Vllaznia Shkodër vs Malisheva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadiumi Loro Boriçi Today - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Vllaznia Shkodër Vllaznia Shkodër
2 Winner 1
Malisheva Malisheva
Full Time Today 6:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Emiljano Musta - 56'
Klinti Qato - 37'
Goal
|
Goal
Laurent Xhylani - 3'
|
Red Card Andreas Skovgaard 54'

CONTEXT

Vllaznia Shkodër faced Malisheva in the first leg of their two-legged tie. The home side claimed a 2-1 victory with the score level at 1-1 after the first half. Malisheva held a slight edge in possession at 53 percent compared to 47 percent for Vllaznia Shkodër. Despite being labeled the stronger side entering the match Malisheva suffered a red card that shaped the second half. Vllaznia Shkodër capitalized on the numerical advantage to secure the narrow win. The outcome showed minimal structural deviation from pre-match indicators and remained consistent with overall market alignment. Second half adjustments centered on the red card distortion that limited Malisheva options.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Vllaznia Shkodër 2-1 Malisheva. Vllaznia Shkodër showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team profiles.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to missing expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with the final result matching indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable given the lack of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact featured a red card issued to Malisheva after halftime.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion drove second half adjustments and limited away options.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

G. Avazashvili

Georgia 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

L. Varamishvili

1st Assistant

Georgia

G. Gogokhia

2nd Assistant

Georgia

K. Revazashvili

4th Official

Georgia

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Vllaznia Shkodër E. Martini
E. Martini
VS
Malisheva Malisheva
Malisheva
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vllaznia Shkodër
96.05%
Draw
3.31%
Away Malisheva
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Vllaznia Shkodër
+0.87%
Draw
-0.87%
Malisheva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.41
51.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
Power Score
43.41
51.66
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
924
719

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Vllaznia Shkodër Opponent-weighted form score
Malisheva Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Vllaznia Shkodër

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Malisheva

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vllaznia Shkodër ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malisheva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Vllaznia Shkodër
vs
Malisheva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Malisheva had peak pressure around 4'.
  • Malisheva started the game with stronger pressure.
Vllaznia Shkodër Pressure Malisheva Pressure
Pressure Index: Malisheva reached the top pressure at 4' (56.67).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vllaznia Shkodër Vllaznia Shkodër Home
0 matches
Malisheva Malisheva Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:12+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Stadiumi Loro Boriçi
Capacity :
1200
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Giorgi Avazashvili
Levan Varamishvili
Giorgi Gogokhia
Koba Revazashvili

Statistics

Possession
Vllaznia Shkodër
53%
Malisheva
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
9 Shots 4
83 Dangerous attacks 59
47 Possession 53
5 Corners 10
15 Free kicks 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

106 Ball Safe 99
14 Goal Attempts 5
3 Substitutions 3
20 Throwins 16
1 Assists 0
2 Injuries 2

Attacking

130 Attacks 118

Discipline

0 Offsides 6
18 Fouls 11

Squad

Referee : Giorgi Avazashvili

Squad

Kristi Qarri
Kristi Qarri Goalkeeper
1
Leon Pöhls
Leon Pöhls Goalkeeper
12
Aron Jukaj
Aron Jukaj Goalkeeper
31
Rezart Bunjaj
Rezart Bunjaj Goalkeeper
Arsid Kruja
Arsid Kruja Defender
23
Esin Hakaj
Esin Hakaj Defender
2
Erdenis Gurishta
Erdenis Gurishta Defender
55
Alexandros Kouros
Alexandros Kouros Defender
4
Jasmin Čeliković
Jasmin Čeliković Defender
29
Andrey Yago da Silva Mesquita Almeida
Andrey Yago da Silva Mesquita Almeida Defender
92
Elmando Gjini
Elmando Gjini Defender
16
Melos Bajrami
Melos Bajrami Defender
3
Gledjan Pusi
Gledjan Pusi Defender
Amir Brahimi
Amir Brahimi Defender
6
Ardit Krymi
Ardit Krymi Midfielder
98
Cristian Dros
Cristian Dros Midfielder
10
Sherif Kallaku
Sherif Kallaku Midfielder
7
Lirim Kastrati
Lirim Kastrati Midfielder
20
Esat Mala
Esat Mala Midfielder
25
Klinti Qato
Klinti Qato Midfielder
8
Eslit Sala
Eslit Sala Midfielder
11
Edon Murataj
Edon Murataj Midfielder
Xhoel Hajdari
Xhoel Hajdari Midfielder
40
Ensar Tafili
Ensar Tafili Midfielder
9
Bekim Balaj
Bekim Balaj Attacker
17
Bismark Charles Kwarema
Bismark Charles Kwarema Attacker
Alfred Mensah
Alfred Mensah Attacker
Antonio Delaj
Antonio Delaj Attacker
22
Kevin Dodaj
Kevin Dodaj Attacker
19
Aris Ara
Aris Ara Attacker
Referee : Giorgi Avazashvili

