš Gigović

Squad ▼

22
Christoffer Mafoumbi
Christoffer Mafoumbi Goalkeeper
1
Matthew Calleja Cremona
Matthew Calleja Cremona Goalkeeper
5
Enrico Pepe
Enrico Pepe Defender
4
Oualid El Hasni
Oualid El Hasni Defender
27
Leandro Damián Aguirre
Leandro Damián Aguirre Defender
—
Oleksii Bykov
Oleksii Bykov Defender
—
Gareth Barone
Gareth Barone Defender
25
Joseph Minala
Joseph Minala Midfielder
33
Domantas Šimkus
Domantas Šimkus Midfielder
23
Triston Caruana
Triston Caruana Midfielder
34
Isaac Christie-Davies
Isaac Christie-Davies Midfielder
6
Nikolai Muscat
Nikolai Muscat Midfielder
10
Ulises Jesús Arias
Ulises Jesús Arias Midfielder
8
Jake Ghio
Jake Ghio Midfielder
—
Lucas Caruana
Lucas Caruana Midfielder
11
Juan Carlos Corbalan
Juan Carlos Corbalan Attacker
28
Redon Mihana
Redon Mihana Attacker
—
Matheus Vieira da Silva
Matheus Vieira da Silva Attacker
17
Ailton Jorge Dos Santos Soares
Ailton Jorge Dos Santos Soares Attacker
14
Ensell Attard
Ensell Attard Attacker
Referee : Miloš Gigović

Squad ▼

16
Henri Avagyan
Henri Avagyan Goalkeeper
71
Stanislav Buchnev
Stanislav Buchnev Goalkeeper
88
Robert Darbinyan
Robert Darbinyan Defender
79
Sergiy Vakulenko
Sergiy Vakulenko Defender
15
Mikhail Kovalenko
Mikhail Kovalenko Defender
5
James Santos das Neves
James Santos das Neves Defender
76
Filipe Rafael Vieira Almeida
Filipe Rafael Vieira Almeida Defender
3
Nikos Kainourgios
Nikos Kainourgios Defender
—
Eric Simonyan
Eric Simonyan Defender
11
Artak Dashyan
Artak Dashyan Midfielder
—
Hovhannes Harutyunyan
Hovhannes Harutyunyan Midfielder
25
Daniil Kulikov
Daniil Kulikov Midfielder
22
Sead Islamović
Sead Islamović Midfielder
17
Vyacheslav Afyan
Vyacheslav Afyan Midfielder
18
Karlen Hovhannisyan
Karlen Hovhannisyan Midfielder
19
Sargis Metoyan
Sargis Metoyan Attacker
—
Iasonas Pikis
Iasonas Pikis Attacker
90
Momo Yansane
Momo Yansane Attacker
8
Gevorg Tarakhchyan
Gevorg Tarakhchyan Attacker
—
Iman Griffith
Iman Griffith Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
83'
Event
Erik Simonyan → Sead Islamovic
10th Substitution
70'
Event
Gevorg Tarakhchyan → Karlen Hovhannisyan
9th Substitution
69'
Event
R. Darbinyan → Mikhail Kovalenko
8th Substitution
Event
Lucas Caruana → Domantas Šimkus
7th Substitution
66'
65'
Event
Mikhail Kovalenko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
Event
Edgar Malakyan → Hovhannes Harutyunyan
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Iasonas Pikis → Momo Yansane
6th Substitution
Event
Ulises Jesús Arias → Isaac Christie-Davies
2nd Substitution
54'
Event
Nicky Muscat → Redon Mihana
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Matheus Silva
4th Substitution
54'
51'
Event
Artak Dashyan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Momo Yansane
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Juan Corbalan
1st Yellowcard
40'
Event
Oleksiy Bykov → L. Aguirre
1st Substitution
23'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Update Update
Erik Simonyan comes on for Sead Islamovic.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Robert Darbinyan comes on for Mikhail Kovalenko.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Lucas Caruana is on, and Domantas Simkus is off.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mikhail Kovalenko scores, making it 3-0, assisted by Iasonas Pikis.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Update Update
On Nicky Muscat, off Redon Mihana.
54
Update Update
On Matheus Silva, off Rasmus Linden.
54
Update Update
Ulises Arias comes on for Isaac Christie-Davies.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Momo Yansane scores, making it 0-1.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Update Update
Oleksiy Bykov comes on for Leandro Aguirre.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Milos Gigovic.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Marsaxlokk 0-3 Pyunik. Structural assessment: Pyunik exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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