Squad

91
Ilir Avdyli
Ilir Avdyli Goalkeeper
12
Flamur Gashi
Flamur Gashi Goalkeeper
Yusif İmanov
Yusif İmanov Goalkeeper
31
Tiago Gomes dos Santos
Tiago Gomes dos Santos Goalkeeper
27
Andreas Skovgaard
Andreas Skovgaard Defender
Arbër Prekazi
Arbër Prekazi Defender
20
Arbër Pira
Arbër Pira Defender
34
Agon Xhaka
Agon Xhaka Defender
25
Riad Jashari
Riad Jashari Defender
5
Dren Kryeziu
Dren Kryeziu Defender
2
Arlind Veliu
Arlind Veliu Defender
3
Omer Bajraktari
Omer Bajraktari Defender
6
Besnik Ferati
Besnik Ferati Midfielder
11
Rilind Hetemi
Rilind Hetemi Midfielder
Mark Bushaj
Mark Bushaj Midfielder
10
E. Brruti
E. Brruti Midfielder
30
Donart Vitija
Donart Vitija Midfielder
28
Robert Mathieu Ndjigi II
Robert Mathieu Ndjigi II Midfielder
19
Emir Zogaj
Emir Zogaj Midfielder
Valmir Berisha
Valmir Berisha Attacker
18
Valjmir Nafiu
Valjmir Nafiu Attacker
Elom Nya-Vedji
Elom Nya-Vedji Attacker
99
Dzemal Ibishi
Dzemal Ibishi Attacker
23
Mevlan Zeka
Mevlan Zeka Attacker
7
Altin Aliu
Altin Aliu Attacker
24
Assane Diatta
Assane Diatta Attacker
Fatjon Bunjaku
Fatjon Bunjaku Attacker
14
Laurent Xhylani
Laurent Xhylani Attacker
9
Krenar Dulaj
Krenar Dulaj Attacker
Arian Telaku
Arian Telaku Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sokol Uldedaj
5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Sokol Uldedaj
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Gledjan Pusi
4th Yellowcard
85'
84'
Event
Mark Bushaj Laurent Xhylani
5th Substitution
Event
Klajti Halili Edon Murataj
4th Substitution
80'
64'
Event
Vüsal Isgandarli Valjmir Nafiu
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Keslin Shani Dzemal Ibishi
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Valjmir Nafiu
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Emiljano Musta
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
54'
Event
Andreas Skovgaard
1st Redcard
Event
Gerald Kubazi Aris Ara
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Klinti Qato
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
35'
Event
Dzemal Ibishi
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Erdenis Gurishta
1st Yellowcard
12'
3'
Event
Laurent Xhylani
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Sokol Uldedaj.
88
Update Update
On Sokol Uldedaj, off Emiljano Musta.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
84
Substitution Substitution
Mark Bushaj is substituted off for Laurent Xhylani.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Klajti Halili comes on for Edon Murataj.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Vusal Isgandarli comes on for Valmir Nafiu.
64
Update Update
Keslin Shani is on, and Dzemal Ibishi is off.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Valmir Nafiu.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Emiljano Musta scores, making it 2-1.
55
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Andreas Skovgaard.
46
Update Update
Gerald Kubazi comes on for Aris Ara.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dzemal Ibishi receives a yellow card.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Erdenis Gurishta.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Laurent Xhylani scores, making it 0-1.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vllaznia Shkodër 2-1 Malisheva. Structural assessment: Vllaznia Shkodër exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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